TCI
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-2.83%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.2× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 46Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
35.71
Open
35.23
Day Range34.70 – 35.23
34.70
35.23
52W Range31.48 – 59.65
31.48
59.65
11% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
6.4K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
31.8x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-2.83%
5D
-5.32%
1M
-13.92%
3M
-35.44%
6M
-22.70%
YTD
-40.81%
1Y
+0.78%
Best: 1Y (+0.78%)Worst: YTD (-40.81%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +9% · -47% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 32x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 867.5 · FCF negative
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$299.78M
Revenue TTM$49.39M
Net Income TTM$9.35M
Free Cash Flow-$56.08M
Gross Margin-47.3%
Net Margin18.9%
Operating Margin-15.5%
Return on Equity1.1%
Return on Assets0.8%
Debt / Equity0.25
Current Ratio867.54
EPS TTM$1.08
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net asset value (NAV) revaluations driven by cap rate compression/expansion in Texas and regional markets

Same-store rental growth rates and occupancy trends in multifamily portfolio

Property acquisition or disposition announcements that signal portfolio strategy shifts

Changes in REIT conversion speculation or corporate governance events given the small-cap, thinly-traded nature

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Multifamily rental demand shows resilience through cycles as housing affordability challenges drive renter formation, but commercial real estate (office/retail) faces cyclical vacancy and rent pressure during recessions. Texas markets have historically outperformed national averages due to energy sector activity, technology growth in Austin, and favorable migration trends. Revenue growth contracted 4.8% YoY, suggesting current exposure to softer market conditions or portfolio-specific challenges.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Rising rates increase financing costs on floating-rate debt and refinancing risk, though 0.27 debt-to-equity suggests manageable exposure; (2) Higher cap rates compress property valuations, directly impacting NAV and stock price given 0.6x P/B valuation; (3) Mortgage rate increases reduce homebuyer demand, supporting multifamily rental demand but also constraining rent growth as affordability deteriorates broadly. The 10-year Treasury yield serves as the benchmark for cap rate movements.

Key Risks

Multifamily supply surge in Texas markets (Austin, Dallas, Houston) from 2022-2025 construction boom creating medium-term rent pressure and occupancy challenges

Remote work permanence reducing demand for traditional office space in commercial portfolio, requiring repositioning capital or asset sales at discounted valuations

Property tax escalation in Texas (no state income tax model) outpacing rental growth, compressing NOI margins

Investor Profile

value - The 0.6x price-to-book ratio attracts deep value investors betting on asset liquidation value or corporate action catalysts. The 85% one-year return suggests momentum traders have recently participated, but negative operating margins and minimal FCF yield (0.3%) deter growth and income-focused investors. Small market cap ($500M) and likely limited float create illiquidity suitable only for patient, concentrated value strategies or special situation funds.

Watch on Earnings
10-year Treasury yield (GS10) as primary driver of real estate cap rates and valuation multiples30-year fixed mortgage rates (MORTGAGE30US) affecting housing affordability and multifamily rental demandTexas employment growth and wage trends (subset of PAYEMS) driving local rental market fundamentalsApartment rent indices for Dallas, Houston, Austin markets indicating pricing power
Health Radar
2 strong4 concern
33/100
Liquidity
867.54Strong
Leverage
0.25Strong
Coverage
-1.0xConcern
ROE
1.1%Concern
ROIC
-0.4%Concern
Cash
$14MConcern
Analyst Coverage

No analyst coverage available for this stock.

Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 3 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 46 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 867.54 — healthy liquidity

2 signals unavailable — limited data for this stock

Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 9, 2026
In 116 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 15.8%

-4.8% vs SMA 50 · -19.8% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI45.5
Neutral territory
MACD-0.67
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$59.65+71.9%
EMA 200
$42.56+22.6%
EMA 50
$37.76+8.8%
Current
$34.70
52W Low
$31.48-9.3%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$31.4811th %ile$59.65
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:0
Dist days:1
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)7K
Recent Vol (5D)
3K-62%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
5 Buys/1 SellNet Buying
American Realty Inv…10 Percent Own…
$3.9M
Jan 12
BUY
American Realty Inv…10 Percent Own…
$3.9M
Jan 12
BUY
Corna Louis JEx. VP, Counse…
$4K
Mar 29
SELL
Moos Daniel JPresident and …
$3K
Nov 19
BUY
Moos Daniel JPresident
$1000K
May 22
BUY
Moos Daniel JPresident
$1000K
May 22
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
77K
2
TCW GROUP INC
68K
3
Russell Investments Group, Ltd.
20K
4
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
9K
5
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC
9K
6
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC
8K
7
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO
7K
8
CALDWELL SUTTER CAPITAL, INC.
4K
News & Activity

TCI News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

transcontinental realty investors inc (tci) is a real estate company located in 1800 valley view ln, dallas, texas, united states.

CEO
Daniel Moos
Alla DzyubaSenior Vice President & Chief Accounting Officer
Erik L. JohnsonPresident & Chief Executive Officer
PeersReal Estate(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
TCI
$34.70-2.83%$300M32.1+959.9%2813.5%1500
$213.74-1.84%$150.9B106.3+3582.4%878.3%1508
$140.53-1.49%$131.0B35.2+717.6%3880.1%1509
$1059.44-1.87%$104.5B73.3+585.3%1457.9%1532
$170.63+0.08%$79.5B27.6+511.4%2376.5%1483
$188.51-2.25%$66.2B47.2+1004.0%2140.8%1517
$200.02-1.37%$65.0B13.8+671.9%7251.1%1505
Sector avg-1.65%47.9+1147.5%2971.2%1508