BLKB
Next earnings: Jul 29, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-1.15%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume1.2× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 31Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
31.21
Open
31.70
Day Range30.69 – 32.33
30.69
32.33
52W Range30.69 – 74.88
30.69
74.88
0% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
591.7K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
10.5x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.07
Market-like
Performance
1D
-1.15%
5D
-17.27%
1M
-18.73%
3M
-37.14%
6M
-49.66%
YTD
-51.28%
1Y
-51.66%
Worst: 1Y (-51.66%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
59% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 10x vs ~20x sector
Health
WEAK
CR 0.7 (low) · FCF $6.41/sh
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.42B
Revenue TTM$1.14B
Net Income TTM$141.30M
Free Cash Flow$292.06M
Gross Margin59.2%
Net Margin12.4%
Operating Margin19.5%
Return on Equity179.0%
Return on Assets6.7%
Debt / Equity34.33
Current Ratio0.74
EPS TTM$3.10
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Net revenue retention rates and annual recurring revenue (ARR) growth, indicating customer expansion and churn dynamics within the nonprofit vertical

Operating margin trajectory and free cash flow conversion, particularly as the company executes on cost optimization following debt refinancing

Customer acquisition metrics in mid-market and enterprise nonprofit segments, where competitive intensity from Salesforce.org and Microsoft Dynamics has increased

Payment processing transaction volumes and take rates, which correlate with overall charitable giving trends and donor engagement levels

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Nonprofit software spending exhibits defensive characteristics as mission-critical systems remain prioritized even during budget constraints, but new customer acquisition and expansion sales correlate with charitable giving trends. During recessions, individual donations typically decline 5-10% while foundation endowment distributions lag equity market performance by 12-18 months. Educational institutions face enrollment pressures and tuition revenue volatility during economic downturns, potentially delaying software investments. However, existing subscription contracts provide revenue stability with typical 90%+ gross retention rates.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create multiple headwinds: (1) Higher debt service costs on the company's substantial $1.4B+ debt load (Debt/Equity of 13.16x) directly compress net margins and FCF available for deleveraging; (2) Nonprofit endowment returns decline as bond portfolios reprice, reducing grantmaking budgets and software spending capacity; (3) Valuation multiples for high-leverage SaaS businesses contract as risk-free rates rise, pressuring the stock despite stable operations. The 0.2x EV/EBITDA ratio suggests significant debt burden relative to enterprise value.

Key Risks

Horizontal platform encroachment as Salesforce Nonprofit Cloud and Microsoft Cloud for Nonprofit gain vertical-specific functionality, potentially commoditizing Blackbaud's differentiation over 5-10 year horizon

Secular shift toward donor-advised funds and direct giving platforms (GoFundMe, Facebook Fundraisers) that bypass traditional nonprofit CRM systems, reducing payment processing volumes

Regulatory changes in data privacy (GDPR, state-level privacy laws) and charitable solicitation compliance that require continuous product investment to maintain regulatory adherence

Investor Profile

value - The stock trades at distressed multiples (2.1x P/S, 0.2x EV/EBITDA) reflecting balance sheet concerns and revenue contraction, attracting deep value investors betting on operational turnaround and deleveraging. The 10.9% FCF yield appeals to credit-oriented equity investors analyzing debt paydown capacity. Recent 30% one-year decline and negative momentum deter growth investors despite software sector classification. Not suitable for dividend investors (likely minimal/no dividend given debt priorities) or risk-averse accounts given leverage profile.

