EMD
Signal
Bearish Setup1!1
Price
1
Move-1.78%Negative session
Volume
1
Volume1.0× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 100Overbought
PRICE
Prev Close
10.67
Open
10.66
Day Range10.45 – 10.70
10.45
10.70
52W Range9.41 – 11.30
9.41
11.30
57% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
232.4K
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
6.0x
Value territory
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
0.12%
Beta
0.50
Low vol
Performance
1D
-1.78%
5D
-2.06%
1M
-2.24%
3M
-7.09%
6M
-1.13%
YTD
-1.41%
1Y
+8.60%
Best: 1Y (+8.60%)Worst: 3M (-7.09%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
BULLISH
revenue +83% YoY · 94% gross margin
Valuation
CHEAP
P/E 6x vs ~20x sector
Health
MODERATE
CR 0.8 (low) · FCF $0.22/sh
Strong Buy
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$609.21M
Revenue TTM$137.23M
Net Income TTM$162.68M
Free Cash Flow$52.76M
Gross Margin94.1%
Net Margin149.7%
Operating Margin147.4%
Return on Equity15.9%
Return on Assets11.3%
Debt / Equity0.37
Current Ratio0.79
EPS TTM$1.74
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Emerging market sovereign credit spreads (EMBI+ spreads) - compression drives NAV gains, widening causes losses

Federal Reserve policy and US dollar strength - tightening cycles historically trigger EM outflows and currency depreciation

Discount/premium to NAV - the stock trades at varying discounts (often 5-12%) to underlying portfolio value, with sentiment shifts causing rapid repricing

Distribution coverage and yield sustainability - current distributions relative to net investment income drive income investor demand

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

high - Emerging market debt is highly procyclical, with credit spreads tightening during global growth expansions (increased commodity demand, stronger EM currencies, improved fiscal positions) and widening sharply during recessions. The 2020 COVID crisis saw EM spreads widen 400-500bp before recovering. Strong US and Chinese GDP growth typically correlates with 15-25% annual returns for EM debt, while global slowdowns can produce -10% to -20% losses.

Interest Rates

Extremely sensitive to US interest rate policy through multiple channels: (1) Rising Fed funds rate increases the fund's borrowing costs on leverage, compressing net interest margins by 50-75bp for every 100bp rate hike; (2) Higher US Treasury yields make EM bonds relatively less attractive, causing capital outflows and spread widening; (3) Rate hikes strengthen the US dollar, which depreciates EM currencies and reduces returns for dollar-based investors; (4) The fund's bond portfolio has duration of 5-7 years, so rising yields cause mark-to-market NAV declines. A 100bp rise in 10-year Treasury yields historically correlates with 8-12% NAV declines for leveraged EM debt funds.

Key Risks

Secular shift toward passive EM debt ETFs with lower fees (0.40-0.50%) versus closed-end fund structure with 1%+ expense ratios, causing persistent NAV discounts

Increased correlation between EM and developed market assets reduces diversification benefits, making dedicated EM allocation less compelling for institutional investors

Climate transition risks in commodity-dependent EM economies (oil exporters, coal producers) could impair sovereign creditworthiness over 10-15 year horizon

Investor Profile

dividend - The fund targets income-oriented investors seeking 6-8% distribution yields with EM diversification. Attracts closed-end fund specialists who exploit NAV discount opportunities and retirees seeking monthly income. Not suitable for growth investors given the fixed-income focus. Value investors may trade around the NAV discount cycles (buying at 10-12% discounts, selling at par).

Watch on Earnings
JPMorgan EMBI Global Diversified spread over US Treasuries (current ~320bp, historical range 250-600bp)US Dollar Index (DXY) - inverse correlation with EM debt returnsFederal Reserve terminal rate expectations and forward guidance on rate cutsChina GDP growth rate and PMI data (drives commodity demand for EM exporters)
Health Radar
3 strong1 watch2 concern
49/100
Liquidity
0.79Concern
Leverage
0.37Strong
Coverage
8.9xStrong
ROE
15.9%Strong
ROIC
11.1%Watch
Cash
$932KConcern
Analyst Coverage

No analyst coverage available for this stock.

Stock Health
Composite Score
0 of 3 signals bullish
1/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 100 — Overbought, caution
~
Volume
Volume FlowDistribution — institutional selling
Fundamentals
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 0.79 — liquidity risk

2 signals unavailable — limited data for this stock

Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 20, 2026
In 96 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 300.0%

+5427.4% vs SMA 50 · +22009.7% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI100.0
Overbought — pullback risk
MACD+1.18
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$11.30+7.8%
Current
$10.48
52W Low
$9.41-10.2%
EMA 50
$0.6010-94.3%
EMA 200
$0.1532-98.5%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$9.4157th %ile$11.30
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
Distribution Pressure

Distribution pattern detected. More selling days than accumulation over the past 20 sessions. Not a conducive environment for a squeeze.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:2
Dist days:5
Edge:+3 dist
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)229K
Recent Vol (5D)
193K-16%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
1 Buy/5 SellsNet Selling
Grillo AnthonyDir
$12K
May 27
BUY
Cronin Daniel PDir
$53K
Jan 5
SELL
Cronin Daniel PDir
$41K
Dec 10
SELL
Hutchinson William RDir
$39K
Jan 9
SELL
Hutchinson William RDir
$29K
Jan 6
SELL
Hutchinson William RDir
$14K
Jan 2
SELL
Financials
Dividends10.78% yield
1 yr of payments
Annual Yield10.78%
Monthly Div.$0.0950
Est. Annual / Share$1.14
FrequencyMonthly
Q1'26
Q1'26
Q1'26
Q2'26
Q2'26
Q2'26
Q3'26
Q3'26

Dividend per payment — last 8 periods

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
MORGAN STANLEY
9.0M
2
RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL INC
966K
3
Pathstone Holdings, LLC
906K
4
LPL Financial LLC
834K
5
Invesco Ltd.
791K
6
Penserra Capital Management LLC
759K
7
WELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN
751K
8
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, LLC
532K
News & Activity

EMD News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

legg mason and franklin templeton are now one firm. on friday, august 14th, this legg mason page will become inactive. please follow the @franklintempleton company page to continue to receive updates and insights: https://www.linkedin.com/company/franklin-templeton

Industry
Securities and Commodity Exchanges
CEO
Jane Trust
Peers(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
EMD
$10.48-1.78%$609M6.0-1216.6%16521.4%1500
$404.35-3.20%$2.1T30.5+3296.8%4510.0%1500
$132.58-6.05%$307.9B20.7-44.8%1012.0%1500
$88.38-2.58%$303.7B13.6+318.8%1510.7%1500
$148.08-1.13%$282.6B21.0+597.3%2564.4%1500
$181.58-1.83%$281.6B26.9+862.9%1745.9%1500
$183.40-0.23%$256.1B16.8+213.3%1482.4%1500
Sector avg-2.40%19.4+575.4%4192.4%1500