ATEC
Signal
Leaning Bearish1
Price
1
Move-0.96%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume1.2× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 40Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
10.43
Open
10.53
Day Range10.23 – 10.81
10.23
10.81
52W Range9.11 – 23.29
9.11
23.29
9% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.6M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-10.9x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.51
High vol
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +25% YoY · 67% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 2.1 · FCF $0.02/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.56B
Revenue TTM$764.15M
Net Income TTM-$143.36M
Free Cash Flow$2.78M
Gross Margin67.1%
Net Margin-18.8%
Operating Margin-10.3%
Return on Equity-1760.5%
Return on Assets-18.1%
Debt / Equity17.21
Current Ratio2.06
EPS TTM$-0.96
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Quarterly revenue growth rates and guidance - market expects sustained 20%+ growth to justify valuation

Surgeon adoption metrics and new account wins - number of trained surgeons using PTP platform and competitive conversions from Medtronic/NuVasive

Gross margin trajectory - ability to maintain 68-70% margins while scaling indicates pricing power sustainability

Operating expense leverage - progress toward breakeven and timeline to profitability

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Elective spine surgeries exhibit some cyclicality as patients may defer procedures during economic uncertainty, but the market is less discretionary than orthopedic joints. Hospital capital equipment budgets for surgical navigation systems are sensitive to healthcare system financial health. However, the company's growth is primarily driven by market share gains from competitive displacement rather than overall market growth, providing some insulation from macro headwinds. Medicare and commercial insurance reimbursement stability is more important than GDP growth.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create multiple headwinds: (1) Higher cost of capital for a cash-burning business with $300M+ debt load increases financing costs and may necessitate dilutive equity raises; (2) Higher discount rates compress valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies, particularly impacting the 2.8x Price/Sales multiple; (3) Hospital systems facing higher borrowing costs may reduce capital equipment purchases. The company's negative free cash flow of $100M annually makes it vulnerable to tighter financial conditions. Conversely, falling rates would ease financing pressure and support growth stock valuations.

Key Risks

Reimbursement pressure from CMS and commercial payers - bundled payment models and site-of-service shifts to ASCs reduce per-procedure economics

Regulatory pathway complexity - FDA 510(k) and PMA requirements create lengthy approval timelines for new products, and increased scrutiny on spinal devices following historical safety concerns

Technological disruption from robotic-assisted surgery platforms (Globus Excelsius, Medtronic Mazor) that may commoditize traditional implant differentiation

Investor Profile

growth - The stock attracts growth investors willing to accept near-term losses and high volatility in exchange for potential market share gains in the $3B lateral spine market. The 27% revenue growth rate and differentiated technology platform appeal to investors betting on competitive displacement of larger incumbents. However, the combination of negative margins, high debt, and recent 32% three-month drawdown suggests this is a high-risk/high-reward profile suitable for aggressive growth portfolios with long time horizons. Not appropriate for value or income investors given negative earnings and no dividend.

Watch on Earnings
Quarterly revenue growth rate (organic, constant currency) - must sustain 20%+ to support valuationGross margin percentage - watch for erosion below 68% signaling pricing pressure or adverse mixOperating cash flow and quarterly cash burn rate - path to cash flow breakeven critical given limited liquidityNumber of active surgeon users of PTP platform - leading indicator of sustainable revenue growth
Health Radar
2 strong4 concern
23/100
Liquidity
2.06Strong
Leverage
17.21Concern
Coverage
-2.1xConcern
ROE
-1760.5%Concern
ROIC
-12.2%Concern
Cash
$161MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE16 analysts
BUY
+142.0%upside to target
L $23.00
Med $25.00consensus
H $27.00
Buy
1381%
Hold
213%
Sell
16%
13 Buy (81%)2 Hold (13%)1 Sell (6%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
5/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 40 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 2.06 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 1, 2026
In 119 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 0.9%

-32.5% vs SMA 50 · -33.1% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI40.2
Momentum fading
MACD-0.72
Below zero — bearish pulse · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$23.29+125.5%
EMA 50
$14.78+43.1%
EMA 200
$14.60+41.4%
Current
$10.33
52W Low
$9.11-11.8%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$9.119th %ile$23.29
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:5
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.5M
Recent Vol (5D)
1.3M-15%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 8 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$762.9M
$762.9M$763.0M
$0.03
±50%
High6
FY2026(current)
$891.4M
$888.4M$897.9M
+16.8%$0.29+854.5%
±14%
High8
FY2027
$1.0B
$1.0B$1.1B
+16.5%$0.57+100.6%
±4%
High8
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryATEC
Last 8Q
+31.5%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates rising
-3%
Q2'24
-12%
Q3'24
-4%
Q4'24
-21%
Q1'25
-92%
Q2'25
+133%
Q3'25
+200%
Q4'25
+50%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Morgan StanleyOverweight → Equal-Weight
Aug 1
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Koning John ToddCFO
$986K
Mar 13
SELL
Lish ScottCOO
$3.2M
Mar 13
SELL
Sponsel DavidEVP, SALES
$2.0M
Mar 11
SELL
Hunsaker Craig EEVP, PEOPLE & …
$411K
Mar 6
SELL
Hunsaker Craig EEVP, PEOPLE & …
$1.0M
Mar 9
SELL
Marshall Tyson EliotGENERAL COUNSE…
$1.1M
Mar 5
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
2.8M
2
EMERALD ADVISERS, LLC
1.8M
3
abrdn plc
1.3M
4
Granite Investment Partners, LLC
1.2M
5
EMERALD MUTUAL FUND ADVISERS TRUST
1.2M
6
CONGRESS ASSET MANAGEMENT CO /MA
436K
7
Kopp Family Office, LLC
329K
8
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
293K
News & Activity

ATEC News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

as a medical technology company, we improve lives by providing innovative spine surgery solutions through our relentless pursuit of superior outcomes. we are dedicated to the design, development, launch and the delivery of spinal fusion products. we seek to accomplish this by working with spine surgeons to design and develop products and systems that address the entire spinal fusion procedure in the most effective and efficient way possible. our product designs and platforms provide innovation through a focus on simplifying procedures for the surgeon with the ultimate objective of superior outcomes. alphatec spine is seeking growth through innovation and continually developing technologies that will have a greater positive impact on patient care and outcomes. please visit our website for more information: www.alphatecspine.com

Industry
Surgical and Medical Instrument Manufacturing
CEO
Terry Rich
Patrick S. MilesChairman, CEO & President
Ali ShorooghiSenior Vice President of Marketing
Craig E. HunsakerExecutive Vice President of People and Culture
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
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