YSG
Earnings in 2 days · May 18, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-3.15%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume1.0× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 35Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
2.54
Open
2.54
Day Range2.42 – 2.54
2.42
2.54
52W Range2.42 – 11.57
2.42
11.57
0% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
128.2K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-20.5x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.36
Market-like
Performance
1D
-7.30%
5D
-14.19%
1M
-21.36%
3M
-38.20%
6M
-62.87%
YTD
-34.70%
1Y
-49.60%
Worst: 6M (-62.87%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +25% YoY · 78% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 3.6 · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.56B
Revenue TTM$4.26B
Net Income TTM-$80.46M
Free Cash Flow-$138.46M
Gross Margin78.4%
Net Margin-1.9%
Operating Margin-4.3%
Return on Equity-2.6%
Return on Assets-2.1%
Debt / Equity0.06
Current Ratio3.63
EPS TTM$-0.86
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Monthly GMV (Gross Merchandise Value) trends on major Chinese e-commerce platforms during shopping festivals (Singles Day, 618 Festival) - key indicator of brand momentum

Customer acquisition costs (CAC) and marketing efficiency metrics - critical given marketing spend represents 40-50% of revenue

Offline store count expansion or contraction decisions - signals management's confidence in unit economics and path to profitability

Competitive positioning versus domestic rivals (Florasis, Colorkey) and international brands (L'Oréal, Estée Lauder) in China market share data

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Beauty products in the mass-market segment are discretionary purchases highly sensitive to Chinese consumer confidence and disposable income. During economic slowdowns, consumers trade down from premium to mass-market or reduce beauty spending entirely. The company's target demographic (18-35 year old urban females) is particularly sensitive to employment conditions and wage growth. China's GDP growth, retail sales trends, and consumer sentiment directly impact purchase frequency and basket sizes.

Interest Rates

Chinese interest rates and monetary policy affect consumer credit availability and spending propensity among younger demographics who may use consumer financing for discretionary purchases. However, the company's minimal debt (0.06 D/E ratio) means financing costs are not a material concern. US interest rates indirectly impact the stock through valuation multiples - as a growth-oriented, unprofitable company trading on US exchanges, rising US rates compress valuation multiples for speculative Chinese ADRs.

Key Risks

Intense competition in China's fragmented beauty market with over 5,000 domestic brands and aggressive international players investing heavily in digital channels - market share gains are difficult to sustain

Regulatory risks related to Chinese ADRs trading on US exchanges, including potential delisting concerns under HFCAA (Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act) requirements

Shift in consumer preferences toward premium international brands or domestic heritage brands (Florasis) as Chinese consumers increasingly value quality and brand heritage over price

Investor Profile

speculative growth/turnaround - The stock attracts investors betting on a profitability turnaround in China's large beauty market, despite current losses and execution challenges. The 0.7x price-to-sales ratio and 0.9x price-to-book suggest deep value characteristics, but negative cash flows and competitive pressures make this a high-risk turnaround play rather than traditional value. Momentum traders have largely exited given the -56.6% six-month decline. Institutional ownership is likely minimal given profitability concerns and Chinese ADR regulatory overhang.

Watch on Earnings
China retail sales of cosmetics (monthly government data) - leading indicator of category demandUSD/CNY exchange rate (DEXCHUS) - affects ADR valuation and repatriation of earnings for US-listed sharesAlibaba Singles Day and JD.com 618 Festival GMV results for beauty category - key competitive benchmarking eventsChinese consumer confidence index and urban disposable income growth - drives discretionary beauty spending
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
45/100
Liquidity
3.63Strong
Leverage
0.06Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
-2.6%Concern
ROIC
-5.6%Concern
Cash
$808MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE2 analysts
BUY
Buy
150%
Hold
150%
1 Buy (50%)1 Hold (50%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 35 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.63 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 27, 2026
In 103 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 44.1%

-23.9% vs SMA 50 · -57.5% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI35.3
Momentum fading
MACD-0.14
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$11.57+370.3%
EMA 200
$5.51+123.8%
EMA 50
$3.23+31.2%
Current
$2.46
52W Low
$2.42-1.6%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$2.420th %ile$11.57
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:1
Dist days:5
Edge:+4 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)131K
Recent Vol (5D)
115K-12%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:Revenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$24.4B
$24.4B$24.5B
-$60.84
±0%
Low1
FY2024
$3.4B
$3.4B$3.4B
-86.0%-$2.16
±0%
Low2
FY2025
$4.3B
$4.3B$4.3B
+26.1%$0.01
±0%
Low1
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryYSG
Last 8Q
-265.1%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates rising
+50%
Q2'23
-342%
Q3'23
-265%
Q4'23
+38%
Q1'24
-38%
Q2'24
-283%
Q3'24
-1645%
Q4'24
+365%
Q1'25
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
HHLR ADVISORS, LTD.
4.9M
2
MORGAN STANLEY
3.3M
3
Yiheng Capital Management, L.P.
798K
4
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC
613K
5
Perseverance Asset Management International
530K
6
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
438K
7
Connor, Clark & Lunn Investment Management Ltd.
418K
8
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.
253K
News & Activity

YSG News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Yatsen Holding Limited (NYSE: YSG) is a leader in the rapidly evolving Chinabeauty market with the mission of creating an exciting new journey of beauty discovery for consumers in Chinaand around the world. The Company has launched three fast-growing, successful color cosmetics and skincare brands: Perfect Diary, Little Ondine and Abby's Choice, and has recently acquired Galénic, an iconic premium skincare brand. Leveraging its digitally native direct-to-customer business model, the Company has built a platform with core capabilities that disrupt every part of the traditional beauty industry value chain and deliver greater value to its customers. The Company reaches and engages with customers directly both online and offline, with expansive presence across all major e-commerce, social and content platforms in China.

Industry
Soap and Other Detergent Manufacturing
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
YSG
$2.46-7.30%$229M+2148.8%-188.1%1500
$404.35-3.20%$2.1T30.5+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$132.58-6.05%$307.9B20.7-44.8%1012.0%1500
$88.38-2.58%$303.7B13.6+318.8%1510.7%1500
$148.08-1.13%$282.6B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$181.58-1.83%$281.6B26.9+862.9%1745.9%1500
$183.40-0.23%$256.1B16.8+213.3%1482.4%1500
Sector avg-3.19%21.6+1056.2%1805.3%1500