ABSI
Next earnings: Aug 11, 2026 · After close
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-7.40%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 70Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
5.54
Open
5.33
Day Range4.96 – 5.47
4.96
5.47
52W Range2.24 – 6.72
2.24
6.72
65% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
4.4M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-6.3x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.82
High vol
Performance
1D
-7.40%
5D
+1.79%
1M
+61.83%
3M
+101.18%
6M
+81.91%
YTD
+46.99%
1Y
+73.31%
Best: 3M (+101.18%)Worst: 1D (-7.40%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
revenue -62% YoY · thin -1317% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 6.6 · FCF negative
Lean Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$799.79M
Revenue TTM$1.84M
Net Income TTM-$118.44M
Free Cash Flow-$98.50M
Gross Margin-1316.9%
Net Margin-6450.8%
Operating Margin-7000.8%
Return on Equity-63.6%
Return on Assets-60.6%
Debt / Equity0.03
Current Ratio6.59
EPS TTM$-0.77
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Announcements of new pharmaceutical partnerships or expansion of existing collaborations with upfront payments

Clinical trial data readouts or IND filings for wholly-owned pipeline candidates (particularly oncology programs)

Validation publications or presentations demonstrating AI platform superiority in antibody design metrics (affinity, developability, speed)

Cash runway updates and financing events given $100M annual burn rate against current market cap

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - While drug discovery spending by large pharma is relatively recession-resistant, biotech funding cycles are highly sensitive to risk appetite and growth stock valuations. Economic downturns reduce venture capital availability for follow-on financings and compress biotech valuations, creating existential risk for pre-revenue companies. However, pharmaceutical R&D budgets (Absci's customer base) tend to be more stable through cycles as large-cap pharma maintains strategic innovation priorities.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity to interest rates through multiple channels: (1) As a pre-revenue growth company, Absci's valuation is based on discounted future cash flows 5-10+ years out, making it extremely sensitive to discount rate changes - rising rates compress NPV of distant milestones; (2) Higher rates reduce risk appetite for speculative biotech, contracting sector multiples; (3) Financing costs increase for future capital raises, though current debt is minimal (0.03 D/E). The 10-year Treasury yield directly impacts comparable biotech valuations and investor willingness to fund cash-burning platforms.

Key Risks

Unproven clinical translation of AI-designed antibodies - no Absci-originated therapeutic has reached late-stage trials, creating platform validation risk that could render the technology commercially unviable

Rapid commoditization of AI drug discovery as large pharma builds internal capabilities and competitors (Recursion, Schrodinger, Relay) scale similar platforms, potentially eroding partnership economics

Regulatory uncertainty around AI-designed biologics and potential FDA requirements for additional validation studies that could negate speed advantages

Investor Profile

growth - Attracts highly speculative, venture-style public market investors willing to accept binary outcomes and multi-year timelines for platform validation. The stock appeals to thematic AI/biotech crossover investors betting on computational biology disruption, but requires high risk tolerance given pre-revenue status, cash burn, and lack of clinical proof points. Not suitable for value or income investors given negative margins and no path to near-term profitability.

Watch on Earnings
Quarterly cash burn rate and total cash position to assess financing timeline urgencyNew partnership announcements with disclosed economics (upfront payments, FTE funding, milestone structures)Clinical trial initiations or data readouts for wholly-owned pipeline programsNasdaq Biotechnology Index (NBI) performance as proxy for sector sentiment and financing availability
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
38/100
Liquidity
6.59Strong
Leverage
0.03Strong
Coverage
-1147.6xConcern
ROE
-63.6%Concern
ROIC
-72.3%Concern
Cash
$20MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE12 analysts
BUY
+17.9%upside to target
L $4.10
Med $6.05consensus
H $8.00
Buy
975%
Hold
18%
Sell
217%
9 Buy (75%)1 Hold (8%)2 Sell (17%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 70 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 6.59 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 3.0%

+53.9% vs SMA 50 · +58.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI70.0
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.70
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$6.72+31.0%
Current
$5.13
EMA 50
$3.82-25.6%
EMA 200
$3.28-36.0%
52W Low
$2.24-56.3%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$2.2465th %ile$6.72
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:8
Dist days:5
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)4.8M
Recent Vol (5D)
4.7M-4%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 7 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$3.7M
$1.6M$9.3M
-$0.83
±9%
High6
FY2026(current)
$7.6M
$1.9M$22.0M
+106.5%-$0.75
±12%
High6
FY2027
$19.9M
$1.6M$57.4M
+159.8%-$0.71
±41%
High7
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryABSI
Last 8Q
-14.7%avg beat
Beat 2 of 8 quartersMissed 6 Estimates rising
-16%
Q3'24
-26%
Q4'24
-14%
Q1'25
+9%
Q2'25
-26%
Q3'25
-5%
Q4'25
-44%
Q1'26
+5%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Morgan StanleyOverweight → Reduce
Jan 8
DOWNGRADE
Cowen & Co.Outperform
Aug 12
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
4 Buys/2 SellsNet Buying
NET BUYERS$201K bought · $0 sold · 30d window
Pangalos Menelas NDir
$201K
May 13
BUY
Busch AndreasChief Innovati…
$229K
Mar 12
BUY
Pangalos Menelas NDir
$206K
Feb 27
BUY
Mcclain SeanCEO
$80K
Feb 2
SELL
Jonasson ZachariahCFO / CBO
$52K
Feb 2
SELL
Van Houten FransDir
$149K
Dec 5
BUY
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
ARK Investment Management LLC
13.7M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
11.3M
3
ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC
5.7M
4
Siren, L.L.C.
1.8M
5
MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/
1.7M
6
UBS Group AG
1.6M
7
Nikko Asset Management Americas, Inc.
1.3M
8
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
1.3M
News & Activity

ABSI News

About

No description available.

Industry
Research and Development in Biotechnology (except Nanobiotechnology)
Christine LemkeSenior Vice President of Portfolio & Growth Strategy
Sean McClainFounder, Chief Executive Officer, President & Director
Todd BedrickSenior Vice President & Chief Accounting Officer
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
ABSI
$5.13-7.40%$800M-3824.4%-411367.9%1500
$66.13-5.07%$13.0B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$94.92-3.79%$12.6B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$523.69-3.00%$12.1B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$227.72-1.30%$11.7B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.90-0.86%$11.2B50.3+1459.3%147.7%1500
$76.67-3.79%$10.8B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-3.60%50.3+341303.5%-62268.8%1500