USLM
Next earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-3.28%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 34Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
107.53
Open
106.15
Day Range102.68 – 106.93
102.68
106.93
52W Range94.02 – 141.44
94.02
141.44
21% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
133.4K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
23.0x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.01%
Beta
0.62
Low vol
Performance
1D
-3.28%
5D
-5.57%
1M
-22.28%
3M
-4.11%
6M
-12.93%
YTD
-13.15%
1Y
+1.76%
Best: 1Y (+1.76%)Worst: 1M (-22.28%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +9% YoY · 48% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 23x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 20.7 · FCF $3.19/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.98B
Revenue TTM$369.31M
Net Income TTM$130.74M
Free Cash Flow$91.41M
Gross Margin48.1%
Net Margin35.4%
Operating Margin41.6%
Return on Equity21.3%
Return on Assets18.3%
Debt / Equity0.01
Current Ratio20.73
EPS TTM$4.56
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Steel industry capacity utilization and domestic steel production volumes (lime is essential flux in steelmaking)

Construction activity in Texas and Arkansas markets, particularly infrastructure and commercial projects requiring lime-stabilized soils

Natural gas prices impacting calcination costs (lime kilns consume substantial energy)

Pricing negotiations on multi-year industrial contracts, typically reset annually with CPI or cost escalators

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Lime demand is directly tied to steel production (cyclical manufacturing) and construction activity (residential and infrastructure). During recessions, steel mill utilization drops sharply and construction projects are deferred, reducing lime consumption by 20-30%. However, the company's exposure to environmental and water treatment applications (acyclical) provides modest downside protection. Infrastructure spending cycles, particularly state DOT budgets for road construction using lime-treated base materials, create multi-year demand visibility.

Interest Rates

Rising rates negatively impact USLM through two channels: (1) construction demand softens as mortgage rates reduce housing starts and higher borrowing costs delay commercial projects, and (2) valuation compression - the stock's 8.1x P/S multiple reflects scarcity value and yield-seeking behavior that becomes less attractive when risk-free rates rise. The company's zero debt eliminates direct financing cost exposure, but customers in steel and construction face higher capital costs that can pressure lime pricing. Lower rates stimulate construction activity and support premium valuations for asset-light, high-ROIC businesses.

Key Risks

Secular decline in domestic steel production as manufacturing shifts overseas or adopts electric arc furnaces (which use less lime than blast furnaces)

Environmental regulations on lime kiln emissions (NOx, SOx, particulates) requiring costly pollution control equipment or operational restrictions

Reserve depletion risk - high-purity limestone deposits are finite, and permitting new quarries faces increasing NIMBY opposition and multi-decade timelines

Investor Profile

value - The stock attracts investors seeking asset-backed value plays with pricing power and scarcity characteristics. The combination of high ROIC (23.1% ROE), zero debt, and niche market positioning appeals to quality-focused value managers. However, limited liquidity (small float) and cyclical earnings volatility deter momentum investors. The lack of dividends despite strong cash generation suggests management prioritizes reinvestment in reserve development over shareholder distributions, attracting long-term compounders rather than income investors.

Watch on Earnings
Industrial Production Index (INDPRO) as proxy for steel mill operating rates and lime demandHousing starts (HOUST) and building permits (PERMIT) indicating construction activity in Texas/Arkansas marketsNatural gas prices (NGUSD) directly impacting lime production costs and margin sustainabilityCapacity utilization in US steel industry (American Iron and Steel Institute data) predicting quicklime volumes
Health Radar
5 strong1 concern
72/100
Liquidity
20.73Strong
Leverage
0.01Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
21.3%Strong
ROIC
17.4%Strong
Cash
$371MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE1 analysts
BUY
+32.7%upside to target
Buy
1100%
1 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 34 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 20.73 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 10, 2026
In 117 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 1.0%

-15.7% vs SMA 50 · -14.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI34.2
Momentum fading
MACD-5.30
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$141.4+36.0%
EMA 50
$119.9+15.3%
EMA 200
$119.3+14.7%
Current
$104.0
52W Low
$94.02-9.6%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$94.0221th %ile$141.4
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:3
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)147K
Recent Vol (5D)
99K-32%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 12 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$375.4M
$300.3M$450.4M
$4.82
±19%
High12
FY2025
$382.0M
$382.0M$382.0M
+1.8%$4.59-4.7%
Low1
FY2026(current)
$465.0M
$465.0M$465.0M
+21.7%$5.44+18.5%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryUSLM
Last 8Q
+34.4%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates rising
+161%
Q1'10
+43%
Q2'10
+73%
Q3'10
+3%
Q4'10
-6%
Q3'25
+19%
Q4'25
-6%
Q1'26
-12%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Duhe Sandra CDir
$154K
Mar 3
SELL
Byrne Timothy WDir
$3.1M
Sep 3
SELL
Byrne Timothy WDir
$173K
Sep 3
SELL
Byrne Timothy WDir
$1.4M
Sep 4
SELL
Byrne Timothy WDir
$72K
Sep 4
SELL
Duhe Sandra CDir
$299K
Feb 24
SELL
Financials
Dividends0.23% yield
+11.0% avg annual growth
Annual Yield0.23%
Quarterly Div.$0.0600
Est. Annual / Share$0.24
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
863K
2
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
748K
3
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC
614K
4
FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP
442K
5
Select Equity Group, L.P.
406K
6
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
354K
7
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.
327K
8
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
302K
News & Activity

USLM News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

arkansas lime co is a mining and metals company located in p.o. box 2356, batesville, arkansas, united states.

CEO
Timothy Byrne
John J. GagnonVice President of Business Development
Michael L. WiedemerVice President & Chief Financial Officer
Nathan O'NeillVice President of Production
PeersBasic Materials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
USLM
$104.00-3.28%$3.0B22.8+1731.3%3602.5%1500
$506.11-1.08%$234.1B33.0+297.2%2029.7%1506
$109.06-6.25%$116.4B14.0+1907.6%3206.3%1507
$63.01-4.73%$90.6B33.3+112.4%856.2%1516
$300.10-2.94%$74.0B28.4+206.0%1089.5%1477
$247.62-0.51%$69.7B33.2+215.9%1290.7%1473
$295.38-1.50%$65.8B31.2-52.3%-327.7%1502
Sector avg-2.90%28.0+631.1%1678.2%1497