TRST
Next earnings: Jul 20, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move+0.97%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.7× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 49Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
47.60
Open
47.69
Day Range47.31 – 48.37
47.31
48.37
52W Range30.17 – 48.45
30.17
48.45
98% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
123.8K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
14.1x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.04%
Beta
0.42
Low vol
Performance
1D
+0.97%
5D
+4.41%
1M
+7.95%
3M
+7.64%
6M
+27.45%
YTD
+16.28%
1Y
+52.23%
Best: 1Y (+52.23%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +6% YoY · 68% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 14x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.4 (low) · FCF $2.57/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$851.17M
Revenue TTM$281.59M
Net Income TTM$63.15M
Free Cash Flow$45.74M
Gross Margin67.6%
Net Margin22.4%
Operating Margin29.9%
Return on Equity9.2%
Return on Assets1.0%
Debt / Equity0.22
Current Ratio0.38
EPS TTM$3.54
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net interest margin expansion/compression driven by Fed policy and yield curve shape

Residential mortgage origination volumes in upstate NY and Florida markets

Deposit pricing competition and cost of funds trajectory

Credit quality metrics, particularly residential mortgage delinquencies and charge-offs

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Regional banks are moderately cyclical as loan demand, credit quality, and deposit flows correlate with local economic conditions. TrustCo's upstate NY and Florida exposure ties performance to regional employment, housing activity, and population trends. Residential mortgage focus provides some stability versus commercial lending, but refinancing activity and home sales volumes fluctuate with economic cycles. The 5.8% revenue growth and 25% earnings growth suggest current economic conditions are supportive.

Interest Rates

High positive sensitivity to rising short-term rates and steepening yield curves. As a deposit-funded lender, TrustCo benefits when the Fed raises rates because loan yields reprice faster than deposit costs (asset-sensitive balance sheet). The 10Y-2Y yield curve spread directly impacts profitability - steeper curves expand net interest margins. However, inverted curves or rapid rate cuts compress margins. Mortgage origination volumes are inversely sensitive to long-term rates, as rising mortgage rates reduce refinancing activity and home purchases.

Key Risks

Geographic concentration in upstate New York creates exposure to regional economic weakness, population decline, and limited growth opportunities versus Sun Belt markets

Digital banking disruption and fintech competition eroding deposit franchise and margin compression from online banks offering higher deposit rates

Regulatory burden disproportionately affects smaller banks with <$10B assets, limiting scale advantages and increasing compliance costs

Investor Profile

value/dividend - TrustCo attracts income-focused investors seeking stable dividends (estimated 3-5% yield) and defensive exposure to regional banking. The 1.2x Price/Book and 3.0x Price/Sales valuations suggest value orientation. Conservative credit profile and consistent profitability appeal to risk-averse investors. Limited growth prospects (5.8% revenue growth) make this less attractive to growth investors. Recent 37% one-year return suggests momentum investors have participated in the regional bank recovery trade.

Watch on Earnings
Federal Funds Rate and Fed policy trajectory - directly impacts net interest margin10Y-2Y Treasury yield curve spread - steeper curves expand profitability30-year fixed mortgage rates - affects origination volumes and refinancing activityUpstate NY and Florida unemployment rates - leading indicator of credit quality
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
25/100
Liquidity
0.38Concern
Leverage
0.22Strong
Coverage
0.9xConcern
ROE
9.2%Watch
ROIC
1.0%Concern
Cash
$51MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE3 analysts
HOLD
Hold
267%
Sell
133%
0 Buy (0%)2 Hold (67%)1 Sell (33%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 49 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.38 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 10, 2026
In 99 days
Technicals
Technical SetupMIXED
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 12.7%

+9.0% vs SMA 50 · +22.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI49.1
Neutral territory
MACD-0.46
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$48.45+0.8%
Current
$48.06
EMA 50
$43.64-9.2%
EMA 200
$38.95-19.0%
52W Low
$30.17-37.2%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$30.1798th %ile$48.45
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Elevated Squeeze Setup

Strong accumulation on above-average volume. Buyers are absorbing supply aggressively — any positive catalyst could trigger a rapid covering move.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:0
Edge:+6 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)93K
Recent Vol (5D)
120K+28%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 1 analyst
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$192.0M
$192.0M$192.0M
$3.22
Low1
FY2024
$168.6M
$168.6M$168.6M
-12.2%$2.38-26.1%
Low1
FY2025
$187.1M
$187.1M$187.1M
+11.0%$2.87+20.6%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryTRST
Last 8Q
+13.2%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+1%
Q4'23
+7%
Q2'24
+25%
Q3'24
+19%
Q4'24
+15%
Q2'25
+14%
Q3'25
+18%
Q4'25
+6%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
NET BUYERS$5K bought · $0 sold · 30d window
Silverman Frank BDir
$5K
Apr 24
BUY
Curley Kevin MEXECUTIVE VICE…
$25K
Mar 12
BUY
Lucarelli Lisa MDir
$9K
Nov 26
BUY
Cotugno SteffaniDir
$23K
Jun 4
BUY
Powell Curtis NDir
$6K
Apr 25
BUY
Curley Kevin MEXECUTIVE VICE…
$25K
Apr 25
BUY
Financials
Dividends3.12% yield
+3.1% avg annual growth
Annual Yield3.12%
Quarterly Div.$0.3800
Est. Annual / Share$1.52
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
43K
2
SummerHaven Investment Management, LLC
22K
3
Ellsworth Advisors, LLC
19K
4
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
12K
5
R Squared Ltd
11K
6
Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd
10K
7
State of Alaska, Department of Revenue
10K
8
STRS OHIO
8K
News & Activity

TRST News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

trustco bank has been the low cost provider of high quality products and services since opening for business in 1902 in the upstate town of schenectady, new york. throughout this time trustco bank has remained true to core banking principles and did not get caught up in any of the latest banking fads that have caused so many other banks to close their doors over the years. in 2002, the company began a large expansion, opening over 80 new branches in central florida, massachusetts, downstate new york, new jersey, and vermont.today, trustco bank has 147 branch locations, 53 of which are in the state of florida. the bank believes in old school, personal service and welcomes each customer by name as they enter the branch. offering a wide variety of great deposit and loan products, the bank specializes in residential mortgage lending. as of december 31, 2021, trustco bank' s assets were $6.2 billion. trustco bank has paid dividends to its shareholders for over 100 consecutive years, and has

Industry
Monetary Authorities-Central Bank
John R. GeorgeSenior Vice President & Chief Retail Banking Officer
Kevin CurleyExecutive Vice President & Chief Banking Officer
Michael J. EwellSenior Vice President & Chief Risk Officer
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
TRST
$48.06+0.97%$851M13.6+577.0%2196.5%1500
$312.47-0.24%$842.7B14.8+330.7%2039.3%1502
$328.03-0.55%$628.8B28.2+1134.0%5014.5%1498
$495.46-1.48%$438.6B28.4+1641.6%4564.7%1488
$53.24-0.41%$382.1B12.2-45.1%1592.6%1501
$190.18-0.22%$302.0B16.4+1147.7%1466.4%1516
$923.71-0.01%$274.1B15.5-138.4%1373.0%1515
Sector avg-0.28%18.4+663.9%2606.7%1503