ADPT
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move+1.61%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume1.1× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 50Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
14.27
Open
14.23
Day Range14.15 – 14.83
14.15
14.83
52W Range8.38 – 20.76
8.38
20.76
49% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.9M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-36.3x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
2.16
High vol
Performance
1D
+1.61%
5D
+4.39%
1M
+2.98%
3M
-16.18%
6M
-14.30%
YTD
-10.71%
1Y
+44.57%
Best: 1Y (+44.57%)Worst: 3M (-16.18%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +55% YoY · 74% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 3.3 · FCF negative
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.23B
Revenue TTM$276.98M
Net Income TTM-$59.50M
Free Cash Flow-$48.95M
Gross Margin74.2%
Net Margin-21.5%
Operating Margin-20.6%
Return on Equity-30.0%
Return on Assets-11.6%
Debt / Equity1.28
Current Ratio3.34
EPS TTM$-0.39
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

clonoSEQ test volume growth and Medicare/commercial payer adoption rates in multiple myeloma, ALL, and CLL indications

Genentech collaboration progress updates including IND filings, clinical trial initiations, and milestone payment triggers for TCR-based therapeutics

FDA regulatory expansions for clonoSEQ into new cancer types (solid tumors represent significant TAM expansion opportunity)

Quarterly cash burn rate and pathway to profitability guidance, particularly operating expense leverage as revenue scales

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Clinical diagnostics for cancer patients are non-discretionary medical services with minimal GDP sensitivity; oncologists order MRD tests based on clinical guidelines rather than economic conditions. However, pharma R&D budgets (affecting collaboration revenue) exhibit moderate cyclical sensitivity during severe recessions when biotech funding contracts. The 54% revenue growth rate reflects commercial launch dynamics rather than economic cycle positioning.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create moderate headwinds through two channels: (1) Higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for pre-profitable biotech stocks (ADPT trades at 8.6x sales, sensitive to risk-free rate changes); (2) Tighter financial conditions reduce biotech sector funding availability, potentially impacting future partnership economics and capital raising ability. However, the company's $400M+ cash position (implied by 3.34x current ratio) and declining cash burn provide 3-4 year runway, reducing near-term financing pressure. Rate impacts are primarily valuation-driven rather than operational.

Key Risks

Reimbursement policy changes from CMS or commercial payers could compress clonoSEQ pricing; Medicare coverage decisions are binary events that significantly impact addressable market and unit economics

Competitive MRD testing technologies (liquid biopsy, ctDNA-based approaches from Guardant, Natera) may offer alternative solutions with different performance characteristics, fragmenting the MRD market before ADPT achieves dominant scale

Regulatory pathway uncertainty for expanding clonoSEQ into solid tumors where immune repertoire biology is less established than hematologic malignancies

Investor Profile

growth - The stock attracts growth investors focused on commercial-stage biotech with platform technology potential, evidenced by 89% one-year return and 8.6x sales valuation. Investors are underwriting rapid revenue scaling (55% YoY growth), pathway to profitability within 2-3 years, and optionality from pharma partnerships generating milestone/royalty streams. The negative cash flow and high P/S multiple indicate this is not a value or income play; momentum investors have driven recent outperformance as MRD testing adoption accelerates. Institutional biotech specialists and healthcare-focused growth funds represent core holder base.

Watch on Earnings
Quarterly clonoSEQ test volumes and year-over-year growth rates in core indications (multiple myeloma, ALL, CLL)Medicare and commercial payer coverage decisions for new cancer types and MRD testing frequency guidelinesGenentech collaboration milestone achievements and IND/clinical trial announcements for TCR therapeutic candidatesOperating cash flow trajectory and quarterly burn rate relative to revenue growth acceleration
Health Radar
1 strong2 watch3 concern
34/100
Liquidity
3.34Strong
Leverage
1.28Watch
Coverage
-4.8xConcern
ROE
-30.0%Concern
ROIC
-13.1%Concern
Cash
$70MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE17 analysts
BUY
+44.8%upside to target
L $21.00
Med $21.00consensus
H $22.00
Buy
1165%
Hold
424%
Sell
212%
11 Buy (65%)4 Hold (24%)2 Sell (11%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 50 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.34 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 42.0%

