AMLX
Next earnings: Aug 6, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-4.29%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 39Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
13.88
Open
13.54
Day Range13.17 – 13.90
13.17
13.90
52W Range4.64 – 18.61
4.64
18.61
62% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.1M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-9.0x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-4.29%
5D
-12.60%
1M
-22.40%
3M
-5.91%
6M
+4.69%
YTD
+9.98%
1Y
+193.92%
Best: 1Y (+193.92%)Worst: 1M (-22.40%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
thin 0% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 17.9 · FCF negative
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.10B
Revenue TTM$0.00
Net Income TTM-$150.11M
Free Cash Flow-$120.53M
Gross Margin0.0%
Net Margin0.0%
Operating Margin0.0%
Return on Equity-55.7%
Return on Assets-51.1%
Debt / Equity0.02
Current Ratio17.85
EPS TTM$-1.36
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

AMX0114 clinical trial data readouts and regulatory milestone achievements (Phase 1/2 safety/efficacy signals)

Partnership or licensing deals that validate AMX0114 platform and provide non-dilutive funding

Cash runway updates and equity financing announcements (dilution risk given negative FCF)

Competitive developments in ALS/neurodegenerative space (Biogen, Mitsubishi Tanabe, Ionis programs)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Clinical-stage biotech operations are largely insulated from GDP fluctuations as R&D spending is driven by clinical milestones rather than economic conditions. However, capital markets access for financing is cyclical, with biotech IPO/follow-on windows tightening during recessions. Patient enrollment can be marginally affected by healthcare utilization patterns during severe downturns.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact valuation through higher discount rates applied to distant cash flows (8-10+ years for potential commercialization). Higher rates also reduce appetite for speculative growth assets and increase competition from risk-free alternatives. Amylyx holds significant cash balances that benefit from higher short-term rates (estimated $170M earning 4-5% vs 0% in 2021), partially offsetting valuation compression. Debt financing is minimal (0.02 D/E) so direct interest expense impact is negligible.

Key Risks

Binary clinical trial risk - single-asset company with AMX0114 success determining survival; Phase 2/3 failure would likely result in wind-down or acquisition at distressed valuation

Regulatory pathway uncertainty for novel ROCK2 inhibitor mechanism with no approved precedents in neurodegenerative diseases

Competitive intensity in ALS therapeutics with multiple well-funded programs (Biogen/Ionis tofersen, Mitsubishi edaravone, emerging gene therapies) potentially limiting market opportunity

Investor Profile

momentum/speculative - Stock exhibits extreme volatility (296.9% 1-year return, 76.6% 6-month) attracting biotech specialists, event-driven traders, and retail momentum players betting on clinical catalysts. The 1.1% 3-month return vs 76.6% 6-month suggests recent consolidation after major move. Not suitable for value investors given negative earnings and pre-revenue status. No dividend. Institutional ownership likely concentrated among specialized healthcare funds willing to accept binary risk/reward.

Watch on Earnings
AMX0114 Phase 1/2 clinical trial enrollment pace and data readout timelinesQuarterly cash burn rate and ending cash balance (runway calculation)NASDAQ Biotechnology Index (NBI) performance as proxy for biotech financing environmentFDA guidance on regulatory pathway and endpoint acceptance for ROCK2 inhibitors in ALS
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
50/100
Liquidity
17.85Strong
Leverage
0.02Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
-55.7%Concern
ROIC
-57.1%Concern
Cash
$227MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE10 analysts
BUY
+84.4%upside to target
L $21.00
Med $24.50consensus
H $28.00
Buy
10100%
10 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 39 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 17.85 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · Before OpenMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 17, 2026
In 93 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 14.8%

-13.5% vs SMA 50 · -0.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI38.8
Momentum fading
MACD-0.44
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$18.61+40.0%
EMA 50
$15.34+15.5%
Current
$13.29
EMA 200
$12.83-3.5%
52W Low
$4.64-65.1%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$4.6462th %ile$18.61
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:1
Dist days:4
Edge:+3 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.1M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.2M+9%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 8 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$114.5M
$45.0M$186.7M
-$1.55
±15%
High8
FY2026(current)
$80625
$31677$131430
-99.9%-$1.41
±11%
High7
FY2027
$44.7M
$16.9M$73.6M
+55323.5%-$1.27
±32%
High7
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryAMLX
Last 8Q
-13.3%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates rising
-92%
Q3'24
-13%
Q4'24
-12%
Q1'25
+7%
Q2'25
-5%
Q3'25
+14%
Q4'25
+3%
Q1'26
-9%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Bank of America Sec…Buy
Oct 23
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Klee Justin B.CEO
$424K
Mar 2
SELL
Cohen Joshua BCEO
$424K
Mar 2
SELL
Bedrosian Camille LChief Medical …
$94K
Mar 2
SELL
Frates James MCFO
$115K
Mar 2
SELL
Mazzariello GinaChief Legal Of…
$99K
Mar 2
SELL
Mazzariello GinaChief Legal Of…
$48K
Feb 23
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
FMR LLC
16.6M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
8.8M
3
PERCEPTIVE ADVISORS LLC
8.3M
4
TCG Crossover Management, LLC
6.2M
5
COMMODORE CAPITAL LP
5.7M
6
JANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLC
5.0M
7
Saturn V Capital Management LLC
4.3M
8
ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNERS GP, L.L.C.
3.6M
News & Activity

AMLX News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

Joshua CohenCo-Founder, Co-CEO & Director
Justin KleeCo-Founder, Co-CEO & Director
Machelle ManuelVice President & Head of Global Medical Affairs
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
AMLX
$13.29-4.29%$1.1B-10000.0%1500
$66.13-5.07%$13.0B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$94.92-3.79%$12.6B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$523.69-3.00%$12.1B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$227.72-1.30%$11.7B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.90-0.86%$11.2B50.3+1459.3%147.7%1500
$76.67-3.79%$10.8B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-3.16%50.3+340421.2%-4085.6%1500