WLFC
Earnings in 1 day · May 5, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-2.08%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.3× avgLight volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 48Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
195.70
Open
194.32
Day Range191.64 – 196.62
191.64
196.62
52W Range114.01 – 217.54
114.01
217.54
75% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
65.6K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
12.5x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.52
Low vol
Performance
1D
+0.80%
5D
+2.18%
1M
+9.81%
3M
+1.76%
6M
+64.99%
YTD
+44.28%
1Y
+25.26%
Best: 6M (+64.99%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +27% YoY · 72% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 12x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 3.1 · FCF negative
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.46B
Revenue TTM$721.01M
Net Income TTM$113.76M
Free Cash Flow-$272.43M
Gross Margin71.8%
Net Margin15.8%
Operating Margin19.4%
Return on Equity16.9%
Return on Assets2.8%
Debt / Equity3.74
Current Ratio3.09
EPS TTM$16.71
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Engine utilization rates and lease rate trends - tight supply drives pricing power and margin expansion

Fleet acquisition activity and capital deployment - $800M TTM capex indicates aggressive growth phase

Airline industry health and air traffic recovery - drives demand for spare engine capacity

Narrowbody aircraft utilization rates (A320/737 families drive CFM56 and V2500 demand)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Airline profitability and capacity expansion directly correlate with GDP growth, business travel demand, and consumer discretionary spending. Economic downturns reduce flight frequencies, defer aircraft deliveries, and decrease spare engine demand. However, the business has counter-cyclical elements: airlines facing financial stress often lease engines rather than purchase, and older aircraft (which require more spare engines) remain in service longer during downturns. Global air traffic growth averaging 4-5% annually provides structural tailwind.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) WLFC carries $3.14 debt-to-equity, making financing costs a major P&L item - 100bp rate increase materially impacts interest expense; (2) Engine acquisitions are capital-intensive ($800M TTM capex), requiring continuous debt market access; (3) Higher rates compress valuation multiples for asset-heavy, leveraged business models; (4) Rising rates strengthen USD, which can pressure international airline customers. The company likely uses floating-rate debt, creating immediate earnings sensitivity to Fed policy.

Key Risks

Engine technology obsolescence - new-generation engines (LEAP, GTF) offer 15-20% fuel efficiency gains, potentially accelerating retirement of older CFM56/V2500 families that likely comprise WLFC's portfolio

OEM production rate changes - Boeing 737 MAX and Airbus A320neo delivery schedules affect new engine supply and secondary market dynamics

Airline industry consolidation reducing number of potential lessees and increasing customer concentration risk

Investor Profile

value - The stock trades at 1.8x sales and 1.9x book despite 36% revenue growth and 19.5% ROE, suggesting value investors are attracted to the asset-backed model and cash generation potential. The 149% EPS growth and recent 36% three-month return indicate momentum investors are also participating. However, negative FCF and high leverage deter growth-at-any-price investors. The business appeals to investors comfortable with cyclical, capital-intensive models who can underwrite residual values and credit risk.

Watch on Earnings
Global revenue passenger kilometers (RPK) growth - proxy for airline industry health and engine demandJet fuel prices (correlated with airline profitability and willingness to invest in capacity)Narrowbody aircraft order backlog at Boeing and Airbus - indicates future engine demandSecondary market pricing for CFM56 and V2500 engines - impacts asset values and impairment risk
Health Radar
2 strong4 concern
29/100
Liquidity
3.09Strong
Leverage
3.74Concern
Coverage
1.0xConcern
ROE
16.9%Strong
ROIC
2.5%Concern
Cash
$16MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE1 analysts
BUY
Buy
1100%
1 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 48 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.09 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 5, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 2, 2026
In 90 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 2.9%

+46.9% vs SMA 50 · +51.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI48.0
Neutral territory
MACD+12.54
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$217.5+13.5%
Current
$191.6
EMA 50
$136.3-28.9%
EMA 200
$126.8-33.8%
52W Low
$114.0-40.5%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$114.075th %ile$217.5
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:3
Edge:+2 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)142K
Recent Vol (5D)
57K-60%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 1 analyst
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$535.9M
$535.9M$535.9M
$11.97
Low1
FY2025
$637.0M
$637.0M$637.0M
+18.9%$12.82+7.1%
Low1
FY2026(current)
$721.0M
$721.0M$721.0M
+13.2%$13.86+8.1%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryWLFC
Last 8Q
-17.3%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates rising
-117%
Q1'15
+38%
Q2'15
-129%
Q3'15
+49%
Q1'25
-50%
Q2'25
+128%
Q3'25
-4%
Q4'25
-55%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Willis Austin Chand…CEO
$170K
Apr 1
SELL
Willis Austin Chand…CEO
$214K
Apr 1
SELL
Willis Austin Chand…CEO
$207K
Apr 1
SELL
Willis Charles F IvDir
$302K
Mar 30
SELL
Willis Charles F IvDir
$197K
Mar 30
SELL
Willis Charles F IvDir
$203K
Mar 30
SELL
Financials
Dividends0.68% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield0.68%
Quarterly Div.$0.4000
Est. Annual / Share$1.60
FrequencyQuarterly
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
M3F, Inc.
677K
2
Palisades Investment Partners, LLC
22K
3
SHIKIAR ASSET MANAGEMENT INC
12K
4
WEDBUSH SECURITIES INC
9K
5
Nuveen, LLC
4K
6
Lakewood Asset Management LLC
1K
7
Skopos Labs, Inc.
1K
8
Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, Inc.
1K
News & Activity

WLFC News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

willis lease has earned an industry-wide reputation for service, innovation, technical support and in-depth knowledge of commercial aviation. our core business is leasing commercial aircraft engines to airlines, oems and mros — worldwide. along with short- and long-term leasing, we have developed and implemented strategic engine pooling programs which provide pool members with attractive benefits. we provide innovative leasing solutions to our customers. these leasing activities are integrated with engine and aircraft trading, engine lease pools supported by cutting-edge technology, as well as technical and asset management, provided through its subsidiary willis asset management limited, and various end-of-life solutions for aircraft, engines and aviation materials provided through its subsidiary, willis aeronautical services, inc. with one of the largest and most diverse portfolios of engines in the aviation industry, we can meet a wide range of customer technical and operating requi

CEO
Charles Willis
Amy RuddockSenior Vice President of Sustainable Aviation & Corporate Development
Brian Richard HoleGlobal Head of Managed Funds & Credit and President
Craig W. WelshSenior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer of Americas & Asia
PeersIndustrials(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
WLFC
$191.64+0.80%$1.5B11.7+1873.0%1683.2%1500
$881.00-0.05%$414.0B43.8+429.0%1312.8%1522
$287.33-1.18%$299.4B34.3+1848.2%1898.2%1488
$175.13-1.18%$234.3B32.3+974.1%759.8%1486
$224.96-0.72%$179.2B82.1+3449.4%249.7%1504
$431.93-1.72%$165.1B40.4+1033.0%1489.7%1506
$264.80-1.17%$158.1B21.9+107.2%2912.3%1505
Sector avg-0.75%38.1+1387.7%1472.2%1502