CLOV
Earnings in 1 day · May 6, 2026 · After close
Signal
Bearish Setup1!1
Price
1
Move-2.21%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 81Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
2.71
Open
2.69
Day Range2.64 – 2.76
2.64
2.76
52W Range1.58 – 3.92
1.58
3.92
46% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
5.6M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-15.6x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.86
High vol
Performance
1D
-2.21%
5D
+2.32%
1M
+41.71%
3M
+25.59%
6M
-24.72%
YTD
+12.77%
1Y
-20.90%
Best: 1M (+41.71%)Worst: 6M (-24.72%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev +40% · 18% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
WEAK
CR 1.5 · FCF negative
Lean Bearish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.36B
Revenue TTM$1.92B
Net Income TTM-$85.55M
Free Cash Flow-$68.98M
Gross Margin18.5%
Net Margin-4.4%
Operating Margin-4.4%
Return on Equity-25.7%
Return on Assets-15.8%
Debt / Equity0.00
Current Ratio1.47
EPS TTM$-0.17
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Medicare Advantage membership growth and retention rates - particularly net adds during Annual Enrollment Period (October-December)

Medical Loss Ratio (MLR) performance relative to 85-88% target range - directly impacts path to profitability

CMS Star Ratings (currently 3.0-3.5 stars across counties) - affects quality bonus payments worth 5%+ of revenue and competitive positioning

Geographic expansion announcements and county-level market entries/exits

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Medicare Advantage enrollment is relatively recession-resistant as it serves seniors with guaranteed government funding through CMS. However, economic downturns can pressure state Medicaid budgets (relevant for dual-eligible members) and reduce supplemental benefit funding. Member growth correlates more with demographic trends (aging population) than GDP cycles. The company's focus on lower-income Medicare beneficiaries provides some counter-cyclical stability as value-oriented plans gain share during economic stress.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates provide modest benefit to investment income on insurance float (estimated $400-500M cash and short-term investments earning 4-5% vs near-zero in 2021-2022), adding $15-20M annually to non-operating income. However, higher rates compress valuation multiples for unprofitable growth companies, disproportionately impacting CLOV's stock price. Rates have minimal impact on operating business as the company carries zero debt and capital expenditures are minimal (software development vs physical infrastructure). The primary rate sensitivity is valuation-driven rather than fundamental.

Key Risks

CMS rate pressure and policy changes - Medicare Advantage benchmark rates face ongoing political scrutiny with potential 1-3% annual cuts, directly impacting revenue. Risk adjustment methodology changes (e.g., V28 model implementation) can materially affect revenue per member.

Regulatory intensification around prior authorization, marketing practices, and risk score documentation - CMS audits and compliance costs rising industry-wide, with potential for retroactive payment adjustments

Technology adoption barriers - Clover Assistant value proposition depends on physician engagement, but independent practices may resist workflow changes or lack EHR integration capabilities

Investor Profile

growth/turnaround - The stock attracts speculative growth investors betting on Medicare Advantage market expansion (8-10% annual industry growth) and technology-driven disruption thesis. Also appeals to deep value/special situations investors given 0.6x price-to-sales ratio and potential for profitability inflection. High short interest (historically 15-25% of float) reflects skepticism about competitive positioning and path to sustainable profitability. Not suitable for income investors (no dividend) or risk-averse capital preservation strategies.

Watch on Earnings
Medicare Advantage membership count and quarterly net adds/lossesMedical Loss Ratio (MLR) trend and variance from 85-88% targetCMS Star Ratings by county (released annually in October)Revenue per member per month (PMPM) reflecting risk score and quality performance
Health Radar
1 strong2 watch3 concern
33/100
Liquidity
1.47Watch
Leverage
0.00Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
-25.7%Concern
ROIC
-25.7%Concern
Cash
$78MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE9 analysts
HOLD
+3.8%upside to target
L $1.80
Med $2.75consensus
H $6.00
Buy
111%
Hold
556%
Sell
333%
1 Buy (11%)5 Hold (56%)3 Sell (33%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
2 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 81 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.47
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 27, 2026
In 114 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 13.8%

+10.9% vs SMA 50 · -4.4% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI81.4
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD-0.12
Below zero — bearish pulse · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$3.92+47.9%
EMA 200
$2.77+4.5%
Current
$2.65
EMA 50
$2.33-12.0%
52W Low
$1.58-40.4%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$1.5846th %ile$3.92
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:6
Dist days:3
Edge:+3 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)9.0M
Recent Vol (5D)
10.7M+19%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$1.9B
$1.9B$1.9B
-$0.17
±1%
Low2
FY2026(current)
$2.9B
$2.9B$2.9B
+51.2%$0.04
±1%
Low2
FY2027
$3.3B
$3.3B$3.4B
+15.4%$0.05+5.2%
±1%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryCLOV
Last 8Q
+1.7%avg beat
Beat 5 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
+29%
Q2'24
+120%
Q3'24
-50%
Q4'24
+43%
Q1'25
+171%
Q2'25
Q3'25
-350%
Q4'25
+51%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Reynoso Jamie L.CEO, Medicare…
$11K
Mar 18
SELL
Priest Brady PatrickCEO of Home Ca…
$380K
Mar 4
SELL
Reynoso Jamie L.CEO, Medicare…
$12K
Jan 20
SELL
Reynoso Jamie L.CEO, Medicare…
$5K
Jan 7
SELL
Reynoso Jamie L.CEO, Medicare…
$13K
Dec 18
SELL
Reynoso Jamie L.CEO, Medicare…
$109K
Nov 4
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Nuveen, LLC
936K
2
Farther Finance Advisors, LLC
269K
3
Turtle Creek Wealth Advisors, LLC
220K
4
SAGE RHINO CAPITAL LLC
211K
5
SG Americas Securities, LLC
144K
6
Arizona State Retirement System
117K
7
Police & Firemen's Retirement System of New Jersey
112K
8
KLP KAPITALFORVALTNING AS
89K
News & Activity

CLOV News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

Clover Health is a healthcare technology company with a deeply rooted mission of improving every life. Clover uses its proprietary technology platform to collect, structure, and analyze health and behavioral data to improve medical outcomes and lower costs for patients. As a company whose business goals fully align with its members' health needs, Clover works with members and their doctors to become a valued partner. This trust is built by proactively identifying at-risk individuals and teaming up with physicians to accelerate care coordination and simultaneously improve health outcomes and reduce avoidable costs. Clover has offices in San Francisco, Jersey City, Nashville and Hong Kong.

Industry
Direct Health and Medical Insurance Carriers
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
CLOV
$2.65-2.21%$1.4B+4034.5%-444.6%1500
$68.99+0.00%$13.4B1500
$91.17+0.00%$12.0B-4239.0%1500
$518.66+0.96%$11.9B-3008.0%1500
$223.70+8.31%$11.4B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$76.39+0.00%$10.7B52.9+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
$182.03+0.00%$10.6B1500
Sector avg+1.01%52.9+778801.4%-2116.0%1500