DINO
Next earnings: Jul 30, 2026 · Before open
Signal
Leaning Bullish11!
Price
1
Move+2.92%Positive session
Volume
1
Volume1.3× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 74Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
67.21
Open
66.73
Day Range65.87 – 70.50
65.87
70.50
52W Range31.38 – 70.51
31.38
70.51
97% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.9M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
10.4x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.01%
Beta
0.66
Low vol
Performance
1D
+2.92%
5D
+13.73%
1M
+13.92%
3M
+33.38%
6M
+34.05%
YTD
+50.11%
1Y
+116.09%
Best: 1Y (+116.09%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BEARISH
thin 11% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 10x vs ~20x sector
Health
STRONG
CR 1.8 · FCF $6.50/sh
Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$12.47B
Revenue TTM$27.62B
Net Income TTM$1.23B
Free Cash Flow$1.17B
Gross Margin11.0%
Net Margin4.5%
Operating Margin6.3%
Return on Equity13.1%
Return on Assets6.8%
Debt / Equity0.04
Current Ratio1.79
EPS TTM$6.81
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

3-2-1 crack spreads in Group 3 (Mid-Continent) and PADD 5 (West Coast) markets - primary margin driver

Crude oil differentials: WTI-Midland discount to WTI-Cushing and WCS heavy crude discounts

Refinery utilization rates and turnaround schedules at key facilities (Puget Sound, El Dorado, Navajo)

Renewable diesel margins: D4 RIN credit prices and soybean oil feedstock costs

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Refined product demand is directly tied to economic activity through gasoline consumption (commuting, leisure travel), diesel demand (freight transportation, industrial activity), and jet fuel (air travel). A 1% decline in GDP typically correlates with 0.5-0.8% reduction in gasoline demand and 1.0-1.5% reduction in diesel demand. Current -10.6% revenue decline reflects both volume weakness and margin compression from economic deceleration.

Interest Rates

Rising interest rates have moderate impact through two channels: (1) higher financing costs for working capital facilities and capex projects, though DINO's 0.34x debt/equity ratio limits this exposure; (2) demand destruction as higher rates slow economic activity and reduce discretionary driving. Rate increases also strengthen the dollar, which can pressure crude oil prices and indirectly compress crack spreads. The primary sensitivity is through the demand channel rather than direct financing costs.

Key Risks

Long-term gasoline demand erosion from electric vehicle adoption and CAFE standards - US EV penetration approaching 10% of new sales by 2026 threatens 1-2% annual gasoline demand decline by 2030

Renewable diesel mandates and low-carbon fuel standards expanding beyond California to Washington, Oregon, and potentially federal level - requires ongoing capex to maintain competitive position

Refinery rationalization risk as US refining capacity has declined 5% since 2020 peak, with older, less complex refineries facing closure economics

Investor Profile

value - Current 0.4x P/S and 7.7x EV/EBITDA multiples reflect deep value positioning. Attracts contrarian investors betting on crack spread normalization and cyclical recovery. The 5.9% FCF yield and historical dividend payments appeal to income-focused value investors willing to accept commodity cycle volatility. Recent 49.6% one-year return demonstrates momentum characteristics during refining margin expansion cycles.

Watch on Earnings
WTI crude oil spot price and Brent-WTI spread (reflects US crude export economics)US Gulf Coast 3-2-1 crack spread and Group 3 regional crack spread differentialsWeekly EIA refinery utilization rates and gasoline/distillate inventory levelsD4 RIN credit prices and Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) credit prices in California
Health Radar
2 strong3 watch1 concern
56/100
Liquidity
1.79Watch
Leverage
0.04Strong
Coverage
8.2xStrong
ROE
13.1%Watch
ROIC
9.3%Watch
Cash
$978MConcern
ANALYST COVERAGE15 analysts
BUY
-8.9%downside to target
L $53.00
Med $63.00consensus
H $66.00
Strong Buy
17%
Buy
960%
Hold
427%
Sell
17%
10 Buy (67%)4 Hold (27%)1 Sell (6%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
4 of 5 signals bullish
9/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 74 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowAccumulation — institutional buying
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusBuy
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 1.79 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings Report · After CloseMay 4, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateJul 31, 2026
In 89 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 11.5%

