ADUS
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move+2.76%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume1.1× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 47Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
96.89
Open
97.56
Day Range96.30 – 99.57
96.30
99.57
52W Range90.89 – 124.44
90.89
124.44
26% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
245.2K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
19.1x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.84
Market-like
Performance
1D
+2.76%
5D
+4.01%
1M
+8.70%
3M
-5.47%
6M
-14.83%
YTD
-7.29%
1Y
-5.18%
Best: 1M (+8.70%)Worst: 6M (-14.83%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +23% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 19x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
FCF $5.63/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.86B
Revenue TTM$1.42B
Net Income TTM$95.91M
Free Cash Flow$103.79M
Gross Margin
Net Margin
Operating Margin
Return on Equity9.2%
Return on Assets
Debt / Equity0.19
Current Ratio1.80
EPS TTM$5.20
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

State Medicaid rate increases: annual rate adjustments (typically 2-4%) directly impact revenue per billable hour across 70% of the business

Same-store census growth: organic growth in clients served within existing contracts, driven by aging demographics and hospital discharge trends

Caregiver wage inflation and retention: labor costs represent 60-65% of revenue, with wage pressures from minimum wage increases and competitive labor markets

M&A activity: the company has historically grown through tuck-in acquisitions of regional home care providers at 5-7x EBITDA multiples

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Home care services are largely non-discretionary and driven by demographic trends (aging population) rather than economic cycles. Approximately 85% of revenue comes from government programs with stable funding. However, state budget pressures during recessions can delay rate increases or tighten eligibility criteria. Private pay clients (5-10% of revenue) show modest sensitivity to household income and wealth effects.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates have moderate negative impact through two channels: (1) higher borrowing costs on the company's revolving credit facility (currently $150-200M drawn at SOFR + 200-250 bps) used for acquisitions, and (2) valuation multiple compression as investors rotate from growth-oriented healthcare services to higher-yielding alternatives. However, the company's low leverage (0.19x D/E) and strong cash generation ($100M+ operating cash flow) limit financing risk. Rate increases do not materially affect customer demand as services are government-reimbursed.

Key Risks

State Medicaid budget pressures: fiscal constraints in key states (Illinois, New Mexico, New York represent 40%+ of revenue) could lead to rate freezes, eligibility tightening, or program cuts

Regulatory compliance complexity: operating across 24 states requires managing diverse licensing, training, and documentation requirements; compliance failures can result in contract termination or exclusion from government programs

Labor market structural tightness: demographic trends show declining labor force participation among traditional caregiver demographics (women aged 25-54), creating long-term wage pressure and recruitment challenges

Investor Profile

growth - The stock attracts investors seeking exposure to demographic tailwinds (aging population, 10,000 Americans turning 65 daily through 2030) and healthcare services consolidation. The company's 9-10% organic revenue growth, M&A optionality, and margin expansion story appeal to growth-at-a-reasonable-price (GARP) investors. The 5.3% FCF yield and low leverage also attract quality-focused investors seeking defensive growth with downside protection.

Watch on Earnings
State Medicaid rate increase announcements in Illinois, New Mexico, New York (key states)National caregiver wage inflation trends and minimum wage legislationMedicare Advantage enrollment growth rate (currently 31M beneficiaries, growing 8-10% annually)Hospital discharge volumes and length-of-stay trends (drive home health referrals)
Health Radar
1 strong1 watch1 concern
47/100
Leverage
0.19Strong
ROIC
8.0%Watch
Cash
$82MConcern
Analyst Coverage

No analyst coverage available for this stock.

Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 3 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 47 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates

2 signals unavailable — limited data for this stock

Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 5.3%

-5.7% vs SMA 50 · -10.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI46.6
Neutral territory
MACD-2.89
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$124.4+25.0%
EMA 200
$109.1+9.6%
EMA 50
$104.6+5.1%
Current
$99.56
52W Low
$90.89-8.7%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$90.8926th %ile$124.4
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:2
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)152K
Recent Vol (5D)
126K-18%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts
🔥Beat 8 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryADUS
Last 8Q
+5.2%avg beat
Beat 8 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+11%
Q2'24
+12%
Q3'24
+2%
Q4'24
+2%
Q1'25
+7%
Q2'25
+3%
Q3'25
+2%
Q4'25
+4%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Financials
News & Activity

ADUS News

Unable to load news

About

addus homecare corporation provides personal care services to elderly, chronically ill, disabled persons, and individuals who are at risk of hospitalization or institutionalization in the united states. it operates in three segments: personal care, hospice, and home health. the personal care segment provides non-medical assistance with activities of daily living. this segment's services include assistance with bathing, grooming, oral care, feeding and dressing, medication reminders, meal planning and preparation, housekeeping, and transportation services. the hospice segment provides palliative nursing care, social work, spiritual counseling, homemaker, and bereavement counseling services for people who are terminally ill, as well as related services for their families. the home health segment offers skilled nursing and physical, occupational, and speech therapy for the individuals who requires assistance during an illness or after hospitalization. the company's payor clients include f

CEO
R. Dirk Allison
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
ADUS
$99.56+2.76%$1.9B19.1+2320.6%674.2%1500
$68.56-3.59%$13.3B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$513.72-0.71%$11.8B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$87.60+0.60%$11.5B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$183.72-1.59%$10.7B29.2+1871.5%680.1%1500
$206.53-0.59%$10.6B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$74.81+1.81%$10.5B51.8+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-0.19%33.4+342240.2%-3329.6%1500