Watch on Earnings
Annual charitable giving growth rates (Giving USA Foundation data) as leading indicator for customer budget expansion and payment processing volumesSaaS Magic Number (net new ARR divided by prior quarter sales & marketing spend) to assess customer acquisition efficiencyNet debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio and interest coverage ratio for debt sustainability assessmentGross revenue retention rate (measures churn) vs. net revenue retention rate (includes expansion) spread to identify upsell momentum
Health Radar
3 strong1 watch2 concern
51/100
Liquidity
0.74Concern
Leverage
34.33Concern
Coverage
3.3xWatch
ROE
179.0%Strong
ROIC
15.1%Strong
Cash
$759MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE23 analysts
HOLD
+70.2%upside to target
L $45.00
Med $52.50consensus
H $60.00
Buy
626%
Hold
1461%
Sell
313%
6 Buy (26%)14 Hold (61%)3 Sell (13%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
1 of 5 signals bullish
3/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 31 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.74 — liquidity risk
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 31, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 29.1%

-20.9% vs SMA 50 · -44.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI30.6
Momentum fading
MACD-1.94
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$74.88+142.7%
EMA 200
$52.09+68.8%
EMA 50
$39.15+26.9%
Current
$30.85
52W Low
$30.69-0.5%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$30.690th %ile$74.88
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:6
Edge:+3 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)592K
Recent Vol (5D)
644K+9%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$1.1B
$1.1B$1.1B
$0.41
±0%
Low2
FY2024
$1.2B
$1.2B$1.2B
+3.0%$4.06+879.1%
±0%
Moderate3
FY2025
$1.1B
$1.1B$1.1B
-2.7%$4.41+8.8%
±0%
Moderate4
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 4 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryBLKB
Last 8Q
+3.3%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+9%
Q2'24
+4%
Q3'24
-6%
Q4'24
Q1'25
+7%
Q2'25
+3%
Q4'25
+3%
Q1'26
+6%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Raymond JamesOutperform
Jun 5
UPGRADE
Zacks Investment Re…Sell
Apr 26
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Gregoire Kevin P.COO
$100K
Mar 4
SELL
Olson Jon WSVP and Genera…
$482K
Feb 27
SELL
Olson Jon WSVP and Genera…
$246K
Mar 3
SELL
Mcdearis KevinEVP & Chief Te…
$695K
Feb 23
SELL
Mcdearis KevinEVP & Chief Te…
$23K
Feb 23
SELL
Benjamin David JEVP, Chief Com…
$681K
Feb 24
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
CLEARLAKE CAPITAL GROUP, L.P.
9.8M
2
BlackRock, Inc.
4.8M
3
MORGAN STANLEY
4.3M
4
JANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLC
1.6M
5
STATE STREET CORP
1.5M
6
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
971K
7
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
951K
8
GENEVA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
719K
News & Activity

BLKB News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

blackbaud (nasdaq: blkb) is the world’s leading cloud software company powering social good. serving the entire social good community—nonprofits, foundations, corporations, education institutions, healthcare institutions and individual change agents—blackbaud connects and empowers organizations to increase their impact through software, services, expertise, and data intelligence. the blackbaud portfolio is tailored to the unique needs of vertical markets, with solutions for fundraising and crm, marketing, advocacy, peer-to-peer fundraising, corporate social responsibility, school management, ticketing, grantmaking, financial management, payment processing, and analytics. serving the industry for more than three decades, blackbaud is headquartered in charleston, south carolina and has operations in the united states, australia, canada, and the united kingdom.

CEO
Michael Gianoni
Anthony W. BoorExecutive Vice President of Corporate Development & Strategy
Chad AndersonExecutive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Kevin GregoireExecutive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer
PeersTechnology(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
BLKB
$30.85-1.15%$1.4B9.9-234.8%1500
$225.32-4.42%$5.5T45.6+6547.4%5560.3%1502
$300.23+0.68%$4.4T36.0+642.6%2691.5%1482
$421.92+3.05%$3.1T25.0+1493.2%3614.6%1460
$425.19-3.32%$2.0T80.7+2387.4%3619.8%1500
$724.66-6.62%$817.2B33.8+4885.1%2284.5%1532
$424.10-5.69%$691.5B138.6+3433.8%1251.5%1516
Sector avg-2.50%52.8+2736.4%3170.4%1499