VFC
Next earnings: May 20, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move+0.42%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 49Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
18.93
Open
19.08
Day Range18.92 – 19.39
18.92
19.39
52W Range11.06 – 22.27
11.06
22.27
71% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
6.4M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
33.4x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.07%
Beta
1.06
Market-like
Performance
1D
+0.42%
5D
-5.52%
1M
+12.35%
3M
-2.96%
6M
+35.40%
YTD
+5.14%
1Y
+56.33%
Best: 1Y (+56.33%)Worst: 5D (-5.52%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
54% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 33x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
CR 1.5 · FCF negative
Lean Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$7.44B
Revenue TTM$9.58B
Net Income TTM$223.41M
Free Cash Flow-$665.70M
Gross Margin53.8%
Net Margin2.3%
Operating Margin4.6%
Return on Equity14.8%
Return on Assets2.1%
Debt / Equity2.99
Current Ratio1.55
EPS TTM$0.57
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Vans brand stabilization and return to growth - this brand has experienced multi-year declines and represents largest turnaround opportunity

Direct-to-consumer revenue growth and margin expansion - DTC mix shift drives profitability improvement

Wholesale inventory health at key retail partners (department stores, sporting goods chains) - excess inventory triggers promotional pressure

China market performance - represents significant growth opportunity but faces macro headwinds and competitive intensity

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Apparel spending is highly discretionary and correlates strongly with consumer confidence, employment levels, and disposable income. VFC's outdoor and active categories skew toward middle-to-upper income consumers who reduce purchases during economic uncertainty. The company experienced significant revenue declines during 2023-2024 period reflecting post-pandemic normalization and weakening consumer spending. Wholesale channel amplifies cyclicality as retailers reduce inventory purchases ahead of anticipated demand weakness.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact VFC through multiple channels: (1) increased debt service costs on $5.9B debt load reduce earnings, (2) higher consumer financing costs (credit cards) reduce discretionary apparel spending, (3) valuation multiple compression as investors rotate from growth/consumer discretionary to defensive sectors. Lower rates would reduce interest expense (estimated $250-300M annually) and improve consumer purchasing power for discretionary categories.

Key Risks

Secular shift from wholesale to online/DTC channels disrupts traditional department store distribution model - VFC generates 60-65% of revenue through wholesale partners facing structural decline

Fast fashion competition (Shein, Temu) and vertical integration by retailers (private label expansion) compress pricing power and market share in core categories

Generational brand relevance challenges - Vans and other legacy brands face difficulty connecting with Gen Z consumers who prioritize newness and social media-driven trends

Investor Profile

value - Current 0.8x Price/Sales and 4.3% FCF yield attract deep value investors betting on turnaround execution and mean reversion to historical 1.5-2.0x sales multiples. Recent 41% three-month return and 80% net income growth suggest momentum investors entering on improving fundamentals. Not suitable for dividend investors (likely suspended or minimal payout given negative net margin) or growth investors (revenue declining -4.1% YoY). Requires 2-3 year investment horizon for brand repositioning and margin recovery.

Watch on Earnings
US retail sales excluding autos (RSXFS) - leading indicator of consumer discretionary spending environmentConsumer sentiment index (University of Michigan) - predicts apparel purchase intentions 1-2 quarters forwardUSD/CNY exchange rate - impacts sourcing costs (manufacturing) and China market revenue translationCotton futures prices - key input cost representing 15-20% of COGS for apparel products
Health Radar
3 watch3 concern
26/100
Liquidity
1.55Watch
Leverage
2.99Concern
Coverage
2.6xWatch
ROE
14.8%Watch
ROIC
3.3%Concern
Cash
$429MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE25 analysts
HOLD
+5.2%upside to target
L $18.00
Med $20.00consensus
H $25.00
Buy
936%
Hold
1248%
Sell
416%
9 Buy (36%)12 Hold (48%)4 Sell (16%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
6/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 49 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.55 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 3, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 17, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 10.2%

