CVLT
Signal
Bullish Setup2
Price
1
Move+2.27%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 57Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
99.57
Open
99.06
Day Range99.06 – 102.81
99.06
102.81
52W Range71.75 – 200.68
71.75
200.68
23% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
1.1M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
62.9x
Premium valuation
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
0.99
Market-like
Performance
1D
+2.27%
5D
+3.41%
1M
+28.95%
3M
+24.23%
6M
-25.03%
YTD
-18.77%
1Y
-41.48%
Best: 1M (+28.95%)Worst: 1Y (-41.48%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +19% YoY · 81% gross margin
Valuation
EXPENSIVE
P/E 63x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 2.0 · FCF $5.51/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$4.48B
Revenue TTM$1.18B
Net Income TTM$70.66M
Free Cash Flow$237.15M
Gross Margin80.9%
Net Margin6.0%
Operating Margin7.8%
Return on Equity35.4%
Return on Assets3.7%
Debt / Equity122.43
Current Ratio1.95
EPS TTM$1.64
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Subscription ARR growth rate and net retention metrics (indicates success of cloud transition and customer expansion)

Metallic SaaS platform adoption and revenue contribution (key to long-term valuation multiple expansion)

Operating margin trajectory and path to profitability improvement (market penalizes transition investments)

Large enterprise customer wins and competitive displacement activity (especially against Veeam and Rubrik)

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Enterprise software spending is somewhat cyclical as IT budgets tighten during recessions, but data protection is considered mission-critical infrastructure with lower discretionary risk. However, new project starts and expansions slow during economic uncertainty, and customers may delay migrations to cloud platforms. The subscription transition actually provides some recession resilience through recurring revenue, but new customer acquisition becomes more challenging. Commvault's exposure to mid-market and large enterprises means sensitivity to corporate capital expenditure cycles.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates negatively impact Commvault through multiple channels: (1) higher valuation multiples compression for unprofitable/low-margin SaaS companies, (2) increased cost of debt servicing on the company's 4.39x debt-to-equity leverage, and (3) enterprise customers facing higher financing costs may defer large IT infrastructure projects. The company's negative 54.9% net income growth amid rising rates reflects this pressure. Lower rates would support multiple expansion and easier enterprise spending decisions.

Key Risks

Hyperscaler displacement risk as AWS Backup, Azure Backup, and Google Cloud native solutions gain enterprise adoption with integrated pricing and simplified management, potentially commoditizing third-party data protection

Architectural shift toward cloud-native applications (containers, Kubernetes, serverless) that require fundamentally different backup approaches, potentially obsoleting traditional agent-based architectures

Ransomware evolution driving demand for immutable storage and zero-trust architectures where Commvault must continuously invest to maintain relevance

Investor Profile

growth - The stock historically attracted growth investors betting on the cloud transition and subscription revenue model transformation, but the 52.9% one-year decline suggests momentum investors have exited. Current valuation at 3.4x sales with negative earnings growth appeals primarily to deep-value investors or turnaround specialists betting on operating margin expansion as the transition completes. The high volatility and execution risk make this unsuitable for conservative dividend or income investors.

Watch on Earnings
Subscription ARR growth rate (quarterly disclosure, target 20%+ for valuation support)Metallic cloud platform revenue run-rate and customer count (indicates SaaS transition success)Operating cash flow conversion and free cash flow margin (ability to fund transition without additional leverage)Enterprise IT spending surveys and Gartner data protection market share reports (competitive positioning)
Health Radar
3 strong1 watch2 concern
64/100
Liquidity
1.95Watch
Leverage
122.43Concern
Coverage
24.4xStrong
ROE
35.4%Strong
ROIC
5.7%Concern
Cash
$900MStrong
ANALYST COVERAGE31 analysts
BUY
+35.0%upside to target
L $100.00
Med $137.50consensus
H $185.00
Buy
1858%
Hold
1342%
18 Buy (58%)13 Hold (42%)0 Sell (0%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 57 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.95 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 6, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 3, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 107 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

RallyDeath Cross · 50D trails 200D by 36.9%

+19.8% vs SMA 50 · -24.4% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI56.7
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD-5.35
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$200.7+97.1%
EMA 200
$160.1+57.2%
EMA 50
$128.8+26.5%
Current
$101.8
52W Low
$71.75-29.5%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week low
$71.7523th %ile$200.7
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:3
Edge:+1 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)475K
Recent Vol (5D)
382K-20%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 11 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2024
$865.8M
$849.6M$885.9M
$3.99
±3%
High6
FY2025
$982.9M
$957.9M$992.2M
+13.5%$3.56-10.8%
±2%
High8
FY2026(current)
$1.2B
$1.2B$1.2B
+19.9%$4.18+17.4%
±1%
High11
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryCVLT
Last 8Q
+10.1%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+13%
Q3'24
+11%
Q4'24
+8%
Q1'25
+11%
Q2'25
+4%
Q3'25
-3%
Q4'25
+19%
Q1'26
+17%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
Piper SandlerNeutral → Overweight
Oct 13
UPGRADE
William BlairOutperform
Jan 30
UPGRADE
MacquarieNeutral
Oct 15
DOWNGRADE
GuggenheimNeutral
Oct 15
DOWNGRADE
KeyBancSector Weight → Overweight
Jan 30
UPGRADE
Zacks Investment Re…Hold
Apr 26
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Mirchandani SanjayDir
$816K
Mar 16
SELL
Mirchandani SanjayDir
$805K
Mar 17
SELL
Merrill GaryChief Commerci…
$234K
Feb 18
SELL
Merrill GaryChief Commerci…
$173K
Feb 19
SELL
Mirchandani SanjayDir
$585K
Feb 18
SELL
Abrahamsen Danielle…Chief Accounti…
$20K
Feb 18
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

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769K
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590K
4
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5
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270K
6
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133K
7
Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd
62K
8
Retirement Systems of Alabama
54K
News & Activity

CVLT News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

commvault’s data protection and information management solutions help companies protect, access and use all of the their data, anywhere and anytime as a powerful strategic asset.

CEO
Sanjay Mirchandani
Sanjay MirchandaniPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Geoffrey HaydonPresident of Customer & Field Operations
Rajiv KottomtharayilVice President & Chief Product Officer
PeersTechnology(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
CVLT
$101.83+2.27%$4.5B62.0+1889.0%596.9%1500
$198.48+0.02%$4.8T40.2+6547.4%5560.3%1495
$276.83-1.18%$4.1T33.2+642.6%2691.5%1494
$413.62-0.20%$3.1T24.5+1493.2%3614.6%1477
$416.50-1.13%$2.0T79.1+2387.4%3619.8%1504
$576.45+6.31%$650.1B26.9+4885.1%2284.5%1534
$341.54-5.27%$556.9B128.4+3433.8%1251.5%1517
Sector avg+0.12%56.3+3039.8%2802.7%1503