CDNA
+3.32%(+0.69)
Open
20.92
Prev Close
20.81
Day High
22.12
Day Low
20.47
Volume
863,601
Avg Volume
705,501
52W High
23.24
52W Low
10.96
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+3.32%Strong session
Volume
1
Volume1.2× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 60Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
20.81
Open
20.92
Day Range20.47 – 22.12
20.47
22.12
52W Range10.96 – 23.24
10.96
23.24
86% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
705.5K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-134.4x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.89
High vol
Performance
1D
+3.32%
5D
-3.89%
1M
+20.65%
3M
+13.58%
6M
+48.07%
YTD
+14.12%
1Y
+41.73%
Best: 6M (+48.07%)Worst: 5D (-3.89%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +19% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
Insufficient data
Neutral
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

AlloSure test volume growth rates across kidney, heart, and lung transplant segments

Medicare/CMS reimbursement rate decisions and coverage expansion to additional organ types

Competitive threats from Natera's Prospera dd-cfDNA test and market share dynamics in kidney transplant surveillance

Clinical trial data releases demonstrating improved patient outcomes and cost-effectiveness versus standard-of-care biopsies

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Transplant surveillance testing is medically necessary and non-discretionary for post-transplant patient management. Organ transplant volumes are driven by organ availability and waitlist dynamics rather than economic conditions. However, commercial insurance coverage and employer healthcare spending can affect reimbursement mix and payment timing during recessions.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates create moderate headwinds through higher discount rates applied to future cash flows, compressing valuation multiples for unprofitable or low-margin growth companies. With minimal debt (0.09 D/E), financing costs are negligible. However, as a healthcare growth stock trading at 2.9x sales, the company's valuation is sensitive to risk-free rate changes affecting investor appetite for growth versus value. Higher rates also pressure hospital capital budgets, potentially slowing adoption of new diagnostic protocols.

Key Risks

Reimbursement risk: CMS or commercial payers could reduce coverage rates, frequency allowances, or reimbursement amounts for dd-cfDNA testing, directly impacting revenue per patient

Clinical guideline changes: Transplant societies (ISHLT, AST) could modify surveillance protocols reducing testing frequency or recommending alternative monitoring approaches

Technology obsolescence: Next-generation biomarkers or imaging modalities could emerge as superior alternatives to dd-cfDNA for rejection detection

Investor Profile

growth - The stock attracts growth investors focused on the expanding transplant diagnostics market, recent profitability inflection (128% EPS growth), and 19% revenue growth. The 68% six-month return reflects momentum investor interest following operational improvements. However, the -19% one-year return and volatile performance indicate this remains a speculative growth position rather than stable value or income play. The small $1B market cap and healthcare specialization appeal to biotech/medtech-focused funds.

Watch on Earnings
U.S. solid organ transplant volumes (kidney, heart, lung) from UNOS/OPTN monthly dataMedicare reimbursement rates for CPT codes 81379 (AlloSure) and coverage policy updatesCompetitive test volume disclosures from Natera (Prospera) in quarterly earningsHealthcare utilization trends and commercial insurance coverage rates
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 12.9%

+15.9% vs SMA 50 · +30.8% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI60.3
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.27
Above zero — bullish momentum · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$23.24+8.1%
Current
$21.50
EMA 50
$18.48-14.1%
EMA 200
$16.49-23.3%
52W Low
$10.96-49.0%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$10.9686th %ile$23.24
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:3
Dist days:2
Edge:+1 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)1.6M
Recent Vol (5D)
5.9M+276%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts
Financials
News & Activity

CDNA News

Unable to load news

About

caredx: transforming transplant patient care through novel surveillance management solutions caredx, inc. is dedicated to improving the lives of organ transplant patients through non-invasive diagnostics. by combining the latest advances in genomics and bioinformatics technology, with a commitment to generating high quality clinical evidence through trials and registries, caredx is at the forefront of organ transplant surveillance and pre-transplant hla typing solutions. nasdaq:cdna about allosure® allosure is the first and only non-invasive blood test that directly measures allograft injury and identifies the probability of active rejection to better manage kidney transplant patients. allosure is a clinical-grade, proprietary next-generation sequencing (ngs) based test to detect donor-derived cell-free dna (dd-cfdna) in order to identify organ injury in kidney transplant recipients. allosure is analytically validated as a sensitive, specific, and precise measurement of dd-cfdna. allos

Industry
Research and Development in Biotechnology (except Nanobiotechnology)
CEO
Peter Maag
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
CDNA
$21.50+3.32%$1.1B+1378.7%-562.2%1500
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$513.72-0.71%$11.8B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$87.60+0.60%$11.5B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$183.72-1.59%$10.7B29.2+1871.5%680.1%1500
$206.53-0.59%$10.6B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$74.81+1.81%$10.5B51.8+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-0.11%40.5+342105.7%-3506.2%1500