AVIR
Earnings in 7 days · May 12, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+2.15%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.8× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 50Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
5.58
Open
5.54
Day Range5.54 – 5.81
5.54
5.81
52W Range2.46 – 6.45
2.46
6.45
81% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
464.2K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-2.9x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.33
Market-like
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
thin 0% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 7.8 · FCF negative
Neutral
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$454.13M
Revenue TTM$0.00
Net Income TTM-$158.35M
Free Cash Flow-$132.03M
Gross Margin0.0%
Net Margin0.0%
Operating Margin0.0%
Return on Equity-46.3%
Return on Assets-50.2%
Debt / Equity0.00
Current Ratio7.82
EPS TTM$-2.03
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Phase 3 clinical trial readouts for bemnifosbuvir in COVID-19 and RSV indications - primary catalyst

FDA regulatory interactions, breakthrough therapy designations, or priority review status

Partnership announcements, milestone payments, or licensing deals (particularly Roche collaboration updates)

Competitive landscape shifts in antiviral space (Pfizer's Paxlovid, Gilead's remdesivir market dynamics)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Clinical trial timelines and regulatory processes are largely insulated from GDP fluctuations. However, severe recessions can impact: (1) biotech financing availability, (2) partnership deal flow as pharma companies conserve capital, and (3) healthcare system capacity for clinical trial execution. The company's focus on acute viral infections creates non-discretionary demand profile if approved.

Interest Rates

Rising rates negatively impact valuation through higher discount rates applied to distant cash flows (product approval 2027+ scenario). Clinical-stage biotechs with no earnings trade on NPV of pipeline assets, making them highly sensitive to risk-free rate changes. Additionally, higher rates tighten biotech financing markets, increasing dilution risk for future capital raises. The 16.66x current ratio provides near-term buffer, but sustained high rates compress sector multiples.

Key Risks

Binary clinical trial risk - Phase 3 failure for bemnifosbuvir would eliminate primary value driver with limited pipeline depth

Antiviral market commoditization as COVID-19 transitions to endemic status, reducing pricing power and market size for new entrants

Regulatory pathway uncertainty for combination antiviral therapies and evolving FDA standards for respiratory virus endpoints

Investor Profile

growth/speculative - Attracts biotech specialists, event-driven funds, and high-risk tolerance growth investors focused on binary clinical catalysts. The 49% one-year return and 51.5% three-month return reflect momentum trading around clinical milestones. Not suitable for value or income investors given no revenue, negative cash flow, and zero dividend. Institutional ownership likely concentrated in healthcare-focused funds with expertise evaluating clinical trial risk/reward.

Watch on Earnings
Phase 3 trial interim analysis timing and efficacy readouts for bemnifosbuvir (primary catalyst)Quarterly cash burn rate and runway calculations relative to key clinical milestonesFDA regulatory feedback and potential accelerated approval pathway discussionsRoche partnership milestone payments and collaboration expansion signals
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
50/100
Liquidity
7.82Strong
Leverage
0.00Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
-46.3%Concern
ROIC
-63.0%Concern
Cash
$96MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE4 analysts
HOLD
+75.4%upside to target
Buy
125%
Hold
250%
Sell
125%
1 Buy (25%)2 Hold (50%)1 Sell (25%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
4/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 50 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 7.82 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 1, 2026
In 119 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 8.4%

+76.8% vs SMA 50 · +91.6% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI50.4
Neutral territory
MACD+0.22
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$6.45+13.2%
Current
$5.70
EMA 50
$3.27-42.7%
EMA 200
$2.98-47.8%
52W Low
$2.46-56.9%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$2.4681th %ile$6.45
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:4
Dist days:3
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)423K
Recent Vol (5D)
448K+6%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 3 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$68.3M
$68.3M$68.3M
-$1.80
±4%
Moderate3
FY2025
$7.1M
$7.1M$7.1M
-89.6%-$1.73
±10%
Low1
FY2026(current)
$5.7M
$5.7M$5.7M
-18.9%-$1.93
±21%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryAVIR
Last 8Q
+3.2%avg beat
Beat 4 of 8 quartersMissed 4 Estimates rising
-23%
Q2'24
+37%
Q3'24
+24%
Q4'24
-14%
Q1'25
+29%
Q2'25
+4%
Q3'25
-15%
Q4'25
-16%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Morgan StanleyEqual-Weight
Aug 12
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
4 Buys/2 SellsNet Buying
Berger Franklin MDir
$34K
Jan 16
BUY
Berger Franklin MDir
$48K
Jan 15
BUY
Berger Franklin MDir
$34K
Jan 16
BUY
Berger Franklin MDir
$48K
Jan 15
BUY
Berger Franklin MDir
$1.0M
Dec 10
SELL
Sommadossi Jean-pie…Dir
$137K
Sep 17
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BANQUE PICTET & CIE SA
345K
2
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
259K
3
Nuveen, LLC
243K
4
Auour Investments LLC
177K
5
STRS OHIO
96K
6
Certified Advisory Corp
25K
7
Police & Firemen's Retirement System of New Jersey
17K
8
RFG Advisory, LLC
15K
News & Activity

AVIR News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Atea is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, developing and commercializing therapies to address the unmet medical needs of patients with life-threatening viral diseases. Leveraging its deep understanding of antiviral drug development, nucleoside biology, and medicinal chemistry, the Company has built a proprietary purine nucleotide prodrug platform to develop novel product candidates to treat single stranded ribonucleic acid, or ssRNA, viruses, which are a prevalent cause of severe viral diseases. Currently, the Company is focused on the development of orally available, potent, and selective nucleotide prodrugs for difficult-to-treat, life-threatening viral infections, including severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the virus that causes COVID-19, dengue virus, hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV).

Industry
Pharmaceutical Preparation Manufacturing
Keith PietropaoloExecutive Vice President of Clinical Sciences & Project Management
Wayne FosterExecutive Vice President of Finance & Chief Accounting Officer
Xiao-Jian ZhouExecutive Vice President of Early Stage Development
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
AVIR
$5.70+0.00%$454M1500
$68.99+0.00%$13.4B1500
$91.17+0.00%$12.0B-4239.0%1500
$518.66+0.96%$11.9B-3008.0%1500
$223.70+8.31%$11.4B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$76.39+0.00%$10.7B52.9+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
$182.03+0.00%$10.6B1500
Sector avg+1.33%52.9+1166184.9%-2533.9%1500