SYY
Next earnings: Aug 4, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move+0.56%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.4× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 38Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
72.57
Open
72.67
Day Range71.95 – 73.41
71.95
73.41
52W Range68.19 – 91.85
68.19
91.85
20% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
4.7M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
20.3x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.02%
Beta
0.89
Market-like
Performance
1D
+0.18%
5D
-1.48%
1M
-0.34%
3M
-17.57%
6M
-3.87%
YTD
-1.52%
1Y
+0.89%
Best: 1Y (+0.89%)Worst: 3M (-17.57%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +3% · 19% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 20x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.3 · FCF $4.17/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$34.90B
Revenue TTM$83.57B
Net Income TTM$1.74B
Free Cash Flow$2.00B
Gross Margin18.5%
Net Margin2.1%
Operating Margin3.6%
Return on Equity81.9%
Return on Assets6.2%
Debt / Equity6.76
Current Ratio1.33
EPS TTM$3.62
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Case volume growth in U.S. Broadline segment - reflects restaurant traffic trends and market share gains

Gross margin performance - driven by product mix shift toward higher-margin proprietary brands and specialty products versus commodity inflation pass-through

Restaurant industry same-store sales trends - Sysco's revenue correlates 0.7-0.8 with full-service restaurant traffic

Fuel costs and logistics efficiency - diesel represents 2-3% of revenue, with fuel surcharges partially offsetting volatility

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-high - Sysco's revenue correlates strongly with consumer discretionary spending on dining out. During recessions, restaurant traffic declines 5-15%, with full-service restaurants (Sysco's core customer base) hit harder than quick-service. However, healthcare and education segments (25-30% of revenue) provide counter-cyclical stability. GDP growth of 2-3% typically drives 4-6% case volume growth as consumers increase dining frequency.

Interest Rates

Moderate sensitivity through two channels: (1) $13B debt load means 100bps rate increase adds ~$50M annual interest expense (1.5% earnings headwind), though 60% is fixed-rate limiting near-term impact; (2) Higher rates pressure restaurant operators' financing costs and expansion plans, potentially slowing new restaurant openings which drive Sysco's customer acquisition. Rising rates also compress valuation multiples for low-growth distributors trading at 14-15x EBITDA.

Key Risks

Disintermediation risk from restaurant chains vertically integrating distribution or suppliers selling direct-to-consumer, though Sysco's scale and next-day delivery network create high barriers

Labor availability and wage inflation in warehouse and delivery operations - driver shortages and $18-22/hour wage pressure threaten 200-300bps margin compression without productivity offsets

Market share pressure from US Foods (second-largest competitor with 25% share versus Sysco's 35%) and regional distributors offering localized service

Investor Profile

value and dividend - Sysco trades at 0.5x sales and 14.4x EBITDA, below historical 16-18x range, attracting value investors seeking cyclical recovery. The company pays a 2.5-3.0% dividend yield with 50+ year dividend history, appealing to income-focused investors. Recent 26% one-year return reflects multiple expansion as restaurant recovery trades gained momentum, but modest 3.2% revenue growth and negative earnings growth limit pure growth investor interest.

Watch on Earnings
U.S. full-service restaurant same-store sales growth (industry data from Black Box Intelligence)Diesel fuel prices (HOUSD) - impacts delivery costs and fuel surcharge revenueBeef, pork, and poultry wholesale prices (LEUSX, HEUSX) - major cost inputs affecting gross marginsConsumer confidence and discretionary spending trends (UMCSENT, PCE)
Health Radar
1 strong3 watch2 concern
40/100
Liquidity
1.33Watch
Leverage
6.76Concern
Coverage
4.4xWatch
ROE
81.9%Strong
ROIC
11.8%Watch
Cash
$1.1BConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE21 analysts
BUY
+26.1%upside to target
L $83.00
Med $92.00consensus
H $100.00
Buy
1467%
Hold
733%
14 Buy (67%)7 Hold (33%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 38 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.33
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 13, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 7, 2026
In 87 days
PDividend PaymentAug 14, 2026
In 94 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 1.1%

-6.4% vs SMA 50 · -7.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI38.3
Momentum fading
MACD-1.22
Below zero — bearish pulse · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$91.85+25.9%
EMA 200
$77.79+6.6%
EMA 50
$76.63+5.0%
Current
$72.98
52W Low
$68.19-6.6%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$68.1920th %ile$91.85
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:3
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)5.1M
Recent Vol (5D)
3.9M-24%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 13 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$81.3B
$80.7B$81.5B
$4.38
±1%
High13
FY2026(current)
$84.4B
$84.3B$84.5B
+3.8%$4.59+4.9%
±0%
High12
FY2027
$88.5B
$87.5B$89.6B
+4.9%$4.96+8.1%
±3%
High11
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistorySYY
Last 8Q
+0.2%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 3
+1%
Q3'24
-4%
Q4'24
Q1'25
-6%
Q2'25
+6%
Q3'25
+3%
Q4'25
+1%
Q1'26
-1%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Analysts turning cautious
30d01
90d01
Deutsche BankBuy → Hold
Apr 28
DOWNGRADE
GuggenheimBuy
May 28
UPGRADE
CFRAStrong Buy → Hold
May 3
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/4 SellsNet Selling
Talton SheilaDir
$232K
Feb 2
SELL
Phillips Ronald LEVP and CHRO
$454K
Jan 27
SELL
Phillips Ronald LEVP and CHRO
$78K
Sep 11
SELL
Phillips Ronald LEVP and CHRO
$595K
Sep 2
SELL
Financials
Dividends2.96% yield
+4.4% avg annual growth
Annual Yield2.96%
Quarterly Div.$0.5500
Est. Annual / Share$2.20
FrequencyQuarterly
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26
Q3'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Boston Partners
10.6M
2
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
4.7M
3
PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT CO/CA/
3.7M
4
DIAMOND HILL CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC
3.5M
5
Bank of New York Mellon Corp
3.4M
6
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO
2.7M
7
Legal & General Group Plc
2.4M
8
ProShare Advisors LLC
2.2M
News & Activity

SYY News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

ysco is the global leader in selling, marketing and distributing food products to restaurants, healthcare and educational facilities, lodging establishments and other customers who prepare meals away from home. Its family of products also includes equipment and supplies for the foodservice and hospitality industries. With more than 57,000 associates, the company operates 326 distribution facilities worldwide and serves more than 625,000 customer locations. For fiscal 2020 that ended June 27, 2020, the company generated sales of more than $52 billion.

Industry
Supermarkets and Other Grocery (except Convenience) Stores
CEO
Thomas Bene
Lindsay Williams HirschVice President of Growth Strategy, Planning, & Design
J. Chris JasperSenior Vice President of International Americas - Canada, Latin America, Caribbean & Export, Greco
Richard A. JohnstonMarket President of Rocky Mountains
PeersConsumer Defensive(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
SYY
$72.98+0.18%$34.7B20.0+320.4%224.7%1490
$130.35-2.18%$1.0T46.5+472.5%307.0%1519
$1021.88-0.92%$443.4B51.9+816.7%294.3%1503
$80.03+0.31%$338.4B24.7+187.0%2734.0%1505
$143.91-2.09%$333.8B20.8+29.2%1895.3%1490
$186.93+6.50%$283.8B25.6+731.3%2791.8%1502
$151.85-1.07%$204.2B23.4+225.5%877.3%1496
Sector avg+0.10%30.4+397.5%1303.5%1501