+3.6% vs SMA 50 · +14.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI49.2
Neutral territory
MACD+0.39
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$22.27+17.1%
Current
$19.01
EMA 50
$18.78-1.2%
EMA 200
$16.49-13.3%
52W Low
$11.06-41.8%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$11.0671th %ile$22.27
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:3
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)8.0M
Recent Vol (5D)
7.0M-12%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 16 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$9.6B
$9.5B$9.7B
$0.74
±31%
High15
FY2026(current)
$9.3B
$9.2B$9.5B
-2.5%$0.83+12.3%
±7%
High16
FY2027
$9.5B
$9.3B$9.8B
+2.2%$1.02+24.0%
±31%
High16
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 7 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryVFC
Last 8Q
-345.3%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
-3010%
Q2'24
+10%
Q3'24
+59%
Q4'24
+82%
Q1'25
+7%
Q2'25
+31%
Q3'25
+22%
Q4'25
+35%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Mild positive momentum
30d10
90d10
Seaport GlobalBuy
Apr 14
UPGRADE
KGI SecuritiesOutperform → Neutral
Oct 29
DOWNGRADE
Exane BNP ParibasNeutral → Underperform
Jul 31
DOWNGRADE
CitigroupBuy → Neutral
Apr 7
DOWNGRADE
Wells FargoMarket Perform → Underweight
Oct 14
DOWNGRADE
BarclaysEqual-Weight → Overweight
Sep 18
UPGRADE
OTR GlobalMixed
Jul 19
UPGRADE
CitigroupNeutral → Buy
Jul 18
UPGRADE
Telsey AdvisoryOutperform → Market Perform
May 23
DOWNGRADE
Exane BNP ParibasNeutral
Apr 12
DOWNGRADE
Goldman SachsSell → Buy
Apr 14
UPGRADE
Edward JonesBuy
Apr 13
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
5 Buys/1 SellNet Buying
Chugg Juliana LDir
$142K
Feb 10
SELL
Carucci RichardDir
$603K
May 23
BUY
Dalmia AbhishekCOO
$589K
May 23
BUY
Darrell BrackenPresident & Ch…
$1.0M
May 23
BUY
Carucci RichardDir
$251K
Aug 22
BUY
Carucci RichardDir
$344K
Jun 13
BUY
Financials
Dividends1.89% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield1.89%
Quarterly Div.$0.0900
Est. Annual / Share$0.36
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
DEPRINCE RACE & ZOLLO INC
2.6M
2
Nuveen, LLC
899K
3
COMMONWEALTH EQUITY SERVICES, LLC
813K
4
Compass Wealth Management LLC
619K
5
Fiduciary Alliance LLC
590K
6
Retirement Systems of Alabama
403K
7
WEALTH ENHANCEMENT ADVISORY SERVICES, LLC
319K
8
QSM Asset Management Ltd
280K
News & Activity

VFC News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

vf corporation (nyse: vfc) outfits consumers around the world with its diverse portfolio of iconic lifestyle brands, including vans®, the north face®, timberland®, wrangler® and lee®. founded in 1899, vf is one of the world’s largest apparel, footwear and accessories companies with socially and environmentally responsible operations spanning numerous geographies, product categories and distribution channels. vf is committed to delivering innovative products to consumers and creating long-term value for its customers and shareholders. for more information, visit www.vfc.com.

CEO
Steven Rendle
Angelo LaGregaPresident of VF Jeans Wear for Mass Brands - Americas
Bracken DarrellPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Michael E. PhillipsVice President & Chief Accounting Officer
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
VFC
$19.01+0.42%$7.4B33.3-414.5%-199.6%1500
$397.67+0.41%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.95+0.10%$318.6B14.1+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.46-0.32%$305.1B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$184.74-1.40%$286.4B27.2+862.9%1745.9%1500
$146.57-0.87%$279.7B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$88.98-1.86%$251.9B14.3-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg-0.50%23.0+665.2%1729.4%1500