UVE
Next earnings: Jul 23, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move-0.72%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 58Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
39.03
Open
39.05
Day Range38.29 – 39.81
38.29
39.81
52W Range21.96 – 41.96
21.96
41.96
84% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
213.5K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
5.7x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.06%
Beta
0.54
Low vol
Performance
1D
-0.72%
5D
-3.37%
1M
+12.58%
3M
+24.32%
6M
+12.65%
YTD
+14.64%
1Y
+46.23%
Best: 1Y (+46.23%)Worst: 5D (-3.37%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +3% YoY
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 6x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.6 (low) · FCF $12.38/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.08B
Revenue TTM$1.60B
Net Income TTM$195.80M
Free Cash Flow$344.75M
Gross Margin31.9%
Net Margin12.2%
Operating Margin16.2%
Return on Equity37.5%
Return on Assets7.1%
Debt / Equity0.17
Current Ratio0.56
EPS TTM$7.03
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Catastrophic weather events (named hurricanes making Florida landfall, severe convective storm frequency) driving loss ratio volatility and reinsurance cost changes

Florida regulatory rate decisions from OIR affecting ability to achieve rate adequacy and maintain underwriting margins

Reinsurance market pricing and capacity availability impacting cost of risk transfer and net retention levels

Policy count growth or contraction in Florida homeowners market as competitors enter/exit or Citizens depopulation programs shift policies to private market

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Homeowners insurance demand is relatively inelastic as coverage is typically required by mortgage lenders, providing revenue stability through economic cycles. However, new home construction activity affects policy growth opportunities, and economic stress can increase policy cancellations or non-renewals. Premium rate adequacy and loss cost inflation (construction materials, labor costs for repairs) create indirect GDP sensitivity through claims severity trends.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates positively impact investment income as the fixed-income portfolio (estimated $800M-$1B based on typical P&C insurer asset levels) reinvests maturing securities at higher yields, directly improving net investment income. Higher rates also reduce present value of loss reserves, creating modest reserve releases. However, rising mortgage rates can slow housing market activity and new policy originations. The company's modest debt load (0.20 D/E ratio) minimizes financing cost sensitivity.

Key Risks

Climate change increasing frequency and severity of hurricanes and severe convective storms in Florida, potentially rendering traditional actuarial models inadequate and driving reinsurance costs beyond economically viable levels

Florida regulatory environment constraining rate adequacy through OIR approval delays or rate caps while loss costs inflate, compressing underwriting margins and potentially forcing market exits like other carriers

Citizens Property Insurance Corporation expansion as private market insurers exit Florida, creating adverse selection risk as Citizens retains higher-risk policies and potentially destabilizing private market through assessments

Investor Profile

value - The stock trades at 0.6x P/S and 1.8x P/B with 14.8% FCF yield, attracting value investors seeking discounted insurance franchises with turnaround potential. The 28% ROE despite compressed margins suggests operational efficiency that could expand with rate improvements. High volatility from catastrophe exposure and regulatory uncertainty deters growth investors, while inconsistent dividend history limits income-focused buyers. Recent 52.9% one-year return indicates momentum traders have participated, but 3-month -7.5% decline shows volatility risk.

Watch on Earnings
Named storm activity in Atlantic basin and Florida landfall probability during June-November hurricane seasonFlorida Office of Insurance Regulation rate filing approvals and average approved rate change percentagesReinsurance market pricing indices (Guy Carpenter Rate-on-Line Index, Aon Reinsurance Aggregate) indicating cost trendsCitizens Property Insurance Corporation policy count trends showing private market competitiveness
Health Radar
4 strong1 watch1 concern
75/100
Liquidity
0.56Concern
Leverage
0.17Strong
Coverage
51.9xStrong
ROE
37.5%Strong
ROIC
26.9%Strong
Cash
$409MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE4 analysts
HOLD
+3.2%upside to target
Buy
250%
Hold
125%
Sell
125%
2 Buy (50%)1 Hold (25%)1 Sell (25%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 58 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Accumulation
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.56 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 18, 2026
In 125 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 15.1%

+8.0% vs SMA 50 · +24.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI58.1
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+1.06
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$41.96+8.3%
Current
$38.75
EMA 50
$36.54-5.7%
EMA 200
$31.73-18.1%
52W Low
$21.96-43.3%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$21.9684th %ile$41.96
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:2
Edge:+4 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)209K
Recent Vol (5D)
181K-14%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$2.1B
$2.1B$2.1B
$1.78
±1%
Low2
FY2024
$2.0B
$2.0B$2.0B
-0.5%$1.66-6.9%
Low1
FY2025
$2.1B
$2.1B$2.1B
+4.5%$5.31+220.7%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryUVE
Last 8Q
+49.8%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+16%
Q3'24
+29%
Q4'24
+178%
Q1'25
+29%
Q2'25
+13%
Q3'25
+24%
Q4'25
+67%
Q1'26
+44%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Piper SandlerOverweight
Feb 27
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $1.9M sold · 30d window
Downes Sean PDir
$756K
May 15
SELL
Downes Sean PDir
$19K
May 15
SELL
Pietrangelo MichaelDir
$119K
May 12
SELL
Pietrangelo MichaelDir
$177K
May 13
SELL
Downes Sean PDir
$468K
Apr 29
SELL
Downes Sean PDir
$234K
Apr 29
SELL
Financials
Dividends1.99% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield1.99%
Quarterly Div.$0.1600
Est. Annual / Share$0.64
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

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2
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1.3M
3
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1.2M
4
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC
1000K
5
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
891K
6
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP
659K
7
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
654K
8
STATE STREET CORP
605K
News & Activity

UVE News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

universal insurance holdings inc (uve) is an insurance company located in 1110 w commercial blvd, fort lauderdale, florida, united states.

CEO
Stephen Donaghy
PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
UVE
$38.75-0.72%$1.1B5.5+493.7%1146.6%1500
$297.81-0.70%$798.0B14.1+330.7%2039.3%1503
$325.75+1.00%$624.4B28.0+1134.0%5014.5%1500
$494.20+0.87%$436.7B28.3+1641.6%4564.7%1490
$49.77-0.16%$353.2B11.4-45.1%1592.6%1495
$192.51-1.04%$303.6B16.6+1147.7%1466.4%1526
$948.47-2.11%$279.8B15.9-138.4%1373.0%1526
Sector avg-0.41%17.1+652.0%2456.7%1506