+20.4% vs SMA 50 · +34.2% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI74.0
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD+2.47
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$70.51+1.9%
Current
$69.17
EMA 50
$57.94-16.2%
EMA 200
$51.02-26.2%
52W Low
$31.38-54.6%
52-Week RangeNear 52-week high
$31.3897th %ile$70.51
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Moderate Squeeze Setup

Accumulation pattern present — more buying days than selling over the past 20 sessions. Volume conditions support gradual price improvement.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:1
Edge:+4 acc
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.4M
Recent Vol (5D)
2.1M-13%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 9 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↓ Revised Down

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$26.4B
$25.5B$27.7B
$4.24
±2%
High9
FY2026(current)
$30.8B
$25.9B$37.3B
+16.6%$5.58+31.7%
±43%
Moderate3
FY2027
$28.8B
$24.5B$34.0B
-6.6%$5.82+4.3%
±28%
High9
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
🔥Beat 5 consecutive quarters
Earnings HistoryDINO
Last 8Q
+191.0%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quartersMissed 1 Estimates rising
+10%
Q3'24
+76%
Q4'24
-12%
Q1'25
+34%
Q2'25
+56%
Q3'25
+26%
Q4'25
+173%
Q1'26
+1166%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
Neutral — mixed activity
90d01
ScotiabankOutperform → Sector Perform
Feb 18
DOWNGRADE
Piper SandlerNeutral → Overweight
Jan 8
UPGRADE
Raymond JamesStrong Buy
Jul 15
UPGRADE
Wolfe ResearchPeer Perform → Underperform
Jul 14
DOWNGRADE
Bank of America Sec…Buy
Mar 15
UPGRADE
UBSBuy
Feb 14
UPGRADE
Cowen & Co.Outperform → Market Perform
Mar 19
DOWNGRADE
Wells FargoEqual-Weight → Overweight
Mar 16
UPGRADE
Cowen & Co.Outperform
May 11
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
4 Buys/2 SellsNet Buying
Garg VivekVP, CAO and Co…
$17K
Nov 5
SELL
Pompa ValerieEVP, Operations
$468K
Aug 1
SELL
Fernandez Manuel JDir
$20K
Mar 4
BUY
Myers FranklinDir
$178K
Feb 26
BUY
Atanasov Atanas HEVP and CFO
$169K
Dec 19
BUY
Knocke R CraigDir
$181K
Dec 16
BUY
Financials
Dividends2.89% yield
3 yrs of payments
Annual Yield2.89%
Quarterly Div.$0.5000
Est. Annual / Share$2.00
FrequencyQuarterly
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
River Road Asset Management, LLC
669K
2
Nuveen, LLC
572K
3
KORNITZER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC /KS
473K
4
SG Americas Securities, LLC
399K
5
FORT WASHINGTON INVESTMENT ADVISORS INC /OH/
359K
6
Artemis Investment Management LLP
323K
7
Adams Asset Advisors, LLC
244K
8
WHITTIER TRUST CO
221K
News & Activity

DINO News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

No description available.

CEO
Michael Jennings
Franklin MyersInterim CEO & President and Chairman of the Board
Timothy GoPresident, CEO & Director (Leave of Absence)
Vivek GargActing CFO, Chief Accounting Officer, VP & Controller
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
DINO
$69.17+2.92%$12.5B10.2-598.7%215.5%1500
$397.67+0.41%$2.1T28.7+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$91.95+0.10%$316.0B14.1+318.8%1510.7%1500
$131.46-0.32%$305.1B22.6+586.3%1305.9%1500
$184.74-1.40%$286.4B27.2+862.9%1745.9%1500
$146.57-0.87%$279.7B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$88.98-1.86%$251.9B14.4-591.0%668.4%1500
Sector avg-0.15%19.7+638.9%1788.7%1500