FATE
Next earnings: Aug 11, 2026
Signal
Mixed11
Price
1
Move-7.63%Selling pressure
Volume
1
Volume1.0× avgNormal activity
Technical
1
RSIRSI 66Momentum positive
PRICE
Prev Close
1.90
Open
1.86
Day Range1.71 – 1.91
1.71
1.91
52W Range0.91 – 2.47
0.91
2.47
54% of range
VOLUME & SIZE
Avg Volume
2.1M
FUNDAMENTALS
P/E Ratio
-1.6x
Not profitable
EPS (TTM)
Div Yield
No dividend
Beta
2.07
High vol
Performance
1D
-7.63%
5D
-26.88%
1M
+36.05%
3M
+40.40%
6M
+82.05%
YTD
+78.61%
1Y
+73.76%
Best: 6M (+82.05%)Worst: 5D (-26.88%)
Quick Read
TrendInsufficient MA data
Momentum
NEUTRAL
rev -53% · 54% gross margin
Valuation
FAIR
P/E not available
Health
MODERATE
CR 5.8 · FCF negative
Lean Bullish
Key MetricsTTM
Market Cap$204.56M
Revenue TTM$6.32M
Net Income TTM-$129.91M
Free Cash Flow-$108.09M
Gross Margin53.8%
Net Margin-2056.8%
Operating Margin-2207.5%
Return on Equity-58.9%
Return on Assets-45.6%
Debt / Equity0.43
Current Ratio5.85
EPS TTM$-1.08
Alpha SignalsFull Analysis →
What Moves This Stock

Clinical trial data readouts for lead programs (FT596 NK cell therapy for B-cell malignancies, FT522 for solid tumors) - positive efficacy/safety data drives significant volatility

FDA regulatory interactions and IND clearances for new programs or trial expansions

Strategic partnership announcements, licensing deals, or equity financing events given cash burn rate

Competitive developments in allogeneic cell therapy space (CRSP, BEAM, BLUE) affecting sector sentiment

Macro Sensitivity
Economic Cycle

low - Clinical trial timelines and regulatory processes are largely insulated from GDP fluctuations. However, financing environment for unprofitable biotech is highly sensitive to risk appetite, which correlates with economic conditions. During recessions, venture capital and public market funding for clinical-stage companies contracts significantly, creating existential risk for cash-burning entities.

Interest Rates

High sensitivity through multiple channels: (1) Valuation - biotech DCF models heavily weight distant cash flows, making them extremely sensitive to discount rates. Rising rates compress NPV of pipeline assets. (2) Financing costs - while current 0.34x debt/equity is modest, future capital raises become more expensive in high-rate environments. (3) Opportunity cost - investors rotate from speculative growth to safer yield alternatives when risk-free rates rise. (4) Cash management - higher rates provide better returns on $155M+ cash balance (implied from 7.87x current ratio).

Key Risks

Clinical trial failure risk - iPSC-derived allogeneic cell therapies face unproven efficacy and safety profiles versus established autologous CAR-T. Any serious adverse events or lack of durable responses could invalidate entire platform

Regulatory pathway uncertainty - FDA has limited precedent for iPSC-derived products, creating risk of unexpected requirements, delays, or rejection

Manufacturing complexity and scalability - iPSC differentiation and quality control at commercial scale remains unproven, with potential for batch failures or cost overruns

Investor Profile

growth/speculative - Attracts high-risk tolerance investors seeking asymmetric returns from successful clinical development. Typical holders include biotech-focused hedge funds, venture capital crossover funds, and retail speculators. Not suitable for value or income investors given negative earnings, no dividends, and binary clinical outcomes. Recent 37% 3-month rally suggests momentum traders are active, likely driven by sector rotation or specific catalyst anticipation.

