Cricut, Inc. (CRCT) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Cricut, Inc. (CRCT) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Quarterly net flows (organic growth) - positive flows signal investment performance and distribution effectiveness, typically moving the stock 3-5% on earnings
Equity market performance (S&P 500, Russell indices) - approximately 60-65% of AUM is equity-oriented, creating direct sensitivity to market appreciation
M&A announcements - acquisitions of boutique managers at accretive multiples (sub-10x EBITDA) typically drive 5-10% stock moves
Operating margin expansion - investors focus on realization of acquisition synergies and scalability, with 100bps margin improvement worth approximately 8-10% to valuation
moderate-to-high - Asset management revenue correlates strongly with equity market valuations and investor risk appetite. During economic expansions, rising corporate earnings drive equity appreciation (increasing AUM) while positive investor sentiment generates net inflows into equity strategies. Recessions create dual headwinds: market depreciation reduces AUM and fee revenue, while risk-off flows shift assets to lower-fee money market and fixed income products. However, Victory's diversified product mix (equity, fixed income, alternatives) and sticky institutional relationships provide some cyclical buffer compared to pure equity managers.
Rising interest rates create mixed effects. Higher rates pressure equity valuations through discount rate expansion, potentially reducing AUM and revenue (negative). However, rates rising from economic strength can drive equity market appreciation and improve fixed income reinvestment yields, benefiting performance (positive). Victory's 40% debt-to-equity ratio means financing costs increase modestly with rate hikes, but the impact is secondary to AUM effects. The company's fixed income strategies (approximately 25-30% of AUM) may experience performance headwinds during rapid rate increases but benefit from higher yields attracting flows.
Fee compression from passive/ETF competition - industry-wide shift to low-cost index products pressures active management fees, with Victory's average fee rate potentially declining 2-5 bps annually
Regulatory changes affecting distribution - DOL fiduciary rules, SEC marketing regulations, or retirement plan fee disclosure requirements could disrupt intermediary distribution channels representing 40-50% of flows
Concentration in specific investment franchises - top 3 boutiques represent estimated 50-60% of AUM, creating key person risk if portfolio managers depart
value - Victory trades at 14.3x EV/EBITDA, below mega-cap peers (18-25x) despite strong margins and M&A track record, attracting value investors seeking asset management exposure with acquisition upside. The 4.8% FCF yield and potential for capital return (buybacks, dividends) appeals to income-oriented value investors. Growth investors are attracted by the M&A-driven AUM expansion strategy and operating leverage potential. The stock's moderate volatility and correlation to equity markets also attracts tactical traders positioning on market sentiment.
Trend
+27.8% vs SMA 50 · +43.0% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2023 | $851.0M $832.3M–$873.0M | — | $3.65 | — | ±3% | High5 |
FY2024 | $891.0M $889.0M–$896.6M | ▲ +4.7% | $5.28 | ▲ +44.7% | ±1% | High7 |
FY2025 | $1.3B $1.3B–$1.3B | ▲ +46.4% | $6.24 | ▲ +18.2% | ±1% | High5 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
Cricut, Inc. (CRCT) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

victory capital is an investment management firm operating a next-generation, integrated multi-boutique business model with $62.3 billion in assets under management as of june 30, 2018.* our differentiated model is comprised of nine autonomous investment franchises, each with an independent culture and investment approach. additionally, we offer a rules-based solutions platform, featuring our victoryshares etf brand as well as custom and multi-asset class strategies. our investment franchises and solutions platform are supported by a centralized distribution, marketing and operational environment, in which our investment professionals—unencumbered by other responsibilities—can focus solely on the pursuit of investment excellence. victory capital provides institutions, financial advisors and retirement platforms with a variety of asset classes and investment vehicles, including separately managed accounts, collective trusts, mutual funds, etfs and uma/sma vehicles. we are headquartered
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VCTR◀ | $81.26 | +3.97% | $5.2B | 16.2 | +4618.5% | 2527.0% | 1500 |
| $309.40 | +0.57% | $834.5B | 14.6 | +330.7% | 2039.3% | 1505 | |
| $322.03 | -1.47% | $617.3B | 27.7 | +1134.0% | 5014.5% | 1499 | |
| $497.08 | -1.52% | $440.0B | 28.4 | +1641.6% | 4564.7% | 1489 | |
| $53.12 | +1.78% | $377.0B | 12.2 | -45.1% | 1592.6% | 1503 | |
| $189.25 | +0.64% | $300.4B | 16.3 | +1147.7% | 1466.4% | 1518 | |
| $918.89 | +1.73% | $272.7B | 15.5 | -138.4% | 1373.0% | 1516 | |
| Sector avg | — | +0.81% | — | 18.7 | +1241.3% | 2653.9% | 1504 |