TG
Next earnings: Aug 7, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-2.21%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume1.3× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 32Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
8.15
Open
8.13
Day Range7.92 – 8.19
7.92
8.19
52W Range6.25 – 10.53
6.25
10.53
40% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
167.1K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
9.7x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.05%
Beta
0.70
Low vol
Performance
1D
-2.21%
5D
-22.40%
1M
-9.12%
3M
-8.29%
6M
-6.35%
YTD
+11.00%
1Y
-4.32%
Best: YTD (+11.00%)Worst: 5D (-22.40%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +35% · 14% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 10x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.7 · FCF $0.59/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$278.14M
Revenue TTM$744.62M
Net Income TTM$28.47M
Free Cash Flow$20.51M
Gross Margin14.4%
Net Margin3.8%
Operating Margin3.8%
Return on Equity13.6%
Return on Assets7.1%
Debt / Equity0.26
Current Ratio1.72
EPS TTM$0.82
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Aluminum extrusion volumes tied to non-residential construction activity and automotive production schedules

Midwest Transaction Price (MTP) aluminum premium spreads affecting conversion margins in merchant extrusion sales

Surface protection film demand from durable goods manufacturing (appliances, electronics, building products)

Restructuring progress and cost reduction initiatives to return to positive net income

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Aluminum extrusions are highly cyclical, directly tied to non-residential construction spending (offices, warehouses, infrastructure) and industrial production. Surface protection films correlate with durable goods manufacturing output. Revenue typically contracts 15-25% during recessions as construction projects are delayed and appliance/electronics production slows. Current 3.4% operating margin provides minimal buffer against volume declines.

Interest Rates

Rising rates negatively impact the business through two channels: (1) higher financing costs on the company's debt (Debt/Equity of 0.31 suggests ~$30-40M debt at current market cap), and (2) reduced non-residential construction activity as developers face higher project financing costs and cap rate expansion reduces building economics. A 200bps Fed Funds increase typically correlates with 10-15% decline in non-residential construction starts with 6-9 month lag.

Key Risks

Commoditization of aluminum extrusions with limited product differentiation - Chinese capacity additions and domestic competition compress margins below 5% operating profit levels

Secular decline in surface protection film demand as manufacturers adopt alternative protective solutions (spray coatings, returnable packaging) and shift production to lower-cost regions

Energy cost exposure with aluminum extrusion being electricity-intensive (500-600 kWh per ton) creating margin volatility during utility rate increases

Investor Profile

value - Deep value investors attracted by 0.5x Price/Sales and 1.5x Price/Book multiples betting on operational turnaround and return to normalized 5-7% operating margins. Negative net margins and -28% ROE deter growth and quality-focused investors. Small $300M market cap limits institutional ownership. Requires 2-3 year turnaround horizon with high execution risk.

Watch on Earnings
Midwest Transaction Premium (MTP) for primary aluminum - directly impacts extrusion conversion marginsArchitectural Billings Index (ABI) - leading indicator for non-residential construction demand 9-12 months forwardIndustrial Production Index for durable goods manufacturing - drives surface protection film volumesLME aluminum prices and regional premiums affecting working capital and merchant sales profitability
Health Radar
2 strong2 watch2 concern
52/100
Liquidity
1.72Watch
Leverage
0.26Strong
Coverage
8.4xStrong
ROE
13.6%Watch
ROIC
7.8%Concern
Cash
$7MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE2 analysts
HOLD
Hold
2100%
0 Buy (0%)2 Hold (100%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 32 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.72 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 61.1%

+3.6% vs SMA 50 · +67.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI32.1
Momentum fading
MACD-0.16
Below zero — bearish pulse · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$10.53+32.1%
Current
$7.97
EMA 50
$7.65-4.0%
52W Low
$6.25-21.6%
EMA 200
$4.80-39.7%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$6.2540th %ile$10.53
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:5
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)174K
Recent Vol (5D)
286K+65%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts
Earnings HistoryTG
Last 8Q
+9.0%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates rising
Q1'14
-62%
Q3'15
+100%
Q4'15
+113%
Q1'16
+28%
Q2'16
-46%
Q3'16
-8%
Q4'16
-52%
Q1'17
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $777K sold · 30d window
Gottwald William M10 Percent Own…
$218K
May 12
SELL
Gottwald William M10 Percent Own…
$40K
May 13
SELL
Gottwald James T.10 Percent Own…
$218K
May 12
SELL
Gottwald James T.10 Percent Own…
$40K
May 13
SELL
Gottwald John D10 Percent Own…
$218K
May 12
SELL
Gottwald John D10 Percent Own…
$40K
May 13
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL
6.1M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
2.3M
3
Minerva Advisors LLC
1.7M
4
GABELLI FUNDS LLC
1.2M
5
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
1.1M
6
STATE STREET CORP
658K
7
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
649K
8
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC
494K
News & Activity

TG News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

tredegar film products is a global leader in the plastic films industry with a wide range of capabilities in polyethylene, polypropylene, elastics and polyester films. with a global footprint and local supply capabilities, we support demand for films applications in diverse end-use markets, including personal care, electronic display, food packaging and lighting. with strategically located global operations and a culture focused on innovative research and development, tredegar film products is well positioned to expand its reach in diverse markets around the world to deliver “layers of confidence”™. headquartered in north chesterfield, va, usa, tredegar film products corporation, a subsidiary of tredegar corporation (nyse:tg), has 1700+ employees and 13 locations throughout north america, europe, asia, and south america.

CEO
John Steitz
Frasier W. BrickhouseCFO, VP & Corporate Treasurer
W. Brook HamiltonPresident of Bonnell Aluminum
Arijit DasGuptaPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
PeersBasic Materials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
TG
$7.97-2.21%$278M9.7+2087.5%463.1%1500
$506.11-1.08%$234.1B33.0+297.2%2029.7%1506
$109.06-6.25%$116.4B14.0+1907.6%3206.3%1507
$63.01-4.73%$90.6B33.3+112.4%856.2%1516
$300.10-2.94%$74.0B28.4+206.0%1089.5%1477
$247.62-0.51%$69.7B33.2+215.9%1290.7%1473
$295.38-1.50%$65.8B31.2-52.3%-327.7%1502
Sector avg-2.74%26.1+682.0%1229.7%1497