Why Nike Stock Lost 16% in April
Nike's turnaround woes continued as revenue was flat and profits tumbled in its fiscal third-quarter…

Office occupancy rates and leasing velocity in Westside LA submarkets - any large tenant renewals or departures (particularly entertainment/tech sector tenants)
Office lease spreads and rental rate trends - ability to maintain or grow rents on lease rollovers despite work-from-home pressures
Multifamily same-store NOI growth - rent growth in LA apartment markets provides stability offset to office weakness
Debt refinancing activity and interest coverage ratios - given elevated leverage and rising rate environment through 2025
high - Office demand is highly cyclical, driven by corporate employment growth, business formation, and expansion activity. Entertainment and technology sectors (major tenant base) are particularly sensitive to economic conditions and capital availability. Multifamily provides some counter-cyclical stability as renters delay homeownership during downturns, but LA rent growth still correlates with job growth and wage inflation. The -40.4% one-year return reflects investor concerns about structural office demand weakness beyond normal cyclical patterns.
Very high sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Douglas Emmett's 2.92x debt-to-equity ratio means refinancing risk as debt matures at higher rates, directly impacting FFO; (2) Office REITs trade at spreads to 10-year Treasury yields - rising rates compress valuation multiples (current 0.9x price-to-book suggests market values assets below replacement cost); (3) Higher rates reduce tenant expansion appetite and increase sublease supply as companies optimize space; (4) Cap rate expansion reduces asset values and limits acquisition/disposition flexibility. The 10.6x EV/EBITDA multiple is compressed relative to historical norms due to rate environment.
Permanent reduction in office space demand due to hybrid work adoption - many LA employers have implemented 2-3 day in-office policies, reducing space needs per employee by 30-40%
Geographic concentration risk - over 90% of NOI from greater Los Angeles market exposes company to regional economic shocks, California regulatory changes, and local market oversupply
Obsolescence risk for older Class A properties - tenant preference shifting toward newer trophy assets with better amenities, HVAC systems, and collaborative spaces
value - The 0.9x price-to-book ratio and distressed one-year performance attract deep value investors betting on office market stabilization and mean reversion. Current investors likely focus on dividend yield (though sustainability is questioned given low FCF) and potential for long-term recovery as return-to-office trends solidify. Not suitable for growth or momentum investors given structural headwinds. Some contrarian real estate investors may view concentrated Westside LA exposure as asymmetric upside if supply constraints eventually tighten markets.
Trend
-3.3% vs SMA 50 · -13.0% vs SMA 200
Momentum
Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.
Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.
Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported
| Year | Revenue Est. | Rev Gth | EPS Est. | EPS Gth | Range | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY2024 | $987.3M $985.3M–$990.2M | — | $0.09 | — | ±1% | Moderate4 |
FY2025 | $1.0B $990.1M–$1.0B | ▲ +2.0% | $0.08 | ▼ -13.6% | ±2% | High5 |
FY2026(current) | $1.0B $1.0B–$1.0B | ▲ +0.5% | -$0.17 | — | ±1% | High5 |
Dividend per payment — last 8 periods
Nike's turnaround woes continued as revenue was flat and profits tumbled in its fiscal third-quarter…

Douglas Emmett, Inc. (DEI) is a fully integrated, self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust (REIT), and one of the largest owners and operators of high-quality office and multifamily properties located in the premier coastal submarkets of Los Angeles and Honolulu. Douglas Emmett focuses on owning and acquiring a substantial share of top-tier office properties and premier multifamily communities in neighborhoods that possess significant supply constraints, high-end executive housing and key lifestyle amenities.
| Symbol | Price | Day % | Mkt Cap↓ | P/E | Rev Grw | Margin | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DEI◀ | $10.94 | +0.00% | $1.8B | 112.6 | — | — | 1500 |
| $216.91 | -0.20% | $153.1B | 107.8 | +3582.4% | 878.3% | 1511 | |
| $141.41 | -0.43% | $131.8B | 35.4 | +717.6% | 3880.1% | 1505 | |
| $1085.03 | +0.20% | $107.0B | 75.1 | +585.3% | 1457.9% | 1524 | |
| $181.61 | -0.60% | $84.6B | 29.4 | +511.4% | 2376.5% | 1491 | |
| $200.70 | -0.12% | $69.0B | 50.3 | +1004.0% | 2140.8% | 1518 | |
| $202.44 | -0.62% | $65.8B | 14.3 | +671.9% | 7251.1% | 1507 | |
| Sector avg | — | -0.25% | — | 60.7 | +1178.8% | 2997.4% | 1508 |