UHOIF
8/25/26

USHIO (UHOIF)

Tuesday
6:00 PM
Thesis: Ushio: the story is balanced — Semiconductor capital equipment spending cycles - ASML, Tokyo Electron order trends drive lithography lamp demand

Revenue Outlook

MetricFY2026FY2027EFY2028E
Revenue$180.3B$214.8B$230.9B
Rev. Growth+1.5%+19.1%+7.5%
EPS$95.87$133.20$198.88
EPS Growth+36.4%+38.9%+49.3%
P/E (fwd)0.3×0.2×0.1×
Analysts see FY2027 revenue reaching $214.8B +19.1% growth in a single year.

What Moves the Stock

  1. 1Semiconductor capital equipment spending cycles - ASML, Tokyo Electron order trends drive lithography lamp demand
  2. 2Cinema industry recovery and box office trends - impacts projector lamp replacement cycles and new installation revenue
  3. 3Japanese yen exchange rate movements - significant export exposure to USD and EUR markets affects translated revenues
  4. 4Industrial automation and electronics manufacturing activity in China, Taiwan, South Korea - drives UV curing system demand
  5. 5Competitive pressure from LED technology adoption displacing traditional lamp-based systems in certain applications
  6. 6Light sources for semiconductor manufacturing equipment (excimer lamps, mercury lamps for lithography steppers) - estimated 30-35% of revenue
  7. 7Cinema projection systems and replacement lamps for digital cinema - estimated 15-20% of revenue
  8. 8Industrial UV curing systems and LED solutions for manufacturing applications - estimated 20-25% of revenue
FY2026 Snapshot
Revenue
$180.3B
NI Growth
+18.4%
EPS
$95.87

UHOIF Chart

16.819.923.026.129.226.17UHOIF Daily26.17Apr '26May '26Jul '26Aug '26

My Notes

  • value - The 1.4x P/S, 1.2x P/B, and 9.6x EV/EBITDA multiples suggest deep value territory…
  • Moderate sensitivity through two channels: (1) Higher rates reduce semiconductor and industrial capex spending as customers delay equipment…
  • Watch on earnings: ASML and Tokyo Electron quarterly order intake and semiconductor equipment billings (proxy for lithography lamp demand), Global box office revenues and cinema screen counts (tracks projector lamp replacement market size), USD/JPY exchange rate movements (major translation impact on export-heavy revenue base).

One Sentence Summary:

Ushio: the story is balanced — semiconductor capital equipment spending cycles - asml, tokyo electron order trends drive lithography lamp demand.

Auto-composed from Stock Alarm intelligence, financial statements, and analyst estimates. Not investment advice.

Data is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.