COLL
Earnings in 1 day · May 7, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move+2.14%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.9× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 43Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
34.58
Open
34.58
Day Range34.33 – 35.50
34.33
35.50
52W Range26.72 – 50.79
26.72
50.79
36% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
389.6K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
20.4x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.62
Low vol
Performance
1D
+2.14%
5D
+4.74%
1M
+8.38%
3M
-24.72%
6M
-1.48%
YTD
-23.71%
1Y
+27.14%
Best: 1Y (+27.14%)Worst: 3M (-24.72%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +24% YoY · 59% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 20x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.6 · FCF $10.33/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$1.14B
Revenue TTM$780.57M
Net Income TTM$62.87M
Free Cash Flow$327.58M
Gross Margin59.3%
Net Margin8.1%
Operating Margin23.0%
Return on Equity24.1%
Return on Assets3.8%
Debt / Equity3.12
Current Ratio1.57
EPS TTM$1.98
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Xtampza ER prescription volume trends and market share gains versus competitive abuse-deterrent opioids

Formulary wins and payer coverage decisions affecting reimbursement access and net pricing

Pipeline development progress and potential label expansions for existing products

Generic competition timeline for key products and patent litigation outcomes

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Chronic pain medication demand is relatively inelastic to economic cycles as patients require continuous treatment regardless of GDP growth. However, payer mix can shift during recessions (commercial to Medicaid) affecting net pricing. Prescription volumes are driven more by epidemiological factors, prescribing guidelines, and regulatory environment than consumer discretionary spending.

Interest Rates

Rising rates increase debt service costs on the company's leveraged balance sheet (3.4x debt/equity), pressuring free cash flow available for growth investments or debt reduction. Higher rates also compress valuation multiples for growth-oriented specialty pharma stocks as discount rates rise. Refinancing risk exists if rates remain elevated when debt matures, though operating cash flow generation provides some buffer.

Key Risks

Opioid prescribing secular decline due to CDC guidelines, litigation environment, and physician reluctance despite abuse-deterrent properties reducing addressable market

Patent expiration and generic entry risk for Xtampza ER (key patents expire late 2020s) could collapse pricing and volumes

Regulatory changes to opioid scheduling, prescribing limits, or REMS programs increasing distribution complexity

Investor Profile

value - The stock trades at attractive cash flow multiples (5.7x EV/EBITDA, 14% FCF yield) appealing to value investors seeking mispriced specialty pharma assets. Strong recent performance (55% one-year return) also attracts momentum investors, while improving profitability and debt paydown potential interest turnaround-focused funds. High leverage and opioid exposure deter risk-averse growth investors.

Watch on Earnings
Weekly Xtampza ER and Belbuca prescription data from IQVIA or Symphony Health tracking market share trendsQuarterly gross-to-net revenue adjustments indicating payer rebate pressure and formulary positioningCDC opioid prescribing data and morphine milligram equivalent (MME) trends showing overall market dynamicsPatent litigation updates and Paragraph IV certifications signaling generic entry timing
Health Radar
1 strong3 watch2 concern
38/100
Liquidity
1.57Watch
Leverage
3.12Concern
Coverage
1.1xConcern
ROE
24.1%Strong
ROIC
9.8%Watch
Cash
$251MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE12 analysts
BUY
+64.2%upside to target
L $56.00
Med $58.00consensus
H $60.00
Buy
867%
Hold
325%
Sell
18%
8 Buy (67%)3 Hold (25%)1 Sell (8%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
7/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 43 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowLean Accumulation
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.57 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 7, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 4, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentSep 1, 2026
In 118 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

DowntrendDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 5.8%

-4.7% vs SMA 50 · -10.3% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI42.7
Momentum fading
MACD-0.36
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$50.79+43.8%
EMA 50
$45.82+29.7%
EMA 200
$37.65+6.6%
Current
$35.32
52W Low
$26.72-24.3%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$26.7236th %ile$50.79
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:8
Dist days:1
Edge:+7 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)284K
Recent Vol (5D)
226K-20%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 4 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↑ Revised UpRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$781.5M
$780.4M$782.5M
$7.47
±1%
Moderate4
FY2026(current)
$810.9M
$748.7M$850.1M
+3.8%$7.24-3.1%
±2%
Moderate3
FY2027
$879.6M
$812.1M$922.1M
+8.5%$6.74-6.9%
±29%
Moderate3
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryCOLL
Last 8Q
+6.0%avg beat
Beat 6 of 8 quartersMissed 2 Estimates rising
-1%
Q2'24
+9%
Q3'24
+1%
Q4'24
+15%
Q1'25
+4%
Q2'25
+4%
Q3'25
+21%
Q4'25
-5%
Q1'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
NeedhamBuy
Jan 10
UPGRADE
SusquehannaNegative
Sep 5
DOWNGRADE
BMO CapitalMarket Perform
Sep 5
DOWNGRADE
H.C. WainwrightBuy
Jul 30
UPGRADE
JefferiesUnderperform → Buy
Jun 7
UPGRADE
NeedhamUnderperform → Hold
May 10
DOWNGRADE
Piper SandlerBuy → Neutral
May 10
DOWNGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Dieter DavidEVP & General …
$488K
Mar 18
SELL
Dreyer ScottEVP & Chief Co…
$1.9M
Mar 3
SELL
Dreyer ScottEVP & Chief Co…
$146K
Mar 3
SELL
Dreyer ScottEVP & Chief Co…
$533K
Dec 8
SELL
Dreyer ScottEVP & Chief Co…
$315K
Dec 8
SELL
Balice-gordon Rita …Dir
$172K
Dec 5
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
1.3M
2
EMERALD ADVISERS, LLC
403K
3
Assenagon Asset Management S.A.
313K
4
EMERALD MUTUAL FUND ADVISERS TRUST
306K
5
Hillsdale Investment Management Inc.
185K
6
PEREGRINE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
96K
7
Nuveen, LLC
72K
8
WEDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L L P/NC
71K
News & Activity

COLL News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

collegium pharmaceutical, inc. is a specialty pharmaceutical company developing and planning to commercialize next generation, abuse-deterrent products for the treatment of patients suffering from chronic pain and other diseases. with a substantial number of patients suffering from chronic pain, collegium is committed to developing and commercializing a portfolio of products that address the growing problems associated with non-medical use, abuse and misuse of prescription products by leveraging the company’s proprietary deterx® technology platform. deterx technology can be used with drugs that are commonly abused such as opioids and amphetamines, as well as drugs that have a narrow therapeutic index that would benefit from protection against misuse such as breaking, crushing, grinding, or dissolving the product. the deterx technology platform is covered by u.s. and international patents and patent applications. collegium’s lead product candidate, xtampza er™, is an abuse-deterrent, ex

Industry
Research and Development in the Physical, Engineering, and Life Sciences (except Nanotechnology and Biotechnology)
CEO
Joseph Ciaffoni
Thomas Smith FAAFPExecutive Vice President & Chief Medical Officer
David DieterExecutive Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Scott DreyerExecutive Vice President & Chief Commercial Officer
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
COLL
$35.32+2.14%$1.1B17.8+2361.5%805.4%1500
$68.78-0.30%$13.3B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$89.52-1.81%$11.7B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$502.47-3.12%$11.5B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$223.06-0.29%$11.4B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$74.93-1.91%$10.5B51.9+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
$175.95-3.34%$10.3B28.0+1871.5%680.1%1500
Sector avg-1.23%32.6+342246.1%-3310.8%1500