Digital advertising CPM trends and programmatic fill rates - particularly for technology/gaming verticals where ZD concentrates audience
Google algorithm updates and SEO traffic volatility - organic search drives estimated 40-50% of total sessions across properties
Affiliate commerce conversion rates and commission structures from Amazon Associates, technology retailers, and software vendors
M&A activity - ZD historically grew through acquisitions (IGN, Mashable, Spiceworks) and market watches for accretive deals or potential sale of the company given depressed valuation
high - Digital advertising budgets and consumer discretionary spending on technology products (which drive affiliate commissions) correlate strongly with GDP growth and consumer confidence. B2B lead generation revenue depends on enterprise IT spending, which contracts sharply in recessions. The company's 2.8% revenue growth amid 51.9% net income growth suggests recent margin expansion, but top-line remains vulnerable to advertising recession. Technology product cycles (PC refresh, gaming console launches, smartphone upgrades) create additional cyclicality beyond general economic conditions.
Rising rates create dual headwinds: (1) technology advertisers (SaaS, consumer electronics brands) reduce marketing spend as their own cost of capital increases and growth expectations compress, and (2) consumers delay discretionary technology purchases, reducing affiliate commerce opportunities. However, ZD's 0.48 debt/equity ratio limits direct financing cost pressure. Valuation multiples compress significantly as rates rise - growth-oriented digital media trades at premium to risk-free rates, and ZD's 0.8x P/S reflects rate normalization from 2021-2022 peaks.
AI-powered search and answer engines (ChatGPT, Perplexity, Google SGE) disintermediating traditional content discovery - users may get product recommendations directly from LLMs rather than visiting review sites, eliminating affiliate monetization opportunities
Secular decline in display advertising CPMs as programmatic supply increases and brand budgets shift to performance channels (social, connected TV) - technology vertical particularly vulnerable to commoditization
Google's evolving search algorithms and zero-click results reducing organic traffic to third-party content sites - featured snippets and AI overviews answer queries without click-throughs
value - The stock trades at distressed multiples (0.8x P/S, 0.7x P/B, 3.8x EV/EBITDA) despite generating 22.9% FCF yield and 85.7% gross margins, attracting deep value investors betting on mean reversion, potential private equity takeout, or asset monetization. The -42.5% one-year return and -17.1% six-month return reflect capitulation selling, creating contrarian opportunity for investors willing to underwrite stabilization in digital advertising and affiliate commerce. Not suitable for growth investors given 2.8% revenue growth and structural headwinds, nor dividend investors (no mention of dividend in fundamentals).
Trend
+12.8% vs SMA 50 · +16.7% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
ANALYST ESTIMATES
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2023 | $1.4B $1.4B–$1.4B | — | $1.75 | — | ±0% | Low2 |
FY2024 | $1.4B $1.4B–$1.4B | ▲ +3.5% | $6.72 | ▲ +284.7% | ±0% | Moderate3 |
FY2025 | $1.5B $1.5B–$1.5B | ▲ +3.4% | $6.85 | ▲ +1.9% | ±0% | Moderate4 |
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
ZD News
About
ziff davis, llc is a leading global digital media company specializing in the technology and gaming markets, reaching in-market buyers and influencers in both the consumer and business-to-business space every month. ziff davis sites, which feature trusted and comprehensive evaluations of the newest and hottest products, include pcmag.com, ign.com, extremetech.com, geek.com, toolbox.com, computershopper.com, and emedia. ziff davis b2b focus, inc. (“ziff davis b2b”) is a leading provider of online research to enterprise buyers and of high-quality leads to it vendors. ziff davis also operates netshelter, an advanced ad targeting platform focused on tech buyers, techbargains.com and logicbuy.com, leading providers of deals and discounts on tech products.. ziff davis is a division of j2 global, inc. (nasdaqgs:jcom).
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZD◀ | $40.51 | -0.27% | $1.5B | — | +353.7% | — | 1500 |
| $396.78 | -1.07% | $4.8T | 30.0 | +1512.6% | 3280.0% | 1523 | |
| $393.32 | -0.97% | $4.8T | 30.0 | +1512.6% | 3280.0% | 1522 | |
| $614.23 | -0.68% | $1.6T | 22.1 | +2216.7% | 3008.4% | 1501 | |
| $87.02 | +0.09% | $366.4B | 27.5 | +1585.1% | 2430.4% | 1479 | |
| $185.22 | -1.58% | $200.4B | 19.3 | +848.8% | 1244.7% | 1485 | |
| $46.37 | -1.47% | $193.6B | 11.2 | +252.5% | 1242.8% | 1505 | |
| Sector avg | — | -0.85% | — | 23.3 | +1183.1% | 2414.4% | 1502 |