WALD
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-9.82%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.2× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 67Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
1.63
Open
1.63
Day Range1.46 – 1.63
1.46
1.63
52W Range0.72 – 3.22
0.72
3.22
30% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.0M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-0.7x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-1.21%
5D
+14.79%
1M
+53.77%
3M
-9.44%
6M
-13.76%
YTD
-13.30%
1Y
-32.08%
Best: 1M (+53.77%)Worst: 1Y (-32.08%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +42% YoY · 46% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.7 · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$173.81M
Revenue TTM$545.94M
Net Income TTM-$272.19M
Free Cash Flow-$27.77M
Gross Margin45.5%
Net Margin-84.4%
Operating Margin-22.7%
Return on Equity-47.8%
Return on Assets-28.1%
Debt / Equity0.32
Current Ratio1.70
EPS TTM$-1.94
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Quarterly revenue growth rates and guidance, particularly acceleration or deceleration from current 25% YoY trajectory

Retail distribution wins or losses at key accounts (Sephora door count expansion, Ulta placement, international retail partnerships)

Path to profitability metrics including gross margin expansion and operating expense leverage as percentage of revenue

Direct-to-consumer penetration and e-commerce growth rates, which typically carry higher margins than wholesale

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate-to-high - Prestige beauty products exhibit discretionary spending characteristics, with demand sensitive to consumer confidence and disposable income. While beauty has historically shown resilience during mild recessions (lipstick effect), the company's premium positioning ($30-80 product price points) makes it more vulnerable than mass-market beauty. Medical-grade skincare (Obagi) shows lower cyclicality due to professional channel distribution and treatment-oriented positioning. Revenue correlates with retail traffic patterns, employment levels, and consumer willingness to spend on non-essential personal care.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create multiple headwinds: (1) Higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies, particularly impacting P/S multiples which have contracted from 2.5x to 0.8x; (2) Increased financing costs on the company's debt (0.39 D/E ratio suggests approximately $25-30M in debt); (3) Reduced consumer discretionary spending as mortgage and credit card costs rise, dampening retail traffic at specialty beauty stores. The company's negative cash flow profile makes it more vulnerable to tighter financial conditions and potentially limits access to growth capital.

Key Risks

Retail channel concentration risk with heavy dependence on Sephora and Ulta Beauty for distribution, where loss of shelf space or reduced promotional support could materially impact revenue

Shift toward social commerce and influencer-driven beauty brands that bypass traditional retail, potentially disrupting the wholesale-dependent business model

Clean beauty and ingredient transparency trends requiring continuous reformulation and potentially higher input costs to meet evolving consumer and regulatory standards

Investor Profile

growth - The stock appeals to investors seeking exposure to prestige beauty market growth with 25% revenue expansion, despite current unprofitability. The 0.8x P/S valuation suggests deep value characteristics, but negative cash flow and -41% one-year return indicate this is a speculative turnaround play rather than traditional value investment. High-risk tolerance required given cash burn, small market cap, and execution uncertainty. Momentum investors have largely exited given negative 3-month and 1-year returns.

Watch on Earnings
US retail sales excluding autos (RSXFS) as proxy for specialty beauty retail traffic and consumer spending patternsConsumer sentiment index (University of Michigan) indicating willingness to purchase discretionary beauty productsUnemployment rate trends affecting target demographic's disposable income for prestige beauty purchasesSephora and Ulta Beauty quarterly comparable store sales as leading indicator for wholesale channel performance
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch4 concern
27/100
Liquidity
1.70Watch
Leverage
0.32Strong
Coverage
-2.5xConcern
ROE
-47.8%Concern
ROIC
-7.8%Concern
Cash
$32MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE4 analysts
BUY
+70.1%upside to target
L $2.00
Med $2.50consensus
H $3.00
Buy
250%
Hold
250%
2 Buy (50%)2 Hold (50%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 67 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.70 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 18, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 106 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 29.8%

+23.3% vs SMA 50 · -13.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI66.8
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.17
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$3.22+119.0%
EMA 200
$1.68+14.4%
Current
$1.47
EMA 50
$1.30-11.4%
52W Low
$0.7200-51.0%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$0.720030th %ile$3.22
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:1
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.2M
Recent Vol (5D)
287K-77%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$240.4M
$228.4M$248.3M
-$0.64
±5%
Low1
FY2024
$272.4M
$270.6M$275.1M
+13.3%-$0.17
±50%
Low2
FY2025
$275.4M
$274.0M$276.7M
+1.1%-$1.78
±5%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryWALD
Last 7Q
-1446.1%avg beat
Beat 0 of 7 quartersMissed 6 Estimates falling
-700%
Q3'22
-7246%
Q1'24
-1702%
Q2'24
Q4'24
-215%
Q2'25
-20%
Q1'26
-240%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Telsey AdvisoryOutperform → Market Perform
Nov 25
DOWNGRADE
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Zeno Equity Partners LLP
12.3M
2
Milestones Administradora de Recursos Ltda.
2.4M
3
BlackRock, Inc.
2.0M
4
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
647K
5
STATE STREET CORP
547K
6
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
247K
7
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
171K
8
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC
106K
News & Activity

WALD News

About

No description available.

Industry
Toilet Preparation Manufacturing
PeersConsumer Defensive(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
WALD
$1.47-1.21%$174M-65.6%-8444.5%1500
$131.45-0.76%$1.0T47.9+472.5%307.0%1520
$1048.95+0.74%$465.4B54.5+816.7%294.3%1507
$80.82+0.46%$347.7B25.4+187.0%2734.0%1508
$141.57-0.80%$329.7B20.5+29.2%1895.3%1486
$189.61-1.17%$295.5B26.7+731.3%2791.8%1509
$149.12+0.30%$203.8B23.3+225.5%877.3%1488
Sector avg-0.35%33.0+342.4%65.0%1503