BKV
Next earnings: Aug 11, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bearish1!
Price
1
Move-0.28%Quiet session
Volume
1
Volume0.7× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
TrendPullbackBelow 50D, above 200D
PRICE
Prev Close
28.59
Open
28.72
Day Range28.23 – 28.81
28.23
28.81
52W Range19.56 – 32.81
19.56
32.81
68% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.0M
Float
109.4M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
8.5x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
$3.37
Div Yield
No dividend
Performance
1D
-0.28%
5D
+1.60%
1M
+4.43%
3M
-4.84%
6M
+2.00%
YTD
+5.01%
1Y
+28.13%
Best: 1Y (+28.13%)Worst: 3M (-4.84%)
Quick Read
Trend
PULLBACK
Price below SMA50, above SMA200
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +51% YoY · 47% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 8x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.3 · FCF negative
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$3.12B
Revenue TTM$1.02B
Net Income TTM$295.87M
Free Cash Flow-$198.71M
Gross Margin47.2%
Net Margin28.9%
Operating Margin19.4%
Return on Equity15.5%
Return on Assets7.1%
Debt / Equity0.57
Current Ratio1.31
EPS TTM$2.90
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Henry Hub natural gas spot prices and forward curve shape (contango vs backwardation impacts hedging value)

Quarterly production volumes from Barnett and Marcellus core areas, measured in Bcf/d

Carbon capture project milestones and IRS 45Q tax credit monetization announcements

Natural gas storage inventory levels (EIA weekly reports) affecting near-term pricing

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Natural gas demand is directly tied to industrial production (petrochemicals, manufacturing), power generation (weather-driven and coal-to-gas switching), and residential/commercial heating. Economic slowdowns reduce industrial gas consumption by 5-15%, compressing prices. However, natural gas has become increasingly linked to global LNG markets, creating demand floors from Asian and European buyers. BKV's exposure to power generation adds sensitivity to electricity demand cycles.

Interest Rates

Rising rates negatively impact BKV through higher borrowing costs on revolving credit facilities (typical E&P revolver rates are SOFR + 200-300bps), reduced present value of long-duration reserves in asset valuations, and compressed valuation multiples as investors rotate from growth/commodity plays to fixed income. However, E&P companies with strong free cash flow generation become relatively more attractive in high-rate environments if they can self-fund growth. The 0.27 debt/equity ratio suggests moderate interest rate exposure.

Key Risks

Long-term natural gas demand erosion from renewable energy penetration and electrification policies, particularly impacting power generation markets where wind/solar compete directly

Regulatory restrictions on methane emissions and flaring in key basins (EPA rules effective 2024-2025) increasing compliance costs by $0.10-0.30/Mcf

Barnett Shale maturity with declining well productivity (type curves down 30-40% from peak) requiring higher drilling activity to maintain flat production

Investor Profile

value - The stock attracts contrarian value investors betting on natural gas price recovery from depressed levels, given the 3.6x P/S ratio is elevated relative to negative margins, suggesting market anticipation of mean reversion. The carbon capture angle appeals to ESG-focused energy investors seeking transition plays. Negative margins and minimal FCF deter growth and income investors. Recent 40% six-month return indicates momentum traders have participated in the natural gas rally from 2025 lows.

Watch on Earnings
Henry Hub natural gas prompt month futures price (NYMEX NG)EIA weekly natural gas storage inventory levels vs 5-year average (surplus/deficit impacts pricing)Barnett Shale rig count and completion activity (proxy for basin competitiveness)LNG export terminal utilization rates and global LNG spot prices (JKM index)
Health Radar
2 strong2 watch2 concern
42/100
Liquidity
1.31Watch
Leverage
0.57Strong
Coverage
3.9xWatch
ROE
15.5%Strong
ROIC
4.0%Concern
Cash
$199MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE6 analysts
BUY
+21.0%upside to target
L $32.00
Med $34.50consensus
H $36.00
Buy
6100%
6 Buy (100%)0 Hold (0%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 7 signals bullish
6/10
Trend
Trend StatePullback (dip within uptrend)
~
Above SMA 50$28.84 (-1.1%)
Above SMA 200$26.16 (+9.0%)
Technicals
MA AlignmentGolden Cross (50D vs 200D +10.2%)
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.31
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 18, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 89 days
PDividend PaymentSep 10, 2026
In 116 days
Technicals
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$32.81+15.1%
SMA 50
$28.84+1.1%
Current
$28.51
SMA 200
$26.16-8.2%
52W Low
$19.56-31.4%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$19.5668th %ile$32.81
Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 5 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$930.0M
$915.4M$944.5M
$1.57
±1%
Moderate4
FY2026(current)
$1.6B
$1.4B$1.8B
+68.9%$1.66+5.7%
±30%
High5
FY2027
$1.7B
$1.4B$1.9B
+6.4%$2.08+25.7%
±50%
High5
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryBKV
Last 7Q
+75.1%avg beat
Beat 5 of 7 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
+16%
Q4'24
+110%
Q1'25
+173%
Q2'25
+160%
Q3'25
+127%
Q4'25
-22%
Q1'26
-39%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
NET SELLERS$0 bought · $774K sold · 30d window
Jacobsen Eric SPresident, Ups…
$774K
May 1
SELL
Tameron DavidCFO
$217K
Mar 27
SELL
Kalnin Christopher PCEO
$3.0M
Mar 25
SELL
Kalnin Christopher PCEO
$2.2M
Nov 17
SELL
Kalnin Christopher PCEO
$608K
Nov 14
SELL
Kalnin Christopher PCEO
$2.6M
Nov 10
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
DME Capital Management, LP
2.7M
2
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
2.2M
3
Boston Partners
2.2M
4
COOPER CREEK PARTNERS MANAGEMENT LLC
2.1M
5
BlackRock, Inc.
2.1M
6
Yaupon Capital Management LP
2.0M
7
Zimmer Partners, LP
1.9M
8
Merewether Investment Management, LP
1.6M
News & Activity

BKV News

About

No company information available

PeersEnergy(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
BKV
-0.28%
$157.93+3.37%$654.6B26.1-452.2%890.5%1501
$191.06+0.00%$380.5B1491
$122.41+0.00%$149.1B1503
$77.72+0.00%$95.1B1500
$55.38+0.00%$82.8B1510
$33.63+0.69%$74.8B22.6+1245.3%1802.9%1496
Sector avg+0.54%24.3+396.5%1346.7%1500