-12.3% vs SMA 50 · +24.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI49.7
Neutral territory
MACD-0.12
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$20.76+43.2%
EMA 50
$16.05+10.7%
Current
$14.50
EMA 200
$11.64-19.7%
52W Low
$8.38-42.2%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$8.3849th %ile$20.76
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:5
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.8M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.6M-12%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 7 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$266.0M
$264.8M$267.6M
-$0.49
±3%
High7
FY2026(current)
$282.4M
$279.3M$286.0M
+6.2%-$0.48
±5%
High7
FY2027
$346.6M
$341.3M$350.7M
+22.7%-$0.26
±10%
High7
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryADPT
Last 8Q
+22.8%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+6%
Q2'24
+19%
Q3'24
+27%
Q4'24
+15%
Q1'25
+29%
Q2'25
+29%
Q3'25
+6%
Q4'25
+53%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Piper SandlerNeutral → Overweight
Dec 21
UPGRADE
WedbushNeutral
Dec 21
DOWNGRADE
BMO CapitalMarket Perform
Dec 21
DOWNGRADE
Morgan StanleyEqual-Weight
Dec 21
DOWNGRADE
Wolfe ResearchUnderperform
Dec 21
DOWNGRADE
Zacks Investment Re…Sell
Apr 25
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $6.9M sold · 30d window
Rubinstein JuliePresident and …
$271K
Apr 27
SELL
Rubinstein JuliePresident and …
$269K
Apr 22
SELL
Rubinstein JuliePresident and …
$262K
Apr 23
SELL
Rubinstein JuliePresident and …
$267K
Apr 24
SELL
Rubinstein JuliePresident and …
$278K
Apr 17
SELL
Rubinstein JuliePresident and …
$277K
Apr 20
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.
1.6M
2
Nuveen, LLC
1.3M
3
Capricorn Fund Managers Ltd
1.3M
4
abrdn plc
1.1M
5
Granite Investment Partners, LLC
500K
6
PEREGRINE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
487K
7
AFFINITY WEALTH MANAGEMENT LLC
323K
8
Counterpoint Mutual Funds LLC
307K
News & Activity

ADPT News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

we are a commercial-stage, biotechnology organization located in the hot biotech locations of seattle, washington and south san francisco, ca. our world class scientists have invented a patent-pending technology that combines advances in high-throughput sequencing with state-of-the-art computer infrastructure to provide an in-depth analysis of the t- and b-cell repertoire, a specific and important part of the immune system. this information is driving the r&d community to support the fights against cancer, auto-immune disease, and much, much more. we're often asked to describe our company culture. it is very easy ... we're a hard working group of top-notch individuals who are passionate about wanting to make a difference in the world. we know our employees are our most valuable asset, and every employee’s contribution is appreciated. open communication and collaboration are always encouraged in every interaction throughout the organization. we have high expectations of ourselves, and

Industry
Research and Development in the Physical, Engineering, and Life Sciences (except Nanotechnology and Biotechnology)
CEO
Chad Robins
Kyle PiskelVice President, Chief Financial Officer & Principal Accounting Officer
Julie RubinsteinPresident & Chief Operating Officer
Mary Pat LancelottaSenior Vice President of MRD BioPharma
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
ADPT
$14.50+1.61%$2.2B+5477.2%-2148.2%1500
$68.99+0.00%$13.4B1500
$91.17+0.00%$12.0B-4239.0%1500
$518.66+0.96%$11.9B-3008.0%1500
$223.70+8.31%$11.4B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$76.39+0.00%$10.7B52.9+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
$182.03+0.00%$10.6B1500
Sector avg+1.56%52.9+779282.3%-2456.7%1500