Antimony metal prices (currently $15,000-18,000/ton range) - direct impact on revenue realization and margin expansion
Critical minerals policy developments and defense procurement contracts - drives strategic premium valuation
Production volume announcements from Yellow Pine mine and Thompson Falls smelter utilization rates
Battery technology partnerships or offtake agreements - speculative driver given antimony's potential role in next-generation batteries
moderate-to-high - Antimony demand is tied to industrial production (flame retardants in plastics, electronics) and construction activity (fire safety applications). Defense spending provides countercyclical stability, but 60%+ of demand is economically sensitive. The 288% one-year return reflects speculative positioning on critical minerals rather than fundamental cyclical recovery. Actual revenue sensitivity to GDP is moderate, but stock volatility is extreme given small float and speculative interest.
High sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Valuation compression - at 25x sales with negative earnings, the stock trades on future optionality that discounts heavily with rising rates; (2) Financing costs - while debt/equity is 0.00, the company will likely need capital raises to fund operations given negative cash flow, making equity dilution more expensive in high-rate environments; (3) Commodity prices - rising rates strengthen USD, typically pressuring metal prices. The extreme valuation multiples make this highly rate-sensitive despite no debt.
Chinese market dominance (80%+ global antimony supply) creates persistent pricing pressure and potential dumping risk if geopolitical tensions ease
Antimony substitution risk in flame retardant applications as regulatory preferences shift toward alternative chemistries
Unproven commercial viability of antimony in next-generation batteries - current valuation embeds significant speculative premium on battery applications that may not materialize
momentum/speculative - The 288% one-year return, 25x sales valuation with negative earnings, and $0.8B market cap on minimal revenue attracts retail momentum traders and thematic investors betting on critical minerals/battery technology narratives. Not suitable for value investors given negative cash flows and unproven profitability. Some strategic/thematic exposure from investors seeking domestic critical minerals plays or China de-risking themes. Institutional ownership likely minimal given liquidity constraints and speculative profile.
Trend
-13.1% vs SMA 50 · +10.1% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2025 | $39.2M $35.5M–$41.3M | — | -$0.02 | — | ±50% | Moderate3 |
FY2026(current) | $121.9M $117.7M–$125.4M | ▲ +211.2% | $0.07 | — | ±50% | Moderate3 |
FY2027 | $253.7M $225.1M–$282.4M | ▲ +108.1% | $0.31 | ▲ +359.3% | ±50% | Low2 |
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
UAMY News
About
United States Antimony Corporation (USAC)is a rapidly growing natural resource company that is increasing its raw material supply of antimony from properties in Mexico and third parties around the world. USAC has produced various antimony products since 1969 and is a fully integrated mining, transportation, milling, smelting, and selling company. USAC operates the only significant antimony smelter in the United States and it is in a "sold out" condition. The Company has proven experience in underground and open pit mining, flotation and gravimetric milling, crushing and screening, dry grinding, cyanide leaching, precious metal refining, pyro-metallurgy, and marketing. Operations include a smelter and a precious metal refinery in Montana, and a smelter and three mills in Mexico. Three Mexican properties supply direct shipping ore (DSO) or mill feed for the Mexican operations. The Los Juarez property and mill at Puerto Blanco are being permitted to start gold and silver production that will supplement the antimony values and identify the Company as a "precious metal producer." USAC owns 100% of the Bear River Zeolite, Corp. mine in southeast Idaho that management regards as one of the best zeolite properties in the world due to its high cation exchange capacity, low sodium content, hardness, uniformity, high potassium content, large surface area, and low clay and impurity content.
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UAMY◀ | $8.61 | -10.03% | $1.3B | — | +16280.5% | -1105.4% | 1500 |
| $506.11 | -1.08% | $234.1B | 33.0 | +297.2% | 2029.7% | 1508 | |
| $109.06 | -6.25% | $116.4B | — | — | — | 1504 | |
| $63.01 | -4.73% | $90.6B | 33.3 | +112.4% | 856.2% | 1514 | |
| $300.10 | -2.94% | $74.0B | — | — | — | 1475 | |
| $247.62 | -0.51% | $69.7B | 33.2 | +215.9% | 1290.7% | 1477 | |
| $295.38 | +0.00% | $65.8B | 31.2 | -52.3% | — | 1501 | |
| Sector avg | — | -3.65% | — | 32.7 | +3370.7% | 767.8% | 1497 |