TLYS
Next earnings: Jun 3, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move-0.74%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.1× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 37Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
4.07
Open
4.07
Day Range3.98 – 4.21
3.98
4.21
52W Range0.79 – 5.54
0.79
5.54
68% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.4M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-7.0x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.08
Market-like
Performance
1D
+12.43%
5D
-2.86%
1M
-20.51%
3M
+192.81%
6M
+210.69%
YTD
+104.52%
1Y
+493.99%
Best: 1Y (+493.99%)Worst: 1M (-20.51%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -3% · 30% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.3 · FCF $0.11/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$121.58M
Revenue TTM$553.59M
Net Income TTM-$17.45M
Free Cash Flow$3.28M
Gross Margin29.7%
Net Margin-3.2%
Operating Margin-3.5%
Return on Equity-21.3%
Return on Assets-5.6%
Debt / Equity2.00
Current Ratio1.25
EPS TTM$-0.58
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Comparable store sales trends (currently negative, critical turnaround metric)

Gross margin trajectory and promotional intensity levels (compressed to 26.3% vs historical 32-35%)

E-commerce penetration rate and digital sales growth acceleration

Store closure announcements and footprint optimization plans

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Teen apparel is highly discretionary spending, with sales directly correlated to consumer confidence, youth employment rates, and disposable income. The 12-24 demographic is particularly sensitive to economic cycles as purchases are largely wants-based rather than needs-based. Current -8.6% revenue decline reflects both macro headwinds and company-specific execution issues. Economic weakness disproportionately impacts mall traffic and discretionary apparel categories.

Interest Rates

Moderate sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Higher rates pressure teen household disposable income, reducing discretionary spending; (2) Elevated rates increase financing costs on working capital facilities and any debt refinancing (current 2.03 D/E ratio creates meaningful interest expense); (3) Higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for unprofitable retailers. The company's negative cash flow makes it vulnerable to tighter credit conditions.

Key Risks

Secular decline in mall traffic and physical retail relevance as Gen Z shifts to social commerce (TikTok Shop, Instagram) and direct-to-consumer brands

Fast fashion disruption from Shein, Temu offering comparable styles at 40-60% lower price points with direct-from-Asia fulfillment

Declining brand loyalty among younger consumers who prioritize value and trend velocity over traditional action sports heritage brands

Investor Profile

value/distressed - The stock trades at 0.1x sales and 0.5x book value, attracting deep value investors betting on turnaround execution or liquidation value. However, negative cash flow and deteriorating fundamentals create high risk of permanent capital impairment. Not suitable for growth, dividend, or quality-focused strategies. Primarily appeals to special situations investors, potential activist targets, or distressed debt traders monitoring for restructuring scenarios.

Watch on Earnings
Monthly comparable store sales trends (physical and digital separately)UMCSENT (University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment) as leading indicator for discretionary teen spendingGross margin rate and promotional cadence (% of sales at discount)Inventory levels and turnover velocity (target 3.5-4.0x annually)
Health Radar
2 watch4 concern
21/100
Liquidity
1.25Watch
Leverage
2.00Concern
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
-21.3%Concern
ROIC
-7.5%Concern
Cash
$46MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE17 analysts
HOLD
+135.1%upside to target
L $7.00
Med $9.50consensus
H $12.00
Buy
741%
Hold
1059%
7 Buy (41%)10 Hold (59%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 37 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.25
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 17, 2026
In 93 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 77.5%

+1.7% vs SMA 50 · +80.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI36.8
Momentum fading
MACD-0.08
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$5.54+37.1%
Current
$4.04
EMA 50
$3.81-5.7%
EMA 200
$2.56-36.5%
52W Low
$0.7900-80.4%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$0.790068th %ile$5.54
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:0
Dist days:0
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.7M
Recent Vol (5D)
188K-89%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 1 analyst
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$615.3M
$615.3M$615.3M
-$1.41
Low1
FY2025
$575.9M
$575.9M$575.9M
-6.4%-$1.08
Low1
FY2026(current)
$547.2M
$547.2M$547.2M
-5.0%-$0.82
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryTLYS
Last 8Q
+75.5%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates rising
-4%
Q2'24
+97%
Q3'24
-16%
Q4'24
-61%
Q1'25
-12%
Q2'25
+350%
Q3'25
+83%
Q4'25
+167%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Seaport GlobalBuy → Neutral
Sep 2
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
4 Buys/2 SellsNet Buying
Shay Capital Llc10 Percent Own…
$74K
Mar 20
SELL
Shay Capital Llc10 Percent Own…
$2.6M
Mar 12
SELL
Shay Capital Llc10 Percent Own…
$32K
Aug 11
BUY
Shay Capital Llc10 Percent Own…
$50K
Aug 8
BUY
Shay Capital Llc10 Percent Own…
$48K
Jul 30
BUY
Shay Capital Llc10 Percent Own…
$46K
Jul 29
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Fund 1 Investments, LLC
8.1M
2
BML Capital Management, LLC
2.1M
3
Shay Capital LLC
1.8M
4
HEALTHCARE OF ONTARIO PENSION PLAN TRUST FUND
900K
5
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC
849K
6
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP
811K
7
Pacific Ridge Capital Partners, LLC
693K
8
NOMURA HOLDINGS INC
546K
News & Activity

TLYS News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Tillys is a leading specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear and accessories for young men, young women, boys and girls with an extensive assortment of iconic global, emerging and proprietary brands rooted in an active and outdoor lifestyle. Tillys is headquartered in Irvine, California and, as of February 10, 2021, operated 238 total stores across 33 states, and its website, www.tillys.com.

Industry
Clothing Accessories Stores
Michael L. HenryExecutive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Corporate Secretary
Nathan SmithPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Bobby GasconVice President of Marketing & Innovation
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
TLYS
$4.04+12.43%$122M-278.7%-315.3%1500
$404.35-3.20%$2.1T30.5+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$132.58-6.05%$307.9B20.7-44.8%1012.0%1500
$88.38-2.58%$303.7B13.6+318.8%1510.7%1500
$148.08-1.13%$282.6B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$181.58-1.83%$281.6B26.9+862.9%1745.9%1500
$183.40-0.23%$256.1B16.8+213.3%1482.4%1500
Sector avg-0.37%21.6+709.4%1787.1%1500