VIST
Next earnings: Jul 9, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move+0.61%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 49Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
71.85
Open
72.39
Day Range71.44 – 73.50
71.44
73.50
52W Range31.63 – 79.20
31.63
79.20
85% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.7M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
10.5x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.87
Market-like
Performance
1D
+0.61%
5D
+11.13%
1M
+12.64%
3M
+33.60%
6M
+48.01%
YTD
+48.56%
1Y
+42.98%
Best: YTD (+48.56%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +64% YoY · 45% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 11x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
CR 0.8 (low) · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$7.54B
Revenue TTM$2.90B
Net Income TTM$743.98M
Free Cash Flow-$852.56M
Gross Margin45.3%
Net Margin25.6%
Operating Margin45.7%
Return on Equity30.9%
Return on Assets9.6%
Debt / Equity1.45
Current Ratio0.77
EPS TTM$7.11
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Brent crude oil prices (primary revenue driver given export-oriented production mix)

Vaca Muerta production volumes and well productivity metrics (IP rates, EUR estimates)

Argentine political and economic stability (currency controls, export policies, tax regime)

Capital allocation decisions (drilling activity, shareholder returns vs reinvestment)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Oil and gas prices are highly correlated with global GDP growth, industrial activity, and transportation demand. Vista's revenue moves directly with commodity prices, and the 41% revenue growth reflects recent oil price strength. Economic slowdowns reduce energy demand and compress prices, directly impacting cash flow. The company's exposure to emerging market Argentina adds additional cyclical sensitivity through currency and political risk.

Interest Rates

Rising rates have mixed effects: (1) Negative for valuation multiples as E&P stocks are discounted at higher rates, particularly impacting growth-oriented shale producers; (2) Negative for financing costs given 1.24x debt/equity ratio, though much debt may be fixed-rate project financing; (3) Positive correlation as rising rates often accompany strong economic growth that supports oil demand. The $1.1B capex program suggests ongoing financing needs, making credit conditions material. Argentine sovereign risk premium also moves with global rate environment.

Key Risks

Energy transition and long-term oil demand uncertainty - shale assets have 20-30 year development horizons but face policy risk from decarbonization initiatives

Argentine sovereign and political risk - history of currency controls, export restrictions, windfall taxes, and regulatory unpredictability creates jurisdiction-specific risk not present in US/Canadian shale peers

Infrastructure constraints in Vaca Muerta - pipeline capacity, export terminals, and processing facilities may limit production growth and force shut-ins during periods of oversupply

Investor Profile

growth - The 41% revenue growth, 37% ROE, and emerging market shale exposure attract growth investors seeking high-return E&P plays. The negative FCF and high reinvestment rate (capex exceeds OCF) indicate growth-over-yield strategy. However, the 4.7x EV/EBITDA valuation and improving cash generation also appeal to value investors seeking discounted energy exposure. The stock attracts investors comfortable with EM risk and commodity volatility in exchange for Vaca Muerta's resource potential and operational leverage.

Watch on Earnings
Brent crude oil spot price and Brent-WTI spread (determines export realization)Vista Energy daily production volumes reported quarterly (boe/d growth rate)Argentine peso/USD exchange rate and government export incentive policiesVaca Muerta rig count and completion activity (industry-wide indicator)
Health Radar
2 strong2 watch2 concern
50/100
Liquidity
0.77Concern
Leverage
1.45Watch
Coverage
5.1xStrong
ROE
30.9%Strong
ROIC
13.8%Watch
Cash
$526MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE6 analysts
BUY
+2.4%upside to target
L $53.20
Med $74.00consensus
H $87.00
Buy
6100%
6 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
2/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 49 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.77 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 96 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 32.7%

+5.4% vs SMA 50 · +39.8% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI49.0
Neutral territory
MACD+0.23
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$79.20+9.6%
Current
$72.29
EMA 50
$67.21-7.0%
EMA 200
$55.50-23.2%
52W Low
$31.63-56.2%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$31.6385th %ile$79.20
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:0
Dist days:2
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.8M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.2M-30%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 6 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$2.4B
$2.4B$2.4B
$6.53
±13%
High6
FY2026(current)
$4.1B
$3.7B$4.5B
+71.8%$10.06+54.2%
±15%
Moderate3
FY2027
$4.5B
$4.0B$4.9B
+9.4%$10.64+5.7%
±19%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryVIST
Last 8Q
-41.7%avg beat
Beat 1 of 8 quartersMissed 7 Estimates rising
-47%
Q3'24
-60%
Q4'24
-74%
Q1'25
-4%
Q2'25
-74%
Q3'25
+19%
Q4'25
-56%
Q1'26
-37%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
UBSNeutral → Buy
Jan 11
UPGRADE
UBSBuy → Neutral
Jan 3
DOWNGRADE
UBSBuy
Sep 27
UPGRADE
CitigroupNeutral
Apr 17
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
6 Buys/0 SellsNet Buying
Davis Robert DDir
$21K
Dec 7
BUY
Davis Robert DPresident & CEO
$2K
Feb 18
BUY
Davis Robert DPresident & CEO
$9K
Nov 24
BUY
Davis Robert DPresident & CEO
$3K
Nov 12
BUY
Davis Robert DPresident & CEO
$3K
Nov 12
BUY
Davis Robert DPresident & CEO
$5K
Oct 28
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
4.9M
2
Capital Research Global Investors
4.7M
3
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/
4.2M
4
Capital World Investors
2.5M
5
Abu Dhabi Investment Council Co P.J.S.C
2.4M
6
Ninety One UK Ltd
1.9M
7
FIL Ltd
1.9M
8
BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO
1.6M
News & Activity

VIST News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Vista Energy Marketing is a retail provider of electricity and natural gas operating in nine states across America.

CEO
Miguel Galuccio
Country
Mexico
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
VIST
$72.29+0.61%$7.5B10.1+5015.4%2906.2%1500
$404.35-3.20%$2.1T30.5+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$132.58-6.05%$307.9B20.7-44.8%1012.0%1500
$88.38-2.58%$303.7B13.6+318.8%1510.7%1500
$148.08-1.13%$282.6B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$181.58-1.83%$281.6B26.9+862.9%1745.9%1500
$183.40-0.23%$256.1B16.8+213.3%1482.4%1500
Sector avg-2.06%19.9+1465.7%2247.4%1500