WOOF
Next earnings: Jun 4, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-3.47%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 38Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
2.59
Open
2.58
Day Range2.45 – 2.58
2.45
2.58
52W Range2.24 – 4.51
2.24
4.51
11% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.5M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
83.3x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.18
Market-like
Performance
1D
-3.47%
5D
-9.09%
1M
-13.79%
3M
-0.40%
6M
-15.54%
YTD
-11.03%
1Y
-21.14%
Worst: 1Y (-21.14%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -3% · 39% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 83x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
CR 0.9 (low) · FCF $1.02/sh
Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$710.79M
Revenue TTM$5.96B
Net Income TTM$9.07M
Free Cash Flow$285.77M
Gross Margin38.7%
Net Margin0.2%
Operating Margin2.0%
Return on Equity0.8%
Return on Assets0.2%
Debt / Equity2.46
Current Ratio0.90
EPS TTM$0.03
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Comparable store sales trends - negative comps indicate market share loss to Chewy and mass merchants

Services revenue growth rate and attachment rates - veterinary hospital expansion and Vital Care subscription penetration drive margin improvement

Private label mix shift - higher penetration improves gross margins by 300-500 basis points versus branded products

Digital channel growth and profitability - e-commerce represents estimated 20-25% of sales, critical for competing with Chewy

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Pet ownership exhibits defensive characteristics with consumables (food, litter) showing recession-resistant demand, but discretionary supplies and premium product categories contract during economic weakness. Services (grooming, training) show higher cyclicality as consumers defer non-essential spending. The company's negative revenue growth during a relatively stable 2025 economy suggests structural market share loss rather than pure cyclical weakness. Historical data shows pet spending declined only modestly during 2008-2009 recession, but premiumization trends reverse quickly.

Interest Rates

High interest rate sensitivity through two channels: (1) Direct impact - elevated debt load ($3.46 D/E) means rising rates significantly increase interest expense, consuming operating cash flow and limiting reinvestment in store remodels and services expansion. Current rate environment has compressed free cash flow to near-zero ($0.0B TTM). (2) Indirect impact - higher rates reduce consumer discretionary spending on premium pet products and elective services. Refinancing risk exists if rates remain elevated when debt matures.

Key Risks

E-commerce disruption from Chewy's pure-play model with superior unit economics and customer acquisition costs, capturing estimated 40%+ of online pet product sales versus Petco's 15-20% digital penetration

Mass merchant expansion (Walmart, Target, Costco) leveraging grocery traffic and private label scale to offer 15-25% lower prices on consumables, eroding specialty retailer traffic

Veterinary services regulatory risk - state-by-state licensing requirements and potential restrictions on corporate practice of veterinary medicine could limit hospital expansion strategy

Investor Profile

value - Distressed valuation (0.1x P/S, 0.6x P/B) attracts deep value investors betting on turnaround execution through services expansion and margin recovery, or special situations investors anticipating potential private equity take-private given depressed public market valuation. Operational challenges and negative momentum have driven out growth investors. Not suitable for income investors given negative free cash flow and no dividend capacity.

Watch on Earnings
US retail sales excluding autos (RSXFS) as proxy for consumer spending health affecting discretionary pet suppliesConsumer sentiment index (UMCSENT) predicting premium product mix and services utilization trendsUnemployment rate (UNRATE) inversely correlated with pet services demand and premium consumables purchasesHigh yield credit spreads (BAMLH0A0HYM2) indicating refinancing costs for leveraged balance sheet
Health Radar
6 concern
14/100
Liquidity
0.90Concern
Leverage
2.46Concern
Coverage
0.9xConcern
ROE
0.8%Concern
ROIC
2.4%Concern
Cash
$257MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE24 analysts
HOLD
+50.0%upside to target
L $2.18
Med $3.75consensus
H $4.53
Buy
1042%
Hold
1250%
Sell
28%
10 Buy (42%)12 Hold (50%)2 Sell (8%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
0 of 5 signals bullish
1/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 38 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.90 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 28, 2026
In 104 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 3.2%

-14.3% vs SMA 50 · -11.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI38.0
Momentum fading
MACD-0.11
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$4.50+80.2%
EMA 50
$2.92+16.7%
EMA 200
$2.82+12.9%
Current
$2.50
52W Low
$2.24-10.4%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$2.2411th %ile$4.50
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:0
Dist days:1
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.7M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.1M-23%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 8 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$6.1B
$6.1B$6.2B
-$0.08
±14%
High7
FY2026(current)
$6.0B
$5.9B$6.0B
-2.7%$0.15
±23%
High6
FY2027
$6.0B
$5.9B$6.0B
+0.6%$0.20+36.8%
±16%
High8
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryWOOF
Last 8Q
+90.5%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 3 Estimates rising
+33%
Q2'24
-14%
Q3'24
+50%
Q4'24
-250%
Q1'25
+50%
Q2'25
+700%
Q3'25
+205%
Q4'25
-50%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
4 Buys/2 SellsNet Buying
Venezia Patrick JChief Revenue …
$349K
Mar 13
SELL
Venezia Patrick JChief Revenue …
$229K
Dec 1
SELL
Anderson Joel DCEO
$354K
Mar 31
BUY
Anderson Joel DCEO
$2.1M
Mar 28
BUY
Anderson Joel DCEO
$2.2M
Mar 31
BUY
Anderson Joel DCEO
$24K
Mar 31
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
CVC Management Holdings II Ltd.
145.9M
2
CANADA PENSION PLAN INVESTMENT BOARD
59.8M
3
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
10.1M
4
BlackRock, Inc.
8.2M
5
Long Focus Capital Management, LLC
8.0M
6
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP
6.0M
7
Holocene Advisors, LP
5.8M
8
FMR LLC
4.1M
News & Activity

WOOF News

19 articles · 4h ago

About

Petco is a category-defining health and wellness company focused on improving the lives of pets, pet parents and its own Petco partners. Since its founding in 1965, Petco has been trailblazing new standards in pet care, delivering comprehensive wellness solutions through its products and services, and creating communities that deepen the pet-pet parent bond. Petco operates more than 1,500 pet care centers across the U.S., Mexico and Puerto Rico, including a growing network of more than 100 in-store veterinary hospitals, and offer a complete resource for pet health and wellness online and through the Petco app. In tandem with The Petco Foundation, an independent nonprofit organization, through in-store adoption events, Petco has helped find homes for more than 6.5 million animals.

Industry
Beer, Wine, and Liquor Stores
PeersConsumer Cyclical(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
WOOF
$2.50-3.47%$711M77.6-253.4%15.2%1500
$264.14-1.15%$2.8T31.3+1237.8%1083.4%1521
$422.24-4.75%$1.6T352.3-293.1%400.1%1507
$297.51-2.25%$296.3B20.9+324.0%859.6%1477
$276.39+0.52%$196.4B22.6+372.3%3185.0%1478
$147.43+0.05%$163.2B30.2+711.9%910.0%1494
$218.42-2.32%$122.3B18.3+312.2%771.2%1489
Sector avg-1.91%79.0+344.5%1032.1%1495