THR
Next earnings: May 21, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bullish Setup21!
Price
1
Move+10.66%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume2.2× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 83Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
63.04
Open
66.11
Day Range63.61 – 70.05
63.61
70.05
52W Range23.86 – 70.04
23.86
70.04
99% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
598.7K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
39.4x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.78
Low vol
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +6% YoY · 45% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 39x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 2.9 · FCF $1.67/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.29B
Revenue TTM$522.01M
Net Income TTM$58.80M
Free Cash Flow$54.73M
Gross Margin45.4%
Net Margin11.3%
Operating Margin15.9%
Return on Equity11.4%
Return on Assets7.2%
Debt / Equity0.32
Current Ratio2.90
EPS TTM$1.79
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Global energy capital expenditure trends - refinery upgrades, LNG export terminal construction, petrochemical plant expansions drive large project awards

Oil and gas midstream infrastructure spending - pipeline heat tracing, storage terminal projects, and wellhead freeze protection systems tied to upstream activity levels

Order backlog and book-to-bill ratio - leading indicator of revenue visibility, particularly for 12-24 month capital project cycles

MRO revenue growth and customer retention rates - signals installed base health and recurring revenue stability

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Thermon's revenue is directly tied to industrial capital expenditure cycles, particularly in energy and chemical processing sectors. During economic expansions, refineries and petrochemical plants invest in capacity additions and efficiency upgrades requiring heat tracing systems. Recessions or energy price downturns cause customers to defer non-critical capital projects, though essential MRO spending provides partial buffer. The 0.7% revenue growth suggests current exposure to subdued industrial capex environment despite strong equity performance.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact Thermon through two channels: (1) higher financing costs for customers' large capital projects (refineries, LNG terminals) can delay or cancel orders, extending sales cycles, and (2) the company's valuation multiple compresses as investors demand higher returns from industrial cyclicals. With 0.32x debt/equity and strong cash generation, Thermon's own balance sheet has minimal direct rate exposure, but customer project economics deteriorate as weighted average cost of capital rises for multi-billion dollar energy infrastructure investments.

Key Risks

Energy transition and decarbonization policies - long-term decline in fossil fuel infrastructure investment could reduce addressable market for refinery and petrochemical heat tracing, though LNG and hydrogen infrastructure may provide offsets

Technological substitution - alternative heating methods (steam tracing, hot water systems) or improved insulation materials could displace electric heat tracing in certain applications, though mission-critical safety requirements limit disruption risk

Fragmented competitive landscape with regional players (nVent, Emerson, Chromalox) competing on price for commodity cable products, pressuring margins on non-engineered solutions

Investor Profile

momentum - The 70.6% one-year return and 99.2% six-month return indicate strong momentum investor interest, likely driven by improving energy sector fundamentals and capital project cycle recovery expectations. The 3.2x price/sales and 16.6x EV/EBITDA valuations suggest growth premium despite modest 0.7% revenue growth, attracting investors betting on inflection in order intake. Value investors may find appeal in 3.2% FCF yield and strong balance sheet (2.90x current ratio, 0.32x debt/equity), while the industrial cyclical nature attracts tactical traders positioning for energy capex recovery.

Watch on Earnings
Brent crude oil price (DCOILBRENTEU) - proxy for global energy sector capital spending and customer project economicsUS industrial production index (INDPRO) - leading indicator of manufacturing and chemical processing activity driving MRO demandGlobal LNG export capacity additions - major driver of large capital project awards for heat tracing systems at liquefaction terminalsNorth American refinery utilization rates - correlates with maintenance spending and turnaround activity generating MRO revenue
Health Radar
3 strong2 watch1 concern
62/100
Liquidity
2.90Strong
Leverage
0.32Strong
Coverage
10.0xStrong
ROE
11.4%Watch
ROIC
8.9%Watch
Cash
$40MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE13 analysts
BUY
-18.3%downside to target
L $54.00
Med $57.00consensus
H $60.00
Buy
862%
Hold
538%
8 Buy (62%)5 Hold (38%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 83 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.90 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 7, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 4, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 1, 2026
In 118 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 40.7%

+37.0% vs SMA 50 · +92.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI82.5
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD+2.58
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$70.04+0.4%
Current
$69.76
EMA 50
$50.67-27.4%
EMA 200
$37.02-46.9%
52W Low
$23.86-65.8%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$23.8699th %ile$70.04
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:0
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)195K
Recent Vol (5D)
125K-36%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$502.9M
$500.0M$505.5M
$1.46
±1%
Low1
FY2025
$497.8M
$496.4M$499.1M
-1.0%$1.82+25.2%
±1%
Moderate3
FY2026(current)
$523.3M
$522.3M$523.9M
+5.1%$2.12+16.3%
±1%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryTHR
Last 8Q
+14.9%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+6%
Q2'24
+27%
Q3'24
+9%
Q4'24
+4%
Q1'25
+12%
Q2'25
-3%
Q3'25
+53%
Q4'25
+12%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d02
Craig-HallumBuy → Hold
Mar 2
DOWNGRADE
CJS SecuritiesOutperform → Market Perform
Feb 25
DOWNGRADE
Kansas City CapitalPerform
Jun 3
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
1 Buy/3 SellsNet Selling
Cerovski Thomas NSVP, Global Sa…
$14K
Feb 10
BUY
Buntin DavidSVP, Thermon H…
$127K
Dec 12
SELL
Buntin DavidSVP, Thermon H…
$778K
Dec 12
SELL
Roberto KuaharaSVP, Operations
$9K
Nov 27
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
ALPINE ASSOCIATES MANAGEMENT INC.
486K
2
Swedbank AB
470K
3
Nuveen, LLC
428K
4
Assenagon Asset Management S.A.
346K
5
Alberta Investment Management Corp
115K
6
Oliver Luxxe Assets LLC
58K
7
Riverpoint Wealth Management Holdings, LLC
52K
8
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
38K
News & Activity

THR News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

the heat tracing specialists thermon holds a unique position as the only international heat tracing company completely dedicated to its industry. since 1954, thermon has concentrated its efforts exclusively on heat tracing, the external application of heat to pipes, tanks and instrumentation. today, thermon continues to be an industry leader in the specialized field of heat tracing technology. the vast knowledge base of thermon’s employees, combined with the most extensive line of heat tracing products and design tools available, optimizes the customer’s “cost of ownership” by ensuring that all aspects of the application have been considered. global capabilities with global design, manufacturing, and warehouse facilities, thermon is capable of supplying heat tracing system design and products to meet the needs of customers around the world. these stateof-the-art facilities incorporate patented manufacturing processes utilizing computer-controlled equipment, laser technology and

CEO
Bruce Thames
Jan L. SchottSenior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Ryan TarkingtonSenior Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Thomas Gregory LucasVice President, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
THR
$69.76+0.00%$2.1B1500
$904.59-1.67%$407.0B43.0+429.0%1312.8%1522
$286.68-2.09%$293.1B33.6+1848.2%1488
$172.87-0.63%$232.8B32.1+974.1%1486
$224.38-2.67%$174.5B79.9+3449.4%249.7%1504
$410.86-0.73%$163.9B40.1+1033.0%1506
$264.01-1.09%$156.4B1505
Sector avg-1.27%45.7+1546.8%781.2%1502