Fair Value
- Price
- $7.77
- Fair value
- $2.74
- Fair value multiple
- 7.0x
- Typical multiple, 20y
- 13.7x
- Adjusted EPS growth rate
- -1.9%
- Trailing 12M adjusted EPS
- —
Results are highly cyclical for CTTAY, so multiple-based fair value is less reliable here.
| FY | 2006 | 2007 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | 2029E | 2030E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 12.16 | 15.21 | 6.50 | 8.95 | 11.02 | 23.13 | 25.41 | 24.97 | 23.52 | 27.11 | 30.76 | 17.78 | 14.96 | 16.13 | 11.13 | 8.45 | 8.41 | 9.17 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Low | 8.94 | 11.31 | 1.48 | 4.39 | 5.28 | 10.81 | 17.48 | 19.63 | 17.26 | 19.59 | 13.45 | 11.56 | 5.77 | 10.03 | 4.36 | 6.19 | 5.61 | 6.25 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adj EPS | 0.83 | 0.92 | -1.40 | 0.38 | 0.86 | 1.33 | 1.44 | 1.48 | 1.48 | 1.67 | 1.76 | -0.08 | -0.84 | 0.79 | -0.01 | 0.61 | 0.60 | 0.07 | 0.58E | 0.67E | 0.74E | 0.75E | 0.80E |
| Chg/Yr | — | +11% | -252% | — | +126% | +55% | +8% | +3% | -0% | +13% | +5% | -104% | — | — | -101% | — | -2% | -88% | +724% | +16% | +10% | +2% | +6% |
| Div | 0.14 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.42 | 0.35 | 0.43 | 0.45 | 0.57 | 0.53 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.25 | 0.28 | — | — | — | — | — |
How these numbers are calculated
Fair value (7.0x) multiplies each year's earnings per share by a growth-based multiple: steady growers (5–15% a year) get 15x, faster growers get their growth rate as the multiple (capped at 30x), and slower growers step down below 15x. CTTAY has grown earnings about -1.9% a year, so the line uses 7.0x.
Typical multiple (13.7x) is what investors have actually paid for CTTAY: each of the last 20 fiscal years' average share price divided by that year's earnings per share, taking the median (loss years excluded). It shows how the market has historically priced this specific company, next to the general fair-value rule.
Earnings are adjusted figures on the same basis analysts forecast, built from reported quarters; years beyond the last completed fiscal year use the analyst consensus (dashed). The verdict calls a stock over- or undervalued only when the price sits more than 10% from the fair value line.