Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (INSP) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (INSP) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

OEM contract wins or losses - particularly with major manufacturers like Volkswagen Group, Mercedes-Benz, or Toyota where multi-year platform decisions drive revenue visibility
Automotive production volumes and new vehicle sales - directly impacts connected services revenue from active vehicle subscriptions
Competitive displacement announcements - when OEMs announce shifts to Google Automotive Services, Apple CarPlay, or in-house solutions
Transition progress from legacy license model to recurring cloud services - mix shift and ARR growth metrics
high - Revenue directly tied to global automotive production volumes and new vehicle sales, which are highly cyclical. Consumer discretionary spending drives vehicle purchases, particularly in premium segments where voice technology adoption is highest. Industrial production indices correlate with commercial vehicle demand. The 24% revenue decline reflects both cyclical weakness in auto production (2024-2025 inventory corrections, EV transition disruptions) and structural share loss to competitors.
Rising interest rates negatively impact Cerence through two channels: (1) Higher auto loan rates reduce vehicle affordability and suppress new car sales, directly reducing connected services revenue from lower active vehicle populations; (2) As a growth-stage software company with negative net margins, higher discount rates compress valuation multiples. The company's 1.33x debt/equity ratio creates moderate refinancing risk if rates remain elevated. Lower rates would stimulate auto demand and improve valuation multiples for unprofitable tech stocks.
Platform displacement by hyperscalers - Google, Amazon, and Apple offering integrated infotainment systems with superior ecosystems, often subsidized to capture automotive data streams and user engagement
Automotive OEM vertical integration - Major manufacturers like Tesla, GM (with OnStar), and Chinese OEMs developing proprietary voice AI to control customer data and reduce third-party dependencies
Generalized LLM commoditization - ChatGPT, Claude, and other foundation models reducing differentiation of automotive-specific voice technology, compressing pricing power
value/turnaround - The 41% one-year decline, 1.2x P/S ratio, and 12.8% FCF yield attract deep-value investors betting on stabilization or activist intervention. Not a growth stock given -24% revenue decline. Not dividend-oriented (likely no dividend given negative margins). Some distressed/special situations investors may see restructuring or M&A potential. High-risk profile deters institutional quality-focused funds.
Trend
+37.7% vs SMA 50 · +4.3% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2023 | $348.6M $340.7M–$361.1M | — | -$6.90 | — | ±4% | Low2 |
FY2024 | $324.4M $316.4M–$335.3M | ▼ -6.9% | $0.91 | — | ±1% | Moderate4 |
FY2025 | $246.4M $245.7M–$247.0M | ▼ -24.1% | $0.39 | ▼ -57.1% | ±4% | Moderate3 |
Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. (INSP) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

cerence (nasdaq: crnc) is the global industry leader in creating unique, moving experiences for the mobility world. as an innovation partner to the world’s leading automakers and mobility oems, it is helping advance the future of connected mobility through intuitive, powerful interaction between humans and their cars, two-wheelers, and even elevators, connecting consumers’ digital lives to their daily journeys no matter where they are. cerence’s track record is built on more than 20 years of knowledge and more than 450 million cars shipped with cerence technology. whether it’s connected cars, autonomous driving, e-vehicles, or buildings, cerence is mapping the road ahead. for more information, visit www.cerence.com.
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CRNC◀ | $10.36 | +0.00% | $435M | — | — | — | 1500 |
| $198.48 | -0.56% | $4.8T | 40.2 | +6547.4% | 5560.3% | 1495 | |
| $276.83 | +3.28% | $4.1T | 33.6 | +642.6% | 2691.5% | 1494 | |
| $413.62 | +1.57% | $3.1T | 24.6 | +1493.2% | 3614.6% | 1477 | |
| $416.50 | +0.92% | $2.0T | 80.0 | +2387.4% | 3619.8% | 1504 | |
| $576.45 | +4.84% | $611.5B | 25.3 | +4885.1% | 2284.5% | 1534 | |
| $341.54 | +1.71% | $587.8B | 135.6 | +3433.8% | 1251.5% | 1517 | |
| Sector avg | — | +1.68% | — | 56.5 | +3231.6% | 3170.4% | 1503 |