BIOA
Next earnings: Aug 5, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup1
Price
1
Move-5.64%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume1.0× avgNormal activity
PRICE
Prev Close
18.72
Open
18.16
Day Range17.36 – 18.32
17.36
18.32
52W Range3.79 – 24.00
3.79
24.00
69% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
487.2K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-7.4x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-5.64%
5D
+0.80%
1M
+4.07%
3M
-9.76%
6M
+126.41%
YTD
+33.48%
1Y
+362.30%
Best: 1Y (+362.30%)Worst: 3M (-9.76%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +611% YoY · 99% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 24.8 · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$664.89M
Revenue TTM$10.32M
Net Income TTM-$89.93M
Free Cash Flow-$88.63M
Gross Margin99.4%
Net Margin-871.8%
Operating Margin-985.9%
Return on Equity-29.4%
Return on Assets-22.6%
Debt / Equity0.01
Current Ratio24.76
EPS TTM$-2.12
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Phase 2 clinical trial data readouts for azelaprag in obesity and metabolic dysfunction - primary catalyst

FDA regulatory milestone achievements (IND clearances, Fast Track designations, breakthrough therapy status)

Strategic partnership announcements with major pharmaceutical companies (licensing deals, co-development agreements)

Competitive landscape shifts in GLP-1 agonist and metabolic disease markets (Novo Nordisk, Eli Lilly developments)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Clinical trial timelines and R&D spending are largely insulated from GDP fluctuations. However, severe recessions can impact: (1) ability to raise capital at attractive valuations, (2) pharmaceutical partner appetite for M&A/licensing deals, and (3) post-approval commercial uptake if targeting elective/lifestyle indications. Obesity therapeutics market shows resilience given chronic disease burden, but reimbursement pressures intensify during economic downturns.

Interest Rates

Rising rates negatively impact valuation through higher discount rates applied to distant cash flows (first revenues likely 2028+). Clinical-stage biotechs with 8-10 year DCF horizons see significant multiple compression when risk-free rates rise. Additionally, higher rates increase capital raising costs and make cash-burning growth stories less attractive versus profitable alternatives. Minimal direct business impact as company carries negligible debt (0.03x D/E), but equity financing becomes more expensive.

Key Risks

Clinical trial failure risk - Phase 2/3 trials have 30-40% success rates in metabolic diseases; single negative readout could eliminate 60-80% of market value

Competitive obsolescence from GLP-1 receptor agonists (Wegovy, Zepbound) and next-generation obesity therapies capturing market share before BioAge reaches commercialization

Regulatory pathway uncertainty for aging-related indications where FDA endpoints and approval standards remain evolving

Investor Profile

growth/momentum - Attracts high-risk tolerance investors seeking asymmetric returns from binary clinical catalysts. Recent 350% one-year return and 137% three-month return indicate momentum-driven trading around trial milestones. Typical holders include biotech-focused hedge funds, venture crossover funds, and retail speculators. Not suitable for value or income investors given zero revenue, negative cash flow, and binary risk profile. Institutional ownership likely concentrated among healthcare specialists rather than generalist funds.

Watch on Earnings
Phase 2 trial enrollment pace and data readout timelines for azelaprag obesity studiesQuarterly cash burn rate and ending cash balance relative to projected runwayCompetitor clinical trial results in metabolic disease space (GLP-1 combinations, apelin pathway programs)FDA regulatory feedback and guidance documents on aging-related endpoints
Health Radar
3 strong3 concern
50/100
Liquidity
24.76Strong
Leverage
0.01Strong
Coverage
-211.5xConcern
ROE
-29.4%Concern
ROIC
-26.5%Concern
Cash
$189MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE3 analysts
BUY
+154.8%upside to target
L $23.00
Med $45.00consensus
H $62.00
Buy
267%
Hold
133%
2 Buy (67%)1 Hold (33%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 4 signals bullish
10/10
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 24.76 — healthy liquidity

1 signal unavailable — limited data for this stock

Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 10, 2026
In 117 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$24.00+35.9%
Current
$17.66
52W Low
$3.79-78.5%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$3.7969th %ile$24.00
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:0
Edge:+5 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)491K
Recent Vol (5D)
437K-11%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 7 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$7.1M
$6.4M$9.3M
-$2.27
±12%
High5
FY2026(current)
$5.9M
$4.9M$7.5M
-17.0%-$2.55
±18%
High7
FY2027
$18.1M
$901842$35.4M
+207.1%-$2.29
±26%
High6
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryBIOA
Last 7Q
-142.6%avg beat
Beat 4 of 7 quartersMissed 3 Estimates falling
-831%
Q4'24
-240%
Q1'25
+31%
Q2'25
-7%
Q3'25
+16%
Q4'25
+13%
Q1'26
+19%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d10
JefferiesBuy
Feb 18
UPGRADE
Morgan StanleyOverweight → Reduce
Dec 5
UPGRADE
CitigroupBuy
Oct 22
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Rubin Paul DChief Medical …
$157K
Apr 1
SELL
Rubin Paul DChief Medical …
$151K
Mar 2
SELL
Rubin Paul DChief Medical …
$139K
Feb 2
SELL
Goldstein Dov A MdCFO
$165K
Jan 13
SELL
Goldstein Dov A MdCFO
$86K
Jan 13
SELL
Goldstein Dov A MdCFO
$240K
Jan 13
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
BlackRock, Inc.
2.3M
2
Sands Capital Ventures, LLC
786K
3
Pivotal bioVenture Partners Investment Advisor LLC
653K
4
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC
392K
5
FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC
265K
6
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
224K
7
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
215K
8
Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd
201K
News & Activity

BIOA News

About

No company information available

PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
BIOA
$17.66-5.64%$665M-89610.9%1500
$66.13-5.07%$13.0B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$94.92-3.79%$12.6B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$523.69-3.00%$12.1B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$227.72-1.30%$11.7B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.90-0.86%$11.2B50.3+1459.3%147.7%1500
$76.67-3.79%$10.8B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-3.35%50.3+398824.8%-16303.5%1500