VTMX
Next earnings: Jul 23, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bearish12
Price
1
Move-1.31%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume2.3× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 44Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
34.45
Open
34.03
Day Range32.01 – 34.29
32.01
34.29
52W Range24.99 – 37.41
24.99
37.41
73% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
91.2K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
8.9x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-1.31%
5D
-4.84%
1M
-6.49%
3M
+0.98%
6M
+11.26%
YTD
+11.51%
1Y
+17.00%
Best: 1Y (+17.00%)Worst: 1M (-6.49%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +16% YoY · 89% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 9x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 5.7 · FCF $0.22/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.91B
Revenue TTM$297.41M
Net Income TTM$328.20M
Free Cash Flow$153.98M
Gross Margin89.0%
Net Margin110.5%
Operating Margin76.8%
Return on Equity12.4%
Return on Assets7.3%
Debt / Equity0.41
Current Ratio5.66
EPS TTM$0.39
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Nearshoring activity and foreign direct investment (FDI) flows into Mexico - announcements of new manufacturing facilities by US/Asian companies

Net absorption rates and rental rate growth in key markets (Tijuana, Ciudad Juárez, Monterrey, Bajío) - typically measured in USD per square foot annually

Development pipeline progress and pre-leasing rates on speculative projects - investors focus on stabilized occupancy timelines

US-Mexico trade policy developments and USMCA compliance - tariff threats or trade restrictions impact tenant confidence

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-to-high - Industrial real estate demand is directly tied to manufacturing activity and cross-border trade volumes. US industrial production and manufacturing PMI drive tenant expansion decisions. However, long-term lease contracts (5-7 years) provide revenue stability during short-term downturns. The nearshoring secular trend provides countercyclical support, as companies prioritize supply chain resilience over cost optimization during uncertainty.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Rising US Treasury yields compress REIT valuation multiples as income-oriented investors rotate to bonds; (2) Higher financing costs impact development returns and acquisition economics - Vesta's 0.56 debt/equity suggests moderate leverage but refinancing risk exists; (3) Tenant cost of capital affects expansion decisions and lease negotiations. The company's USD-denominated revenue provides natural hedge against peso depreciation but exposes valuation to US rate policy.

Key Risks

Nearshoring reversal risk - if US-Mexico trade relations deteriorate or alternative low-cost manufacturing hubs (Vietnam, India) become more attractive, tenant demand could weaken significantly

Overbuilding in key markets - competitive supply additions in Tijuana, Ciudad Juárez, and Monterrey could pressure rental rates and occupancy, particularly if speculative development outpaces absorption

Mexican regulatory and political risk - changes to labor laws, environmental regulations, or energy policy could impact tenant operating costs and location attractiveness

Investor Profile

growth - The 17.2% revenue growth, nearshoring secular tailwind, and 25.5% one-year return attract growth-oriented investors seeking exposure to Mexico's manufacturing renaissance. However, the -29.8% net income decline and 3.0% FCF yield suggest limited appeal to pure income investors. The stock attracts thematic investors focused on supply chain reconfiguration and US-Mexico trade dynamics rather than traditional REIT dividend seekers.

Watch on Earnings
Mexico manufacturing PMI and industrial production index - leading indicators of tenant demandUS-Mexico cross-border trade volumes and FDI announcements - measure nearshoring momentumClass A industrial vacancy rates in Tijuana, Ciudad Juárez, Monterrey, and Bajío marketsUSD/MXN exchange rate - impacts revenue translation and development economics
Health Radar
2 strong2 watch2 concern
51/100
Liquidity
5.66Strong
Leverage
0.41Strong
Coverage
3.6xWatch
ROE
12.4%Watch
ROIC
5.1%Concern
Cash
$337MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE3 analysts
HOLD
+17.6%upside to target
L $39.00
Med $40.00consensus
H $41.00
Buy
267%
Sell
133%
2 Buy (67%)0 Hold (0%)1 Sell (33%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
4/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 44 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 5.66 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 18, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 27, 2026
In 102 days
Technicals
Technical SetupMIXED
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 30.5%

-0.9% vs SMA 50 · +29.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI44.4
Momentum fading
MACD+0.02
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$37.41+10.0%
EMA 50
$34.59+1.7%
Current
$34.00
EMA 200
$26.37-22.4%
52W Low
$24.99-26.5%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$24.9973th %ile$37.41
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Heavy distribution on elevated volume — institutions appear to be exiting. Squeeze setups unlikely while selling pressure persists.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:5
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)90K
Recent Vol (5D)
323K+259%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 12 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$282.7M
$266.0M$303.6M
$1.37
±6%
High12
FY2026(current)
$318.8M
$307.2M$333.1M
+12.8%$2.34+70.5%
±6%
High10
FY2027
$359.7M
$338.0M$377.9M
+12.8%$2.04-12.7%
±6%
High10
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryVTMX
Last 8Q
+104.1%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates rising
+182%
Q2'24
+146%
Q3'24
+130%
Q4'24
-66%
Q2'25
-36%
Q3'25
-42%
Q4'25
+306%
Q1'26
+213%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
ScotiabankSector Perform
Dec 10
DOWNGRADE
Goldman SachsNeutral
Oct 7
DOWNGRADE
Financials
Dividends2.51% yield
+11.4% avg annual growth
Annual Yield2.51%
Semi-Annual Div.$0.2211
Est. Annual / Share$0.44
FrequencySemi-Annual
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP
1.9M
2
FMR LLC
1.5M
3
Itau Unibanco Holding S.A.
691K
4
LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC
362K
5
CENTERSQUARE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC
338K
6
Grandeur Peak Global Advisors, LLC
172K
7
BlackRock, Inc.
157K
8
UBS Group AG
81K
News & Activity

VTMX News

About

No description available.

CEO
Lorenzo Manuel Berho Corona
Country
Mexico
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
VTMX
$34.00-1.31%$2.9B8.8+1579.5%8340.2%1500
$404.35-3.20%$2.1T30.5+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$132.58-6.05%$307.9B20.7-44.8%1012.0%1500
$88.38-2.58%$303.7B13.6+318.8%1510.7%1500
$148.08-1.13%$282.6B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$181.58-1.83%$281.6B26.9+862.9%1745.9%1500
$183.40-0.23%$256.1B16.8+213.3%1482.4%1500
Sector avg-2.33%19.8+974.8%3023.6%1500