VENU
Next earnings: Aug 13, 2026
Signal
Bearish Setup1!1
Price
1
Move-2.98%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
TrendRally vs TrendAbove 50D, below 200D
PRICE
Prev Close
3.86
Open
3.72
Day Range3.56 – 3.86
3.56
3.86
52W Range3.06 – 18.17
3.06
18.17
5% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
324.7K
Float
40.3M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-3.4x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
$-1.10
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-2.98%
5D
-0.27%
1M
-10.74%
3M
-29.83%
6M
-66.15%
YTD
-55.58%
1Y
-57.26%
Worst: 6M (-66.15%)
Quick Read
Trend
RALLY
Price above SMA50, below SMA200
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -13% YoY · thin -6% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 0.9 (low) · FCF negative
Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$150.75M
Revenue TTM$15.18M
Net Income TTM-$40.58M
Free Cash Flow-$177.30M
Gross Margin-6.4%
Net Margin-267.3%
Operating Margin-302.8%
Return on Equity-30.1%
Return on Assets-8.8%
Debt / Equity0.69
Current Ratio0.90
EPS TTM$-133.05
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

New unit opening pace and geographic expansion announcements versus development plan

Same-store sales growth (SSS) trends and traffic versus check composition

Unit-level economics disclosure: four-wall EBITDA margins, average unit volumes (AUVs), cash-on-cash returns

Path to profitability milestones including breakeven unit count and timeline to positive EBITDA

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Full-service restaurants are highly discretionary spending categories with traffic directly correlated to consumer confidence and disposable income. During recessions, consumers trade down to quick-service or cook at home. The company's development stage amplifies cyclical risk as new unit ramps require strong initial traffic to validate site selection and concept appeal. GDP growth, employment trends, and wage growth directly impact frequency of dining occasions and check sizes.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create multiple headwinds: (1) higher cost of capital for expansion funding given negative FCF and likely debt or equity raises needed, (2) compressed valuation multiples as growth stocks re-rate versus risk-free alternatives, (3) reduced consumer discretionary spending as mortgage/credit costs rise. The 0.54 debt/equity ratio suggests moderate leverage, but development-stage companies often require additional capital at unfavorable terms in high-rate environments.

Key Risks

Labor cost inflation and availability challenges in tight labor markets, with minimum wage pressures and competition from gig economy alternatives compressing margins

Delivery aggregator dependency (DoorDash, Uber Eats) with 25-30% commission rates eroding unit economics while creating customer acquisition reliance on third-party platforms

Shifting consumer preferences toward health-conscious, fast-casual formats and ghost kitchens disrupting traditional full-service models

Investor Profile

growth - Development-stage restaurant concepts attract speculative growth investors betting on successful rollout and eventual profitability inflection. The -66.5% six-month decline and -45.7% one-year return indicate momentum investors have exited. Current holders likely include venture-style equity investors, early-stage restaurant specialists, or distressed/turnaround funds if restructuring becomes necessary. The 15.7x price/sales ratio despite negative margins suggests remaining bulls are underwriting significant future unit expansion and margin improvement.

Watch on Earnings
Monthly same-store sales trends and traffic versus industry benchmarks (Black Box Intelligence data)Unit development pipeline: signed leases, construction timeline, and opening cadence versus capital availabilityRestaurant-level EBITDA margin by cohort (vintage analysis) to assess maturation curveAverage check size and menu price increases versus food cost inflation (CPIAUCSL food component)
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
24/100
Liquidity
0.90Concern
Leverage
0.69Strong
Coverage
-38.5xConcern
ROE
-30.1%Concern
ROIC
-11.3%Concern
Cash
$41MWatch
Analyst Coverage

No analyst coverage available for this stock.

Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 6 signals bullish
4/10
Trend
Trend StateRally (above SMA50, lagging SMA200)
Above SMA 50$3.72 (+0.5%)
Above SMA 200$8.88 (-57.9%)
Technicals
MA AlignmentDeath Cross (50D vs 200D -58.1%)
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.90 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 18, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 106 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$18.17+385.8%
SMA 200
$8.88+137.5%
Current
$3.74
SMA 50
$3.72-0.4%
52W Low
$3.06-18.2%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$3.065th %ile$18.17
Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 1 analyst
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$16.5M
$16.5M$16.5M
-$0.64
Low1
FY2025
$17.9M
$17.9M$17.9M
+9.0%-$1.31
Low1
FY2026(current)
$18.8M
$18.8M$18.8M
+4.5%-$1.01
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryVENU
Last 5Q
-37.0%avg beat
Beat 2 of 5 quartersMissed 3 Estimates falling
-167%
Q2'25
-67%
Q3'25
+29%
Q4'25
+41%
Q1'26
-21%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Roth Jay WDir
$250K
Mar 10
BUY
Roth Jay WDir
$313K
Mar 10
BUY
Roth Jay WDir
$21K
Feb 20
BUY
Roth Jay WDir
$28K
Jan 30
BUY
Finke Thomas MDir
$34K
Dec 30
BUY
Craddock MatthewDir
$1K
Dec 31
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Anson Funds Management LP
5.5M
2
Nantahala Capital Management, LLC
2.0M
3
Graham Capital Management, L.P.
1.5M
4
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC
1.4M
5
Empery Asset Management, LP
1.0M
6
DAVIDSON KEMPNER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP
1.0M
7
Bleichroeder LP
600K
8
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC
493K
News & Activity

VENU News

About

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