AAMI
Next earnings: Jul 30, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+3.15%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume1.2× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
TrendFull UptrendAbove 50D & 200D
PRICE
Prev Close
65.49
Open
65.38
Day Range65.38 – 67.97
65.38
67.97
52W Range27.49 – 69.87
27.49
69.87
95% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
313.0K
Float
35.7M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
30.6x
EPS (TTM)
$2.21
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-2.76%
5D
-2.05%
1M
+16.97%
3M
+24.72%
6M
+51.70%
YTD
+39.34%
1Y
+133.39%
Best: 1Y (+133.39%)Worst: 1D (-2.76%)
Quick Read
Trend
UPTREND
Price above SMA50 & SMA200
Momentum
BULLISH
price above key MAs · revenue +23% YoY
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 31x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
CR 0.0 (low) · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.41B
Revenue TTM$641.50M
Net Income TTM$84.20M
Free Cash Flow-$13.90M
Gross Margin101.8%
Net Margin13.1%
Operating Margin26.9%
Return on Equity200.8%
Return on Assets11.8%
Debt / Equity4.45
Current Ratio0.00
EPS TTM$2.36
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net client flows - institutional mandate wins or losses directly impact forward fee revenue

Equity market performance - AUM appreciation drives management fee growth without incremental costs

Alpha generation across flagship strategies - sustained outperformance attracts flows and supports fee levels

Volatility regime shifts - quantitative strategies often perform differently in trending vs mean-reverting markets

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Revenue is mechanically tied to equity market valuations, which correlate with GDP growth. However, the quantitative approach may generate alpha during both expansions and contractions. Institutional clients typically maintain strategic allocations through cycles, reducing redemption risk during downturns. The 17.5% revenue growth amid modest market gains suggests strong net flows, indicating some insulation from pure market beta.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create headwinds through multiple channels: (1) equity market multiple compression reduces AUM via market depreciation, (2) higher discount rates reduce present value of future fee streams, pressuring valuation multiples, (3) institutional clients may shift allocations toward fixed income as yields rise. However, rate increases that signal economic strength can support equity flows. The 30.6x P/B ratio suggests high sensitivity to changes in required returns.

Key Risks

Passive investment migration - continued flows to low-cost index strategies compress active management fees and reduce addressable market

Factor crowding - widespread adoption of quantitative factor investing reduces alpha opportunities as strategies become commoditized

Regulatory pressure on fees - SEC scrutiny and institutional fee negotiations threaten the 40-80 bps management fee structure

Investor Profile

growth - The 97.3% one-year return and 23.9% three-month return indicate strong momentum characteristics. The 3.1x P/S and 30.6x P/B ratios reflect growth expectations rather than value metrics. Investors are likely betting on AUM compounding through market appreciation and net flows, with operating leverage driving margin expansion. The negative FCF yield and minimal dividend potential (implied by high ROE and leverage) make this unsuitable for income investors.

Watch on Earnings
MSCI ACWI Index level - proxy for global equity AUM appreciationMSCI Emerging Markets Index - likely represents significant AUM concentration given Acadian's expertiseVIX Index - volatility regime impacts factor performance and client risk appetiteUSD/CNY exchange rate - emerging market currency movements affect international equity returns
Health Radar
3 strong1 watch2 concern
49/100
Liquidity
0.00Concern
Leverage
4.45Concern
Coverage
8.5xStrong
ROE
200.8%Strong
ROIC
17.4%Strong
Cash
$101MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE1 analysts
HOLD
-11.2%downside to target
Hold
1100%
0 Buy (0%)1 Hold (100%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
5 of 7 signals bullish
8/10
Trend
Trend StateUptrend (price above both MAs)
Above SMA 50$57.56 (+17.4%)
Above SMA 200$49.98 (+35.1%)
Technicals
MA AlignmentGolden Cross (50D vs 200D +15.2%)
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.00 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 27, 2026
In 114 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$69.87+3.4%
Current
$67.55
SMA 50
$57.56-14.8%
SMA 200
$49.98-26.0%
52W Low
$27.49-59.3%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$27.4995th %ile$69.87
Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$418.3M
$412.6M$424.1M
$1.60
±2%
Low1
FY2024
$487.0M
$480.0M$494.0M
+16.4%$2.53+58.1%
±2%
Low2
FY2025
$575.9M
$567.6M$584.3M
+18.3%$3.29+29.8%
±2%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryAAMI
Last 8Q
+9.9%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+5%
Q3'24
+13%
Q4'24
+26%
Q1'25
Q2'25
+23%
Q3'25
+4%
Q4'25
-4%
Q1'26
+12%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/3 SellsNet Selling
Chersi Robert JDir
$1.5M
Feb 11
SELL
Trebbi BarbaraDir
$496K
Feb 10
SELL
Paulson & Co. Inc.10 Percent Own…
$57.6M
Sep 3
SELL
Financials
Dividends0.19% yield
+272.8% avg annual growth
Annual Yield0.19%
Quarterly Div.$0.1000
Est. Annual / Share$0.40
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

News & Activity

AAMI News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No company information available

PeersFinancial Services(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
AAMI
-2.76%
$307.65-0.24%$842.7B14.8+330.7%2039.3%1502
$326.85-0.55%$628.8B28.2+1134.0%5014.5%1498
$504.74-1.48%$438.6B28.4+1641.6%4564.7%1488
$52.19-0.41%$382.1B12.2-45.1%1592.6%1501
$188.03-0.22%$302.0B16.4+1147.7%1466.4%1516
$903.27-0.01%$274.1B15.5-138.4%1373.0%1515
Sector avg-0.81%19.3+678.4%2675.1%1503