TRUP
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+8.34%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume1.4× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 54Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
24.33
Open
24.46
Day Range24.38 – 26.84
24.38
26.84
52W Range23.80 – 57.89
23.80
57.89
8% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
468.7K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
44.7x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
2.06
High vol
Performance
1D
+1.42%
5D
-1.97%
1M
-5.66%
3M
-24.77%
6M
-38.23%
YTD
-34.89%
1Y
-45.70%
Best: 1D (+1.42%)Worst: 1Y (-45.70%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +12% YoY
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 45x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.7 · FCF $1.73/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.15B
Revenue TTM$1.48B
Net Income TTM$25.80M
Free Cash Flow$75.07M
Gross Margin22.4%
Net Margin1.7%
Operating Margin1.3%
Return on Equity6.9%
Return on Assets2.8%
Debt / Equity0.28
Current Ratio1.73
EPS TTM$0.59
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Monthly pet enrollment growth rates and retention metrics - market expects 15-20% annual pet additions with 98%+ monthly retention to justify valuation

Loss ratio performance relative to 70% target - veterinary cost inflation or adverse claims experience directly impacts profitability

Customer acquisition cost efficiency and payback periods - CAC increases or lengthening payback beyond 24 months signal competitive pressure

Geographic expansion progress in Australia and potential new markets - international growth represents key long-term revenue diversification

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Pet insurance exhibits defensive characteristics as pet owners prioritize animal healthcare even during recessions, but new customer acquisition slows during economic stress as discretionary spending tightens. Existing subscription retention remains resilient (98%+ monthly) through cycles, but growth rates correlate with consumer confidence, employment levels, and discretionary income availability for new pet adoptions and insurance sign-ups. Veterinary procedure volumes show modest cyclicality as owners defer elective surgeries during downturns.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create mixed effects: (1) Negative valuation impact as high-growth, unprofitable business models face multiple compression when risk-free rates increase - particularly acute given 0.8x P/S ratio already reflects rate sensitivity; (2) Positive operational impact through higher investment income on $200M+ float from unearned premiums and loss reserves, adding 50-100bps to margins in higher rate environments; (3) Modest negative demand impact as higher mortgage rates and borrowing costs reduce discretionary spending on pet insurance for marginal buyers. Net effect is valuation-negative in rising rate environments despite operational tailwinds.

Key Risks

Veterinary cost inflation exceeding pricing adjustments - if annual veterinary inflation runs 8-10% but competitive dynamics limit premium increases to 5-6%, loss ratios deteriorate and unit economics compress

Regulatory risk from state insurance departments imposing rate caps, coverage mandates, or restricting lifetime pricing models that eliminate age-based increases

Technology disruption from AI-powered claims processing or telemedicine reducing veterinary visit frequency and insurance value proposition

Investor Profile

growth - Investors focus on 15-20% revenue growth potential, expanding TAM as pet insurance penetration grows from 3% currently toward 25%+ in mature markets like Sweden, and operating leverage inflection as the company approaches 1 million pets. The 301% net income growth reflects profitability inflection after years of investment, attracting growth-at-reasonable-price investors given 0.8x P/S valuation. Recent 38% six-month decline has attracted contrarian value investors betting on oversold conditions.

Watch on Earnings
Monthly pet enrollment count and net additions - leading indicator of revenue growth trajectoryVeterinary cost inflation trends and loss ratio performance - monitors claims cost pressureConsumer sentiment index (University of Michigan) - correlates with discretionary insurance purchasesPet ownership rates and household formation trends - addressable market expansion
Health Radar
1 strong2 watch3 concern
41/100
Liquidity
1.73Watch
Leverage
0.28Strong
Coverage
1.5xConcern
ROE
6.9%Concern
ROIC
3.2%Concern
Cash
$138MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE15 analysts
BUY
+32.8%upside to target
L $34.00
Med $35.00consensus
H $45.00
Buy
960%
Hold
640%
9 Buy (60%)6 Hold (40%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
5 of 5 signals bullish
10/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 54 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.73 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 1.2%

-31.3% vs SMA 50 · -32.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI53.7
Neutral territory
MACD-1.26
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$57.88+119.6%
EMA 200
$38.81+47.2%
EMA 50
$38.01+44.2%
Current
$26.36
52W Low
$23.80-9.7%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$23.808th %ile$57.88
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:6
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)527K
Recent Vol (5D)
442K-16%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$1.2B
$1.2B$1.2B
-$0.45
±2%
Low2
FY2024
$1.3B
$1.3B$1.3B
+6.7%-$0.18
±50%
High5
FY2025
$1.4B
$1.4B$1.5B
+12.1%$0.48
±17%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryTRUP
Last 8Q
+120.2%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates rising
+22%
Q3'24
+150%
Q4'24
-33%
Q1'25
+25%
Q2'25
+833%
Q3'25
-85%
Q4'25
-7%
Q1'26
+57%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Bank of America Sec…Buy
May 16
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $12K sold · 30d window
Gallagher John RCOO
$12K
Apr 28
SELL
Gallagher John RCOO
$11K
Mar 30
SELL
Dreyer EmilyChief Revenue …
$219K
Mar 4
SELL
Qureshi FawwadCFO
$75K
Feb 27
SELL
Gallagher John RCOO
$140K
Feb 27
SELL
Qureshi FawwadCFO
$119K
Feb 25
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Kopion Asset Management, LLC
400K
2
Hosking Partners LLP
303K
3
Nuveen, LLC
107K
4
ProShare Advisors LLC
79K
5
NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM
33K
6
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
23K
7
Inspire Investing, LLC
20K
8
State of Alaska, Department of Revenue
17K
News & Activity

TRUP News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

trupanion is the fastest growing player in the pet medical insurance space. we are known for superior coverage and top-notch customer service. we pride ourselves on swift claims resolutions and providing the best medical insurance care available. if you are a pet lover seeking your next adventure, then you have found a company that’s right for you! we're growing our footprint throughout north america and need ambitious, data-driven individuals with innovation in their dna to join our team and help nurture a market with immense opportunity. as a territory partner you can enjoy the freedom and flexibility of being your own boss while spearheading the growth of medical insurance for pets in your region. as a team member at our headquarters you will find yourself surrounded by supportive colleagues (and furry companions) and managers who want to help you find your sweet spot, aligning your passion for animals and professional skills. both employment opportunities will allow you to position

CEO
Darryl Rawlings
Wei LiSenior Vice President of Finance & Corporate Controller
Laura BainbridgeSenior Vice President of Corporate Communications
Margaret Rosemary Maria ToothPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
TRUP
$26.36+1.42%$1.1B41.0+1194.9%135.0%1500
$307.65-0.24%$842.7B14.8+330.7%2039.3%1502
$326.85-0.55%$628.8B28.2+1134.0%5014.5%1498
$504.74-1.48%$438.6B28.4+1641.6%4564.7%1488
$52.19-0.41%$382.1B12.2-45.1%1592.6%1501
$188.03-0.22%$302.0B16.4+1147.7%1466.4%1516
$903.27-0.01%$274.1B15.5-138.4%1373.0%1515
Sector avg-0.21%22.4+752.2%2312.2%1503