Budweiser Brewing Company APAC Limited (BDWBY) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Budweiser Brewing Company APAC Limited (BDWBY) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Federal Reserve policy shifts and forward guidance on rate trajectory - directly impacts financing costs and MBS valuations
Agency MBS spread movements relative to Treasury yields (typical range 100-180 bps over 10-year)
Book value per share changes driven by mark-to-market on securities portfolio and hedge effectiveness
Dividend sustainability and coverage ratio relative to economic return on equity
moderate - Unlike equity REITs, mortgage REITs have limited direct GDP sensitivity. Economic growth affects the business indirectly through Fed policy responses and mortgage origination volumes. Recession risk matters primarily through its impact on Fed rate cuts and yield curve shape. Housing market strength drives prepayment speeds and MSR values but doesn't directly affect Agency MBS credit quality due to government guarantees.
Extremely high sensitivity to both rate levels and curve shape. Rising short-term rates increase repo financing costs immediately while asset yields adjust more slowly, compressing net interest margin. Inverted yield curves are particularly damaging as they eliminate the positive carry that drives profitability. The company hedges duration risk but faces basis risk between hedges and assets. Rate volatility impacts both portfolio valuations and hedge effectiveness. Current 4.79x debt-to-equity implies substantial refinancing risk if repo markets tighten.
Federal Reserve balance sheet normalization reducing Agency MBS demand and widening spreads beyond historical norms
Regulatory changes to repo markets or REIT taxation affecting financing costs or distribution requirements
Structural decline in mortgage origination volumes reducing MSR opportunities and portfolio reinvestment options
dividend - Mortgage REITs primarily attract income-focused investors seeking high dividend yields (TWO historically 10-14% yield range). However, current negative ROE makes this a distressed value opportunity for contrarian investors betting on rate environment normalization. Not suitable for growth investors given capital-intensive model with limited organic growth. The 0.7x price-to-book suggests deep value investors are evaluating liquidation scenarios or turnaround potential.
Trend
+13.9% vs SMA 50 · +16.3% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2023 | $519.5M | — | $0.84 | — | ±50% | High6 |
FY2024 | $-132801250 | — | $0.62 | ▼ -26.1% | ±20% | High7 |
FY2025 | $-70250000 | — | $1.32 | ▲ +111.9% | ±50% | High7 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
Budweiser Brewing Company APAC Limited (BDWBY) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

two harbors investment corp., a maryland corporation, is a real estate investment trust that invests in residential mortgage-backed securities, residential mortgage loans, mortgage servicing rights, commercial real estate and other financial assets. two harbors is headquartered in new york, ny, and is externally managed and advised by prcm advisers llc, a wholly-owned subsidiary of pine river capital management l.p. additional information is available at www.twoharborsinvestment.com.
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TWO◀ | $12.23 | -2.47% | $1.3B | — | -2840.1% | -7501.5% | 1500 |
| $307.65 | -1.54% | $829.7B | 14.6 | +330.7% | 2039.3% | 1502 | |
| $326.85 | -0.36% | $626.5B | 28.1 | +1134.0% | 5014.5% | 1498 | |
| $504.74 | +1.87% | $446.8B | 28.9 | +1641.6% | 4564.7% | 1488 | |
| $52.19 | -1.97% | $374.6B | 11.9 | -45.1% | 1592.6% | 1501 | |
| $188.03 | -1.13% | $298.6B | 16.2 | +1147.7% | 1466.4% | 1516 | |
| $903.27 | -2.21% | $268.0B | 15.2 | -138.4% | 1373.0% | 1515 | |
| Sector avg | — | -1.12% | — | 19.2 | +175.8% | 1221.3% | 1503 |