TGB
Next earnings: Aug 5, 2026
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-10.37%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 58Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
7.62
Open
7.13
Day Range6.83 – 7.25
6.83
7.25
52W Range1.96 – 9.25
1.96
9.25
67% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
5.3M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
170.8x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.51
High vol
Performance
1D
-2.18%
5D
+2.14%
1M
-2.18%
3M
-8.08%
6M
+75.58%
YTD
+34.63%
1Y
+273.53%
Best: 1Y (+273.53%)Worst: 3M (-8.08%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +28% YoY
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 171x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.4 · FCF $0.14/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.93B
Revenue TTM$768.31M
Net Income TTM$15.37M
Free Cash Flow$52.28M
Gross Margin31.3%
Net Margin2.0%
Operating Margin25.8%
Return on Equity2.3%
Return on Assets0.6%
Debt / Equity1.07
Current Ratio1.37
EPS TTM$0.04
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Copper spot prices (LME/COMEX) - primary driver given 85%+ revenue exposure

Florence Copper project milestones - permitting updates, construction timeline, production ramp expectations

Gibraltar production volumes and unit cost performance (AISC trends)

Chinese economic activity and infrastructure spending (40% of global copper demand)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Copper demand is tightly correlated with global industrial production, construction activity, and manufacturing output. China represents 50%+ of global copper consumption, making the stock highly sensitive to Chinese GDP growth, property sector health, and infrastructure stimulus. Recessions typically see 10-15% demand destruction, while strong industrial cycles drive supply deficits and price spikes. The energy transition provides structural demand support, but cyclical swings dominate near-term price action.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create multiple headwinds: (1) higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for long-duration mining assets like Florence, (2) stronger USD (typically correlated with rate hikes) pressures copper prices as it's dollar-denominated, (3) increased financing costs for the Florence construction debt. However, rates rising due to strong economic growth can be offset by robust copper demand. The company's 1.58x debt/equity ratio makes interest expense material to profitability.

Key Risks

Copper supply response from major producers (Chile, Peru expansions) or new technologies (asteroid mining, substitution with aluminum in some applications) could cap long-term prices below Florence's economic threshold

Permitting and regulatory risk in British Columbia and Arizona - indigenous consultation requirements, water rights disputes, or environmental challenges could delay Florence or restrict Gibraltar expansion

Energy transition demand may not materialize as forecasted if battery chemistry shifts away from copper-intensive designs or if EV adoption slows due to affordability/infrastructure constraints

Investor Profile

momentum/speculative - The 274% one-year return and 78% three-month return indicate momentum-driven trading. Investors are attracted by leverage to copper price recovery and Florence optionality rather than current fundamentals (negative margins, weak balance sheet). The stock appeals to commodity bulls, energy transition thematic investors, and traders playing copper supply deficit narratives. High volatility and binary project risk make this unsuitable for conservative value or income investors.

Watch on Earnings
LME copper 3-month forward price and contango/backwardation structureGibraltar quarterly production volumes and AISC per pound trendsFlorence Copper construction spending rate and timeline to first productionChina Caixin Manufacturing PMI and copper import volumes
Health Radar
3 watch3 concern
31/100
Liquidity
1.37Watch
Leverage
1.07Watch
Coverage
2.4xWatch
ROE
2.3%Concern
ROIC
6.2%Concern
Cash
$188MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE5 analysts
HOLD
+31.8%upside to target
Buy
240%
Hold
120%
Sell
240%
2 Buy (40%)1 Hold (20%)2 Sell (40%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 58 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.37
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 24.9%

-2.6% vs SMA 50 · +21.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI58.2
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.16
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$9.25+35.4%
EMA 50
$7.25+6.1%
Current
$6.83
EMA 200
$5.59-18.2%
52W Low
$1.96-71.3%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$1.9667th %ile$9.25
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:4
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)5.1M
Recent Vol (5D)
5.5M+8%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$672.3M
$663.4M$677.2M
$0.08
±1%
Moderate4
FY2026(current)
$1.1B
$1.1B$1.1B
+65.7%$0.50+521.6%
±1%
Low2
FY2027
$1.5B
$1.5B$1.5B
+32.2%$0.94+87.5%
±1%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryTGB
Last 8Q
+76.0%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+333%
Q3'24
+125%
Q4'24
+100%
Q1'25
+67%
Q2'25
Q3'25
-67%
Q4'25
Q1'26
+50%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Mild positive momentum
30d10
90d10
Cantor FitzgeraldBuy
May 7
UPGRADE
TD SecuritiesBuy
Oct 23
UPGRADE
Cantor FitzgeraldSpeculative Buy → Buy
Jun 17
UPGRADE
Cantor FitzgeraldHold → Speculative Buy
Jun 13
UPGRADE
Cantor FitzgeraldHold
Jun 3
DOWNGRADE
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
L1 Capital Pty Ltd
35.1M
2
Connor, Clark & Lunn Investment Management Ltd.
14.8M
3
MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd.
13.9M
4
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP
7.8M
5
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP
7.5M
6
MORGAN STANLEY
5.9M
7
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC
5.7M
8
MACKENZIE FINANCIAL CORP
4.0M
News & Activity

TGB News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

gibraltar, the cornerstone of taseko’s growth strategy taseko’s is the owner (75%) and operator of the gibraltar copper-molybdenum mine, located in south-central british columbia, the second largest open pit copper mine in canada and the largest employer in the cariboo region. by the end of 2012, the company will have invested ~$700 million to expand and modernize the operation, which was scheduled for demolition when the company acquired it in 1999. built in 1972, the mine was originally designed to process 36,000 tons of ore per day, producing approximately 60 million pounds of copper annually. soon after the re-start in 2004, taseko realized the potential of this large resource and embarked on a program to increase the copper reserves and expand the mining and processing capacity. by the end of 2012, gibraltar’s processing capacity will be increased to 85,000 tons per day with annual copper production averaging 180 million pounds for its 27 year mine life. .

CEO
Russell Hallbauer
Country
Canada
Brian BergotVice President of Investor Relations
Sean MageeVice President of Corporation Affairs
Stuart McDonaldPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
TGB
$6.83-2.18%$2.1B221.9+1065.8%-447.0%1500
$404.35-3.20%$2.1T30.5+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$132.58-6.05%$307.9B20.7-44.8%1012.0%1500
$88.38-2.58%$303.7B13.6+318.8%1510.7%1500
$148.08-1.13%$282.6B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$181.58-1.83%$281.6B26.9+862.9%1745.9%1500
$183.40-0.23%$256.1B16.8+213.3%1482.4%1500
Sector avg-2.46%50.2+901.4%1768.3%1500