WBS
Next earnings: Jul 16, 2026
Signal
Leaning Bearish1!
Price
1
Move-0.19%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.3× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 71Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
72.36
Open
72.59
Day Range72.03 – 72.62
72.03
72.62
52W Range48.37 – 74.00
48.37
74.00
93% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
4.4M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
11.8x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.03%
Beta
1.06
Market-like
Performance
1D
-0.19%
5D
+0.32%
1M
+3.48%
3M
+9.42%
6M
+26.61%
YTD
+14.74%
1Y
+45.17%
Best: 1Y (+45.17%)Worst: 1D (-0.19%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +4% YoY · 62% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 12x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 269.1 · FCF $7.52/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$11.70B
Revenue TTM$4.35B
Net Income TTM$1.02B
Free Cash Flow$1.20B
Gross Margin62.0%
Net Margin23.5%
Operating Margin27.1%
Return on Equity10.8%
Return on Assets1.2%
Debt / Equity0.08
Current Ratio269.13
EPS TTM$6.41
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net interest margin expansion/compression driven by Fed policy and deposit pricing competition - each 10bp change in NIM materially impacts earnings

Commercial loan growth rates in the Northeast market, particularly C&I and CRE originations

HSA account growth and fee income trajectory - this differentiated business drives valuation premium

Credit quality metrics - non-performing loan ratios, provision expense, and commercial real estate exposure given regional concentration

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Regional banks are highly cyclical, with loan demand, credit quality, and fee income directly tied to regional economic activity. Webster's Northeast exposure links performance to commercial real estate activity, small business formation, and consumer spending in Connecticut/New York markets. Recession scenarios typically drive loan loss provisions, reduced loan demand, and margin compression. The 30.5% net income growth suggests strong current economic conditions.

Interest Rates

High positive sensitivity to rising short-term rates through net interest margin expansion, as loan yields reprice faster than deposit costs. However, inverted yield curves compress margins. The current environment (February 2026) with Fed policy in transition creates both opportunity and risk. Falling rates would pressure NIM but could stimulate loan demand. Webster's asset-sensitive balance sheet benefits from higher rates but faces deposit competition. Mortgage banking income is inversely correlated with rates.

Key Risks

Regional concentration in slower-growth Northeast markets limits organic expansion opportunities and creates correlation risk to regional economic shocks

Digital banking disruption from fintechs and national banks with superior technology platforms eroding deposit franchises and payment revenues

Regulatory burden disproportionately affects mid-sized banks ($50-100B assets) with enhanced prudential standards and stress testing requirements

Investor Profile

value - The 1.2x price/book ratio and 10.7% ROE suggest value orientation. Regional banks trade at discounts to tangible book when ROE is below cost of equity. The 11.7% FCF yield and recent 35% EPS growth attract value investors seeking mean reversion and capital return. Dividend investors also participate given regional bank payout ratios typically 30-40%. The 22-31% returns over recent periods suggest momentum has entered the stock.

Watch on Earnings
Federal Funds Rate and forward guidance - directly drives NIM and loan demand10Y-2Y Treasury yield curve spread - inverted curves compress bank profitabilityNortheast regional unemployment rates and commercial real estate vacancy ratesHigh-yield credit spreads as leading indicator of credit stress and loan loss provisions
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
44/100
Liquidity
269.13Strong
Leverage
0.08Strong
Coverage
0.8xConcern
ROE
10.8%Watch
ROIC
4.2%Concern
Cash
$2.4BConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE25 analysts
HOLD
+3.8%upside to target
L $70.00
Med $75.00consensus
H $77.00
Buy
1352%
Hold
1144%
Sell
14%
13 Buy (52%)11 Hold (44%)1 Sell (4%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 71 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 269.13 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 9.9%

+11.8% vs SMA 50 · +22.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI70.6
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD+2.04
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$74.00+2.5%
Current
$72.22
EMA 50
$66.56-7.8%
EMA 200
$53.01-26.6%
52W Low
$48.37-33.0%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$48.3793th %ile$74.00
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Elevated Squeeze Setup

Strong accumulation on above-average volume. Buyers are absorbing supply aggressively — any positive catalyst could trigger a rapid covering move.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:8
Dist days:3
Edge:+5 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.4M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.3M+58%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 13 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$2.4B
$2.4B$2.5B
$4.61
±2%
High8
FY2024
$2.7B
$2.7B$2.7B
+11.2%$5.23+13.6%
±6%
High11
FY2025
$2.9B
$2.9B$2.9B
+7.7%$5.88+12.3%
±1%
High13
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 4 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryWBS
Last 8Q
+1.1%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates rising
-6%
Q3'24
-1%
Q4'24
+7%
Q1'25
-6%
Q2'25
+6%
Q3'25
+1%
Q4'25
+5%
Q1'26
+3%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d08
SantanderNeutral → Underweight
Mar 3
DOWNGRADE
Wells FargoUnderweight
Mar 3
DOWNGRADE
SantanderHold → Neutral
Feb 13
DOWNGRADE
Raymond JamesOutperform → Market Perform
Feb 11
DOWNGRADE
UBSBuy → Neutral
Feb 5
DOWNGRADE
Truist FinancialBuy → Hold
Feb 4
DOWNGRADE
RBC CapitalOutperform → Sector Perform
Feb 4
DOWNGRADE
SantanderHold
Feb 4
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyEqual-Weight
Aug 5
DOWNGRADE
CFRABuy
Oct 20
UPGRADE
Zacks Investment Re…Hold
Apr 26
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Ciulla John RDir
$575K
Feb 17
SELL
Madar GregoryChief Accounti…
$41K
Dec 8
SELL
Weidner MarissaChief Corp. Re…
$157K
Dec 8
SELL
Ciulla John RDir
$444K
Nov 17
SELL
Cieslik ElzbietaEVP & CAO of B…
$62K
Sep 12
SELL
Cieslik ElzbietaEVP & CAO of B…
$123K
Sep 15
SELL
Financials
Dividends2.22% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield2.22%
Quarterly Div.$0.4000
Est. Annual / Share$1.60
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Assenagon Asset Management S.A.
1.6M
2
Alberta Investment Management Corp
700K
3
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
638K
4
Nuveen, LLC
561K
5
Polaris Capital Management, LLC
492K
6
Retirement Systems of Alabama
463K
7
ALPINE ASSOCIATES MANAGEMENT INC.
417K
8
PZENA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC
409K
News & Activity

WBS News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

at webster, living up to you ™ is a promise we make to our customers and communities every day. it’s a promise to understand what matters most to them - and provide the solutions they need to achieve it. it’s about putting people first - helping individuals, families and businesses to reach their financial goals and build rewarding lives. and it’s acting with responsibility, respect, ethical behavior, citizenship and teamwork -- the values webster was founded on in 1935. we call these values the webster way. they bring us together, and set us apart. webster bank., n.a., member fdic. equal housing lender. © 2016 webster financial corporation. all rights reserved.

Industry
Monetary Authorities-Central Bank
CEO
John Ciulla
Javier L. EvansExecutive Vice President & Chief Human Resources Officer
Luis MassianiPresident & Chief Operating Officer
Kristy BernerExecutive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
WBS
$72.22-0.19%$11.7B11.3+613.1%2267.2%1500
$397.67+0.41%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.95+0.10%$316.0B14.1+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.46-0.32%$305.1B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$184.74-1.40%$286.4B27.2+862.9%1745.9%1500
$146.57-0.87%$279.7B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$88.98-1.86%$251.9B14.4-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg-0.59%19.9+812.0%2081.8%1500