VRDN
Next earnings: Aug 5, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-3.50%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 20Oversold — bounce setup
PRICE
Prev Close
17.43
Open
17.26
Day Range16.71 – 17.26
16.71
17.26
52W Range12.51 – 34.29
12.51
34.29
20% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.7M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-5.0x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.77
Low vol
Performance
1D
-3.50%
5D
-1.06%
1M
+13.04%
3M
-39.71%
6M
-41.54%
YTD
-45.95%
1Y
+33.28%
Best: 1Y (+33.28%)Worst: YTD (-45.95%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +23383% YoY · 99% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 15.1 · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.43B
Revenue TTM$70.92M
Net Income TTM-$360.59M
Free Cash Flow-$303.82M
Gross Margin99.4%
Net Margin-508.5%
Operating Margin-543.9%
Return on Equity-60.7%
Return on Assets-45.7%
Debt / Equity0.08
Current Ratio15.15
EPS TTM$-3.53
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Phase 3 clinical trial data readouts for VRDN-001 (primary endpoints: proptosis reduction, clinical activity score improvement)

FDA regulatory interactions and approval timeline updates (BLA submission timing, priority review designation)

Competitive positioning versus Tepezza (efficacy comparisons, safety profile differentiation, dosing convenience)

Partnership or licensing deal announcements (ex-US rights, co-commercialization agreements)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Clinical trial execution and regulatory timelines are largely insulated from GDP fluctuations. Patient enrollment for rare diseases depends on physician referral networks and disease prevalence, not consumer spending. However, post-approval commercial success could face modest pressure in severe recessions if insurers tighten prior authorization or patients delay elective treatments.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create moderate headwinds through two channels: (1) Higher discount rates compress NPV of future cash flows, particularly painful for pre-revenue biotechs with 3-5 year monetization horizons. (2) Increased financing costs if the company taps debt markets, though equity remains primary funding source. The 6-month 58% rally suggests rate sensitivity is secondary to clinical catalysts. However, sustained rate increases above 5% historically correlate with biotech multiple compression as investors rotate to safer yielding assets.

Key Risks

Binary clinical trial risk: Phase 3 failure would likely result in 70-90% stock decline given single-asset focus. TED trials face challenges with subjective endpoints (proptosis measurement variability) and placebo response rates.

Regulatory approval uncertainty: FDA may require additional safety data given Tepezza's hearing loss side effects created heightened scrutiny for IGF-1R inhibitors. Approval timeline could extend 12-18 months beyond base case.

Reimbursement risk: Payers increasingly scrutinize rare disease therapies above $300K. Viridian must demonstrate clear differentiation versus Tepezza to secure favorable coverage policies and avoid step-edit requirements.

Investor Profile

growth - Pure clinical-stage speculation attracting biotech specialists, event-driven hedge funds, and venture-style public market investors. The 70% one-year return reflects momentum from positive clinical updates. Institutional holders likely include dedicated healthcare funds with high risk tolerance and 3-5 year horizons. Retail participation elevated given rare disease narrative appeal. Zero dividend, negative earnings eliminate value and income investors entirely. Position sizing typically 1-3% of portfolio given binary risk profile.

Watch on Earnings
Phase 3 trial enrollment completion dates and patient retention rates for VRDN-001 studiesProptosis reduction data (millimeters) versus Tepezza historical benchmarks from published trialsSafety signals particularly related to hearing, hyperglycemia, and infusion reactions compared to competitor profilesCash runway in quarters based on current burn rate and balance sheet
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
46/100
Liquidity
15.15Strong
Leverage
0.08Strong
Coverage
-34.6xConcern
ROE
-60.7%Concern
ROIC
-52.3%Concern
Cash
$212MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE16 analysts
BUY
+117.0%upside to target
L $26.00
Med $36.50consensus
H $50.00
Buy
1381%
Hold
319%
13 Buy (81%)3 Hold (19%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 20 — Oversold, watch for bounce
~
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 15.15 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 28, 2026
In 104 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 62.4%

-38.6% vs SMA 50 · -0.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI20.2
Oversold — potential bounce
MACD-3.64
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$34.29+103.9%
EMA 50
$25.05+48.9%
EMA 200
$16.88+0.4%
Current
$16.82
52W Low
$12.51-25.6%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$12.5120th %ile$34.29
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:3
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)3.1M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.3M-25%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 11 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$85.4M
$75.1M$134.5M
-$3.53
±16%
High11
FY2026(current)
$46.0M
$7.0M$95.9M
-46.1%-$3.78
±22%
High9
FY2027
$244.4M
$154.4M$425.3M
+431.1%-$2.42
±50%
High11
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryVRDN
Last 8Q
+7.7%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates rising
-15%
Q3'24
-8%
Q4'24
+23%
Q1'25
+8%
Q2'25
Q3'25
+59%
Q4'25
-20%
Q1'26
+15%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
B. RileyBuy → Neutral
May 9
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
5 Buys/1 SellNet Buying
NET BUYERS$20.0M bought · $0 sold · 30d window
Fairmount Funds Man…Dir
$20.0M
May 11
BUY
Tousignant JenniferChief Legal Of…
$71K
Dec 31
SELL
Fairmount Funds Man…Dir
$10.0M
Oct 23
BUY
Beetham Thomas W.COO
$117K
Sep 27
BUY
Mahoney Stephen F.Dir
$499K
Sep 27
BUY
Fairmount Funds Man…Dir
$30.0M
Sep 13
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
FMR LLC
15.4M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
7.8M
3
Bellevue Group AG
6.7M
4
STATE STREET CORP
4.7M
5
Fairmount Funds Management LLC
3.9M
6
VR Adviser, LLC
3.9M
7
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/
3.2M
8
Paradigm Biocapital Advisors LP
3.1M
News & Activity

VRDN News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

miragen therapeutics, inc., (nasdaq: mgen), is a biopharmaceutical company discovering and developing innovative microrna (mirna)-targeting therapies to improve human health, specifically in disease areas of high unmet medical need. the company leverages in-house expertise in mirna biology, oligonucleotide chemistry, and drug development to evaluate and advance best-in-class technologies and high-potential drug candidates for its own pipeline or in conjunction with strategic partners. at miragen, we recognize the importance of creating strategic relationships within the biotech and pharmaceutical industries and with academic institutions globally. this collaborative approach is making important contributions in our efforts to create mirna-targeting therapies. miragen’s areas of focus include hematological malignancies, pathological fibrosis, neuro-degeneration, and cardiovascular disease. in 2011, the company formed a strategic partnership with servier, a privately-run, french research

Industry
Research and Development in Biotechnology (except Nanobiotechnology)
CEO
William Marshall
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
VRDN
$16.82-3.50%$1.4B+2335993.4%-48356.5%1500
$66.13-5.07%$13.0B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$94.92-3.79%$12.6B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$523.69-3.00%$12.1B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$227.72-1.30%$11.7B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.90-0.86%$11.2B50.3+1459.3%147.7%1500
$76.67-3.79%$10.8B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-3.04%50.3+675563.2%-10410.0%1500