ARDX
Next earnings: Aug 3, 2026 · After close
Signal
Leaning Bullish21
Price
1
Move+6.10%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume2.1× avgHeavy volume
Technical
1
RSIRSI 48Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
6.88
Open
7.14
Day Range7.02 – 7.43
7.02
7.43
52W Range3.21 – 8.40
3.21
8.40
79% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
3.8M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-30.4x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.44
Market-like
Performance
1D
+6.10%
5D
+22.90%
1M
+22.28%
3M
-1.08%
6M
+30.36%
YTD
+25.21%
1Y
+95.19%
Best: 1Y (+95.19%)Worst: 3M (-1.08%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +18% YoY · 92% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 3.5 · FCF negative
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.79B
Revenue TTM$427.68M
Net Income TTM-$58.06M
Free Cash Flow-$37.50M
Gross Margin91.9%
Net Margin-13.6%
Operating Margin-8.7%
Return on Equity-38.1%
Return on Assets-11.5%
Debt / Equity1.40
Current Ratio3.49
EPS TTM$-0.24
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

XPHOZAH prescription volume growth and market share gains in dialysis population (tracked via weekly prescription data)

Quarterly revenue beats/misses versus consensus estimates and guidance updates

Payer coverage decisions and Medicare Part D formulary placements affecting reimbursement access

Clinical data readouts or label expansion opportunities (potential CKD pre-dialysis indication)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Dialysis and chronic kidney disease treatment is non-discretionary healthcare with minimal GDP correlation. Patient volumes driven by diabetes/hypertension prevalence and aging demographics rather than economic cycles. However, IBS-C segment (IBSRELA) shows moderate sensitivity as patients may delay non-critical GI treatments during recessions.

Interest Rates

Rising rates create moderate headwinds through two channels: (1) Higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for unprofitable growth biotech stocks, particularly impacting P/S multiples which expanded during 2020-2021 zero-rate environment; (2) Increased financing costs if company needs to raise additional capital before reaching profitability, though current 4.41x current ratio provides substantial liquidity buffer. Rates do not materially affect underlying business operations as revenue is prescription-driven, not financing-dependent.

Key Risks

Medicare reimbursement policy changes or Part D reform could compress pricing power or limit patient access, particularly impactful given 80%+ of dialysis patients covered by Medicare

Competitive entry of generic NHE3 inhibitors post-patent expiration (tenapanor composition of matter patents expire 2029-2033) or novel phosphate management therapies

Regulatory risk from FDA post-marketing requirements or safety signals that could limit prescribing

Investor Profile

growth - Attracts biotech growth investors focused on commercial-stage companies transitioning to profitability. The 168% revenue growth, 85% gross margins, and large addressable market appeal to momentum investors, while negative earnings and cash flow deter value investors. High short interest typical of unprofitable biotechs creates volatility around earnings and clinical catalysts. Not suitable for income investors given no dividend and cash consumption.

Watch on Earnings
Weekly XPHOZAH prescription trends (TRx data from IQVIA/Symphony)Quarterly net product revenue and gross-to-net percentageOperating cash burn rate and quarters of cash runway remainingMedicare Part D formulary coverage percentage and tier placement
Health Radar
1 strong2 watch3 concern
33/100
Liquidity
3.49Strong
Leverage
1.40Watch
Coverage
-1.3xConcern
ROE
-38.1%Concern
ROIC
-9.4%Concern
Cash
$68MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE16 analysts
BUY
+132.9%upside to target
L $15.00
Med $17.00consensus
H $19.00
Buy
16100%
16 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 48 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 3.49 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 20.8%

+28.8% vs SMA 50 · +55.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI47.7
Neutral territory
MACD+0.02
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$8.40+15.1%
Current
$7.30
EMA 50
$5.73-21.5%
EMA 200
$4.69-35.7%
52W Low
$3.21-56.0%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$3.2179th %ile$8.40
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:1
Edge:+4 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)4.6M
Recent Vol (5D)
3.0M-36%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 8 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$400.1M
$397.6M$402.3M
-$0.24
±13%
High8
FY2026(current)
$545.5M
$540.1M$551.2M
+36.3%-$0.05
±50%
High7
FY2027
$737.6M
$695.8M$773.0M
+35.2%$0.47
±38%
High8
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryARDX
Last 8Q
+21.2%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates falling
+30%
Q3'24
+93%
Q4'24
Q1'25
-70%
Q2'25
+38%
Q3'25
+93%
Q4'25
Q1'26
-15%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Piper SandlerNeutral → Overweight
Jan 8
UPGRADE
WedbushOutperform → Neutral
Nov 25
DOWNGRADE
Raymond JamesOutperform → Strong Buy
Sep 2
UPGRADE
Piper SandlerOverweight → Neutral
Jul 2
DOWNGRADE
Cantor FitzgeraldOverweight
Aug 25
UPGRADE
WedbushOutperform
Mar 3
UPGRADE
Sandler O'NeillOverweight
Nov 23
UPGRADE
Piper SandlerOverweight
Nov 17
UPGRADE
JefferiesBuy
Mar 2
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
1 Buy/5 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $262K sold · 30d window
Raab MichaelDir
$262K
Apr 15
SELL
Raab MichaelDir
$243K
Mar 16
SELL
Raab MichaelDir
$261K
Feb 24
SELL
Mott David MDir
$1.9M
Feb 20
BUY
Bishop John ESee Remarks
$16K
Feb 20
SELL
Bishop John ESee Remarks
$2K
Feb 20
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
5.2M
2
Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd
451K
3
Clay Northam Wealth Management, LLC
332K
4
Raiffeisen Bank International AG
300K
5
THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS
196K
6
PROFUND ADVISORS LLC
182K
7
PFG Investments, LLC
138K
8
SG Americas Securities, LLC
107K
News & Activity

ARDX News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

ardelyx is focused on enhancing the way people with renal diseases are treated by developing first-in-class medicines. ardelyx's renal pipeline includes the phase 3 development of tenapanor for the treatment of hyperphosphatemia in people with end-stage renal disease who are on dialysis and rdx013, a potassium secretagogue program for the potential treatment of high potassium, or hyperkalemia, a problem among certain patients with kidney and/or heart disease. in addition, ardelyx has completed phase 3 development of tenapanor for the treatment of irritable bowel syndrome with constipation and anticipates submitting a new drug application to the u.s. food and drug administration for this indication in the second half of 2018. to efficiently bring its treatments to market, ardelyx is pursing strategic collaborations in the u.s. and other countries, including through established agreements with kyowa hakko kirin in japan, fosun pharma in china and knight therapeutics in canada.

Industry
Research and Development in Biotechnology (except Nanobiotechnology)
CEO
Michael Raab
Joseph ReillySenior Vice President of Finance & Principal Accounting Officer
Michael G. RaabPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Caitlin LowieVice President of Corporate Communications & Investor Relations
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
ARDX
$7.30+6.10%$1.8B+2209.3%-1512.3%1500
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$91.17+0.00%$12.0B-4239.0%1500
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$76.39+0.00%$10.7B52.9+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
$182.03+0.00%$10.6B1500
Sector avg+2.20%52.9+778193.0%-2329.5%1500