CRH: Expecting Full-Year Outperformance After Q1 Beat
I am retaining a 'Buy' rating for CRH following my evaluation of its recent quarterly results and fu…

Mobile service revenue growth driven by postpaid net additions and ARPU expansion from data plan upgrades
Brazilian Real exchange rate volatility (BRL/USD) affecting dollar-denominated debt servicing costs and investor sentiment toward emerging market equities
Regulatory developments including spectrum auction outcomes, tower infrastructure sharing mandates, and consumer protection rules from ANATEL
Free cash flow generation and capital allocation decisions (dividends, debt reduction, fiber network expansion capex)
moderate - Mobile telecommunications exhibit defensive characteristics as essential services, but revenue growth correlates with Brazilian GDP through employment levels affecting prepaid recharges and postpaid plan affordability. Economic downturns drive prepaid-to-postpaid mix deterioration and ARPU pressure. Consumer discretionary spending impacts value-added services and device upgrade cycles. Industrial activity affects enterprise connectivity demand.
Brazilian SELIC rate (currently 12.25% as of February 2026) significantly impacts TIM through multiple channels: higher rates increase financing costs on BRL 8.1B net debt (0.65x D/E), compress valuation multiples for telecom equities, and reduce consumer disposable income affecting mobile spending. However, TIM benefits from strong operating cash flow ($13.4B) reducing refinancing needs. US Federal Funds rate affects emerging market capital flows and BRL exchange rate, indirectly impacting dollar debt servicing and foreign investor appetite.
Technology disruption from satellite-based internet providers (Starlink) and WiFi-first mobile virtual network operators potentially commoditizing connectivity
Regulatory intervention risk including price controls, mandatory infrastructure sharing reducing competitive moats, and spectrum renewal terms from ANATEL
Brazilian political and macroeconomic instability affecting currency volatility, inflation, and consumer purchasing power
dividend - TIM attracts income-focused investors seeking high FCF yields (71%) and dividend distributions from mature Brazilian telecom market. The 73% one-year return suggests momentum investors participated in emerging market rotation and BRL appreciation. Value investors find appeal in 5.5x EV/EBITDA multiple (discount to developed market peers at 7-9x) and 2.5x P/S ratio. Emerging market specialists allocate based on Brazilian economic exposure and telecom sector consolidation thesis.
Trend
-1.9% vs SMA 50 · +12.5% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2024 | $26.7B $25.6B–$27.8B | — | $6.64 | — | ±7% | High8 |
FY2025 | $27.2B $27.1B–$27.5B | ▲ +2.1% | $8.63 | ▲ +30.0% | ±1% | High8 |
FY2026(current) | $27.8B $27.6B–$28.0B | ▲ +1.9% | $9.56 | ▲ +10.7% | ±11% | High9 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
I am retaining a 'Buy' rating for CRH following my evaluation of its recent quarterly results and fu…

TIM S.A. is a Brazilian telecommunications company, subsidiary of TIM S.p.A., which provides mobile and fixed telephony services. TIM Brasil was founded as a company in 1995, started commercial operations in 1998 and since 2002 has consolidated its national presence, becoming the first mobile phone company present in all Brazilian States and, as of April 2017, has over 61.3 million customers.
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TIMB◀ | $25.64 | -1.16% | $12.2B | 14.3 | +462.4% | 1619.5% | 1500 |
| $397.67 | +0.41% | $2.1T | 28.7 | +3296.8% | 4510.0% | 1500 | |
| $91.95 | +0.10% | $316.0B | 14.1 | +318.8% | 1510.7% | 1500 | |
| $131.46 | -0.32% | $305.1B | 22.6 | +586.3% | 1305.9% | 1500 | |
| $184.74 | -1.40% | $286.4B | 27.2 | +862.9% | 1745.9% | 1500 | |
| $146.57 | -0.87% | $279.7B | 21.0 | +597.3% | 2564.4% | 1500 | |
| $88.98 | -1.86% | $251.9B | 14.4 | -591.0% | 668.4% | 1500 | |
| Sector avg | — | -0.73% | — | 20.3 | +790.5% | 1989.2% | 1500 |