DBD
Next earnings: Aug 5, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Bearish Setup2
Price
1
Move-2.94%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume0.6× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 35Momentum negative
PRICE
Prev Close
71.81
Open
71.00
Day Range69.62 – 71.42
69.62
71.42
52W Range46.47 – 89.05
46.47
89.05
55% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
439.6K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
24.0x
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
1.82
High vol
Performance
1D
-2.94%
5D
-12.26%
1M
-17.83%
3M
-13.20%
6M
+7.08%
YTD
+2.67%
1Y
+40.92%
Best: 1Y (+40.92%)Worst: 1M (-17.83%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +4% YoY
Valuation
FAIR
P/E 24x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 1.3 · FCF $7.58/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$2.41B
Revenue TTM$3.86B
Net Income TTM$107.90M
Free Cash Flow$266.00M
Gross Margin26.3%
Net Margin2.8%
Operating Margin8.6%
Return on Equity10.0%
Return on Assets2.8%
Debt / Equity1.07
Current Ratio1.28
EPS TTM$3.07
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Services revenue mix and recurring revenue growth rate - investors focus on the transition from hardware to higher-margin services/software

Banking technology modernization cycles - large ATM refresh programs from major financial institutions drive lumpy hardware revenue

Free cash flow generation and debt reduction progress - post-restructuring focus on deleveraging and working capital efficiency

Retail automation adoption trends - self-checkout and cashierless store technology deployment rates

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

moderate - Banking customers' capital expenditure budgets for branch technology are somewhat cyclical, with banks delaying ATM refreshes during economic uncertainty. Retail customers reduce automation investments during downturns. However, the large installed base provides revenue stability through service contracts, and secular trends toward digital banking and retail automation provide countercyclical support. Services revenue (~70% of total) is more resilient than hardware sales.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates have mixed effects: higher rates pressure bank profitability and may delay branch technology investments, but also drive branch rationalization and ATM network optimization (favoring managed services). The company's debt load (though reduced post-restructuring) means higher rates increase interest expense. Customer financing for large hardware purchases becomes more expensive in high-rate environments, potentially extending sales cycles.

Key Risks

Secular decline in cash usage and ATM transactions as digital payments and mobile banking adoption accelerates, potentially reducing long-term demand for ATM networks

Shift to cloud-based banking software and open APIs may commoditize traditional banking technology platforms, reducing switching costs and pricing power

Cybersecurity threats and regulatory requirements for financial technology create ongoing compliance costs and liability exposure

Investor Profile

value - The stock attracts deep value and special situations investors focused on the post-restructuring turnaround, debt reduction story, and potential for multiple expansion as the business model shifts toward higher-quality recurring revenue. The 74.5% one-year return reflects re-rating from distressed levels. Current 0.8x P/S and 9.7x EV/EBITDA suggest continued value orientation, though momentum investors have participated in the recent rally. Not a dividend story given reinvestment priorities.

Watch on Earnings
U.S. bank branch count trends and branch technology spending as proxy for ATM refresh cyclesRetail same-store sales growth and labor cost inflation driving self-checkout adoption urgencyFederal funds rate and credit spreads affecting customer capital expenditure budgets and financing costsIndustrial production index as leading indicator for commercial banking activity and retail traffic
Health Radar
6 watch
41/100
Liquidity
1.28Watch
Leverage
1.07Watch
Coverage
3.8xWatch
ROE
10.0%Watch
ROIC
10.4%Watch
Cash
$387MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE12 analysts
HOLD
+43.5%upside to target
Buy
542%
Hold
433%
Sell
325%
5 Buy (42%)4 Hold (33%)3 Sell (25%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
0 of 5 signals bullish
2/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 35 — Bearish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
Last EarningsMissed estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.28
~
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 17, 2026
In 93 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBEARISH
Technicals →

Trend

PullbackGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 19.2%

-7.8% vs SMA 50 · +9.9% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI34.7
Momentum fading
MACD-1.28
Below zero — bearish pulse · compressing
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$89.05+27.8%
EMA 50
$75.63+8.5%
Current
$69.70
EMA 200
$63.42-9.0%
52W Low
$46.47-33.3%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$46.4755th %ile$89.05
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:0
Dist days:2
Edge:+2 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)468K
Recent Vol (5D)
284K-39%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 2 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2023
$3.8B
$3.8B$3.8B
$51.21
±1%
Low1
FY2024
$3.8B
$3.7B$3.8B
-1.7%$3.72-92.7%
±1%
Low1
FY2025
$3.8B
$3.8B$3.8B
+1.7%$3.81+2.3%
±1%
Low2
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryDBD
Last 8Q
+5.4%avg beat
Beat 3 of 8 quartersMissed 5 Estimates falling
+5%
Q3'24
-61%
Q4'24
-8%
Q1'25
-87%
Q2'25
-2%
Q3'25
+111%
Q4'25
+88%
Q1'26
-2%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
WedbushNeutral → Outperform
May 3
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Millstreet Capital …10 Percent Own…
$4.4M
Apr 15
SELL
Millstreet Capital …10 Percent Own…
$5.2M
Apr 16
SELL
Millstreet Capital …10 Percent Own…
$33.0M
Apr 8
SELL
Millstreet Capital …10 Percent Own…
$34.0M
Jan 15
SELL
Millstreet Capital …10 Percent Own…
$13.3M
Nov 5
SELL
Millstreet Capital …10 Percent Own…
$2.6M
Nov 6
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
Capital World Investors
11.6M
2
Millstreet Capital Management LLC
5.2M
3
BlackRock, Inc.
2.0M
4
WILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC
1.4M
5
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
1.1M
6
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
840K
7
Beach Point Capital Management LP
801K
8
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC
743K
News & Activity

DBD News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

consumer behavior is changing rapidly; people are empowered, connected and expect an unprecedented level of service and convenience. simultaneously, the financial and retail industries we operate in are converging as mobile, contactless tech, smart data and advanced analytics blur the lines. the world is “always on” – it’s a digital era that requires us to orchestrate touchpoints in ways that meet and exceed the 24/7 automation needs of the banking and retail worlds. we’re the world leader in connected commerce, with proven expertise and comprehensive portfolios in cutting-edge systems technology, multi-vendor software and service excellence for both financial and retail customers. diebold nixdorf employs approximately 25,000 employees in more than 130 countries around the world. we are publicly traded on the new york stock exchange under the symbol “dbd.” specialties: financial and retail self-service solutions, services, security solutions, software, cash management, branch and store

Industry
Computer Terminal and Other Computer Peripheral Equipment Manufacturing
CEO
Gerrard Schmid
Frank BaurExecutive VP & COO
Maynard UmVice President of Investor Relations
Jonathan MyersExecutive Vice President & Chief Revenue Officer
PeersTechnology(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
DBD
$69.70-2.94%$2.4B22.7+145.6%248.6%1500
$225.32-4.42%$5.5T45.6+6547.4%5560.3%1502
$300.23+0.68%$4.4T36.0+642.6%2691.5%1482
$421.92+3.05%$3.1T25.0+1493.2%3614.6%1460
$425.19-3.32%$2.0T80.7+2387.4%3619.8%1500
$724.66-6.62%$817.2B33.8+4885.1%2284.5%1532
$424.10-5.69%$691.5B138.6+3433.8%1251.5%1516
Sector avg-2.75%54.6+2790.7%2753.0%1499