UTL
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+1.18%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.2× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 55Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
51.85
Open
51.74
Day Range51.60 – 52.65
51.60
52.65
52W Range44.61 – 59.99
44.61
59.99
51% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
131.2K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
17.7x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.03%
Beta
0.30
Low vol
Performance
1D
-1.16%
5D
-1.09%
1M
-2.56%
3M
+1.21%
6M
+6.38%
YTD
+7.04%
1Y
-12.50%
Best: YTD (+7.04%)Worst: 1Y (-12.50%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +8% YoY · 41% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 18x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
CR 0.6 (low) · FCF negative
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$943.55M
Revenue TTM$536.00M
Net Income TTM$50.20M
Free Cash Flow-$53.80M
Gross Margin41.3%
Net Margin9.4%
Operating Margin18.9%
Return on Equity8.8%
Return on Assets2.3%
Debt / Equity1.54
Current Ratio0.56
EPS TTM$2.85
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Rate case outcomes in NH, MA, and ME - authorized ROE levels, capital recovery mechanisms, and regulatory lag directly impact earnings trajectory

Capital expenditure program execution - $200M+ annual capex for grid modernization, gas infrastructure replacement, and reliability improvements drives rate base growth

Interest rate environment - with 1.53x debt/equity ratio, financing costs for capital programs and refinancing risk affect earnings; rising rates compress valuation multiples for yield-oriented utilities

Dividend policy and sustainability - utilities attract income investors; current 8.8% ROE and negative FCF raise questions about dividend coverage from operations vs. external financing

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Regulated utilities exhibit minimal GDP sensitivity as electricity and natural gas are essential services with inelastic demand. Residential usage (majority of customer base) remains stable through economic cycles. Commercial/industrial load may decline modestly in recessions, but decoupling mechanisms and fixed customer charges provide revenue stability. The 8.3% revenue growth likely reflects rate increases and capital cost recovery rather than volume expansion.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create dual pressure: (1) Higher financing costs for the $200M annual capex program and refinancing of existing debt (1.53x D/E ratio implies ~$500M+ debt outstanding), directly compressing margins if not recovered promptly in rates. (2) Valuation multiple compression as yield-oriented investors rotate to bonds offering better risk-adjusted returns. The negative FCF position makes UTL particularly vulnerable to rising rates as external financing becomes more expensive. Conversely, falling rates reduce financing costs and make the dividend yield more attractive, expanding valuation multiples.

Key Risks

Energy transition and electrification policy - state-level mandates in MA, NH, and ME for building electrification and renewable energy could strand natural gas distribution assets (~40-45% of revenue) or require costly system modifications; regulatory treatment of transition costs uncertain

Distributed energy resources and grid defection - rooftop solar adoption with battery storage in service territories reduces volumetric throughput and challenges cost recovery models, though net metering policies and fixed charges provide partial mitigation

Climate-related physical risks - New England exposure to severe winter storms, flooding, and extreme weather events requires increased capital spending on system hardening and creates earnings volatility from storm restoration costs (subject to regulatory deferral mechanisms)

Investor Profile

dividend/value - Small-cap regulated utilities attract income-focused investors seeking stable dividends and defensive characteristics. The 1.5x P/B valuation suggests value orientation, though negative FCF raises sustainability concerns. Limited analyst coverage and $1.0B market cap mean institutional ownership skews toward regional/specialty funds rather than large-cap utility portfolios. Recent 11% three-month return vs. -6.2% one-year return indicates episodic volatility around rate cases and financing events.

Watch on Earnings
NGUSD natural gas futures prices - New England relies heavily on natural gas for heating and power generation; price spikes affect customer bills and regulatory scrutiny even though costs are passed through10-year Treasury yield (GS10) - proxy for utility cost of capital and valuation multiple compression/expansion as rates moveNew England heating degree days vs. normal - weather volatility drives natural gas distribution volumes and earnings variability despite partial decouplingRegional electricity demand growth - commercial and industrial load trends in NH/MA/ME service territories signal economic health and capital investment needs
Health Radar
3 watch3 concern
23/100
Liquidity
0.56Concern
Leverage
1.54Watch
Coverage
2.3xWatch
ROE
8.8%Watch
ROIC
3.8%Concern
Cash
$16MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE8 analysts
HOLD
+8.7%upside to target
Buy
338%
Hold
338%
Sell
225%
3 Buy (38%)3 Hold (38%)2 Sell (24%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 55 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.56 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 2.1%

+4.5% vs SMA 50 · +6.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI55.0
Neutral territory
MACD+0.64
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$59.99+14.4%
Current
$52.46
EMA 50
$50.80-3.2%
EMA 200
$45.06-14.1%
52W Low
$44.61-15.0%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$44.6151th %ile$59.99
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:3
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)68K
Recent Vol (5D)
77K+13%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$517.4M
$506.5M$528.3M
$3.09
±3%
Low1
FY2026(current)
$559.6M
$547.8M$571.4M
+8.2%$3.28+6.3%
±3%
Low1
FY2027
$583.0M
$559.8M$606.1M
+4.2%$3.49+6.4%
±3%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryUTL
Last 8Q
+17.2%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates rising
+6%
Q2'24
-7%
Q3'24
-75%
Q4'24
+2%
Q1'25
-2%
Q2'25
+4%
Q3'25
+200%
Q4'25
+10%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Zacks Investment Re…Buy
Apr 26
UPGRADE
Financials
Dividends3.48% yield
+7.2% avg annual growth
Annual Yield3.48%
Quarterly Div.$0.4800
Est. Annual / Share$1.92
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Boston Trust Walden Corp
340K
2
Nuveen, LLC
137K
3
ProShare Advisors LLC
121K
4
Skopos Labs, Inc.
49K
5
Wernau Asset Management Inc.
43K
6
EXCHANGE TRADED CONCEPTS, LLC
42K
7
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
35K
8
North Star Investment Management Corp.
34K
News & Activity

UTL News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Unitil Corporation provides energy for life by safely and reliably delivering natural gas and electricity in New England. Unitil Corporation is committed to the communities it serves and to developing people, business practices, and technologies that lead to the delivery of dependable, more efficient energy. Unitil Corporation is a public utility holding company with operations in Maine, New Hampshire and Massachusetts. Together, Unitil's operating utilities serve approximately 107,100 electric customers and 85,600 natural gas customers. Other subsidiaries include Usource, Unitil's non-regulated business segment, which the Company divested in the first quarter or 2019.

Sector
Industry
Electric Power Distribution
Daniel J. HurstakSenior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer
Robert HevertPresident & Chief Administrative Officer
Katherine A. BourqueSenior Vice President of External Affairs & Chief Customer Officer
PeersUtilities(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
UTL
$52.46-1.16%$933M+832.7%1500
$1069.85-1.89%$285.6B30.5+894.3%1283.0%1527
$95.86-0.95%$202.2B24.7+1100.1%2487.3%1510
$96.27+0.01%$109.0B24.9+1058.6%1468.9%1499
$128.04-0.73%$100.1B20.1+619.3%1541.1%1498
$318.70-1.66%$96.1B41.5+833.8%908.2%1494
$135.34-0.15%$74.4B19.8+937.2%1643.5%1515
Sector avg-0.93%26.9+896.6%1555.3%1506