YUMC
Signal
Leaning Bullish1
Price
1
Move+0.72%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.5× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 52Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
48.45
Open
48.81
Day Range48.63 – 49.30
48.63
49.30
52W Range41.69 – 58.39
41.69
58.39
43% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.7M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
19.4x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.01%
Beta
0.92
Market-like
Performance
1D
+0.72%
5D
+0.85%
1M
-0.79%
3M
-3.52%
6M
+12.81%
YTD
+2.22%
1Y
+10.81%
Best: 6M (+12.81%)Worst: 3M (-3.52%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +7% · 17% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 19x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.0 · FCF $2.67/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$17.14B
Revenue TTM$12.09B
Net Income TTM$946.00M
Free Cash Flow$940.81M
Gross Margin17.2%
Net Margin7.8%
Operating Margin11.8%
Return on Equity17.0%
Return on Assets8.7%
Debt / Equity0.34
Current Ratio1.01
EPS TTM$2.68
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Same-store sales growth (SSS) - traffic vs ticket mix, particularly KFC brand performance

Net new unit openings - pace of expansion into lower-tier cities (Tier 3-6) and store closure rates

Digital/delivery penetration - percentage of sales from mobile ordering, delivery margins, Meituan partnership terms

China consumer confidence and discretionary spending trends - sensitivity to economic slowdowns or stimulus measures

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Revenue directly tied to Chinese consumer discretionary spending. During economic slowdowns, consumers trade down from casual dining (Pizza Hut) to QSR (KFC) or reduce frequency. Lower-tier city expansion depends on rising middle-class incomes. GDP growth below 4-5% historically pressures traffic and ticket size. Government stimulus (consumption vouchers, tax cuts) provides immediate boost to restaurant traffic.

Interest Rates

Low direct sensitivity as company carries moderate debt (0.69x D/E) with manageable interest expense. However, Chinese monetary policy affects consumer credit availability and spending propensity. PBOC rate cuts typically stimulate consumption. Valuation multiples compress when US rates rise (capital flows from China equities to US bonds), though operational impact is minimal.

Key Risks

China demographic headwinds - aging population and declining birth rates reduce long-term addressable market for family-oriented QSR dining

Regulatory risk - food safety incidents (supply chain contamination), labor law changes (minimum wage increases, working hour restrictions), or government crackdowns on Western brands during geopolitical tensions

Health trends - growing consumer preference for healthier options pressures fried chicken-centric menu, requires costly reformulation and marketing

Investor Profile

growth - Investors seek China consumer exposure with 4-6% revenue growth, 8-10% EPS growth from buybacks, and 15%+ ROE. Appeals to emerging market growth investors and China reopening/stimulus plays. Dividend yield (~2-3%) provides modest income but total return driven by multiple expansion during China optimism cycles. Recent 18% 3-month rally suggests momentum investors accumulating on stimulus hopes.

Watch on Earnings
China retail sales growth rate (proxy for consumer spending strength)USD/CNY exchange rate (impacts repatriation of earnings and valuation for US-listed shares)Chicken and wheat commodity prices (primary COGS drivers)China urban unemployment rate (correlates with discretionary dining frequency)
Health Radar
2 strong2 watch2 concern
40/100
Liquidity
1.01Watch
Leverage
0.34Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
17.0%Strong
ROIC
12.2%Watch
Cash
$506MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE15 analysts
BUY
+19.9%upside to target
L $55.00
Med $58.50consensus
H $63.64
Buy
1280%
Hold
320%
12 Buy (80%)3 Hold (20%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 52 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.01
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentAug 4, 2026
In 93 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 5.3%

+2.0% vs SMA 50 · +7.4% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI52.4
Neutral territory
MACD+0.10
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$58.39+19.7%
Current
$48.80
EMA 50
$47.78-2.1%
52W Low
$41.69-14.6%
EMA 200
$41.06-15.9%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$41.6943th %ile$58.39
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:1
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.2M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.8M-19%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 20 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$11.0B
$10.7B$11.5B
$2.08
±5%
High11
FY2024
$11.3B
$11.3B$11.4B
+2.7%$2.31+11.5%
±2%
High20
FY2025
$11.7B
$11.7B$11.7B
+3.1%$2.50+8.1%
±4%
High15
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryYUMC
Last 8Q
+5.5%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
+17%
Q3'24
+13%
Q4'24
-3%
Q1'25
-2%
Q2'25
+2%
Q3'25
+2%
Q4'25
+14%
Q1'26
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
CitigroupBuy → Positive
Jan 16
UPGRADE
MacquarieOutperform
Aug 6
UPGRADE
OTR GlobalPositive → Negative
Jul 10
DOWNGRADE
CLSABuy
Sep 15
UPGRADE
CMB International S…Buy
May 5
UPGRADE
OTR GlobalPositive
Apr 12
UPGRADE
Zacks Investment Re…Hold
Apr 26
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/4 SellsNet Selling
Lu XuelingController and…
$109K
Feb 24
SELL
Lu XuelingController and…
$1.2M
Feb 24
SELL
Wat JoeyCEO
$5.7M
Feb 13
SELL
Wat JoeyCEO
$263K
Feb 11
SELL
Financials
Dividends2.07% yield
+40.5% avg annual growth
Annual Yield2.07%
Quarterly Div.$0.2900
Est. Annual / Share$1.16
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BLS CAPITAL FONDSMAEGLERSELSKAB A/S
11.4M
2
GUARDCAP ASSET MANAGEMENT Ltd
3.9M
3
Mondrian Investment Partners LTD
2.4M
4
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
1.8M
5
Alberta Investment Management Corp
1.4M
6
Swedbank AB
780K
7
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
626K
8
Nuveen, LLC
622K
News & Activity

YUMC News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

长沙肯德基有限公司隶属于百胜中国控股有限公司,1997年进驻湖南市场,目前在湖南的74多城市拥有近300余家餐厅,员工人数超过1.5万人。

CEO
Joey Wat
Country
China (Mainland)
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
YUMC
$48.80+0.72%$17.1B18.2+437.1%787.5%1500
$397.67+0.41%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.95+0.10%$316.0B14.1+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.46-0.32%$305.1B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$184.74-1.40%$286.4B27.2+862.9%1745.9%1500
$146.57-0.87%$279.7B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$88.98-1.86%$251.9B14.4-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg-0.46%20.9+786.9%1870.4%1500