Watch on Earnings
Clinical trial data releases for FT596, FT522, and other lead candidates - objective response rates, duration of response, safety profileCash and cash equivalents balance relative to quarterly burn rate - runway calculationNASDAQ Biotechnology Index (NBI) performance as sector sentiment proxyHigh yield credit spreads (BAMLH0A0HYM2) as indicator of risk appetite for speculative equities
Health Radar
2 strong1 watch3 concern
39/100
Liquidity
5.85Strong
Leverage
0.43Strong
Coverage
0.0xConcern
ROE
-58.9%Concern
ROIC
-53.8%Concern
Cash
$47MWatch
ANALYST COVERAGE30 analysts
HOLD
+327.4%upside to target
L $3.00
Med $7.50consensus
H $145.00
Buy
1653%
Hold
1240%
Sell
27%
16 Buy (53%)12 Hold (40%)2 Sell (7%)
Full report →
Stock Health
Composite Score
3 of 5 signals bullish
8/10
Technicals
RSI RangeRSI 66 — Bullish momentum
Volume
Volume FlowNeutral
~
Fundamentals
Last EarningsBeat estimates
Analyst ConsensusHold
~
LiquidityCurrent Ratio 5.85 — healthy liquidity
Upcoming Events
EEarnings ReportMay 17, 2026
Tomorrow
DEx-Dividend DateAug 14, 2026
In 90 days
PDividend PaymentAug 28, 2026
In 104 days
Technicals
Technical SetupBULLISH
Technicals →

Trend

UptrendGolden Cross · 50D leads 200D by 16.1%

+23.2% vs SMA 50 · +43.0% vs SMA 200

Momentum

RSI66.3
Positive momentum, not extended
MACD+0.23
Above zero — bullish momentum · expanding
Market Position
Price Levels
52W High
$2.47+40.7%
Current
$1.75
EMA 50
$1.57-10.3%
EMA 200
$1.30-26.1%
52W Low
$0.9100-48.1%
52-Week RangeMid-range
$0.910054th %ile$2.47
Squeeze SetupVolume-based
No Clear Setup

Volume distribution is neutral or leaning toward distribution. No compelling squeeze setup based on current money flow data.

20-Day Money Flow
Acc days:5
Dist days:5
Edge:Even
Volume Context
Avg Vol (50D)2.1M
Recent Vol (5D)
3.4M+58%

Based on volume distribution analysis. Direct short interest data (short float %, days to cover) is not available in current data sources.

Earnings & Analysts

ANALYST ESTIMATES

Consensus of 7 analysts
Analyst revisions:EPS↓ Revised DownRevenue↑ Revised Up

Analyst consensus estimates · Actuals replace estimates as reported

YearRevenue Est.Rev GthEPS Est.EPS GthRangeAnalysts
FY2025
$6.6M
$6.3M$7.7M
-$1.15
±3%
High7
FY2026(current)
$5.5M
$3.3M$8.7M
-17.5%-$1.11
±30%
High7
FY2027
$5.6M
$3.7M$8.4M
+2.3%-$1.03
±50%
High7
Range confidence:Tight (high)ModerateWide (low)
Earnings HistoryFATE
Last 8Q
+14.6%avg beat
Beat 7 of 8 quarters Estimates rising
+30%
Q3'24
+5%
Q4'24
+30%
Q1'25
+18%
Q2'25
+17%
Q3'25
+7%
Q4'25
Q1'26
+10%
Q2'26
Beat
Miss
Estimate
Deeper color = bigger beat/miss
* Negative EPS shown at reduced height
Analyst Activity
All ratings →
No recent activity
H.C. WainwrightNeutral → Buy
Oct 31
UPGRADE
WedbushMarket Perform → Outperform
Oct 27
UPGRADE
Piper SandlerNeutral → Overweight
Jun 17
UPGRADE
WedbushNeutral
Jan 6
DOWNGRADE
Cowen & Co.Market Perform
Jan 6
DOWNGRADE
Piper SandlerNeutral
Jan 6
DOWNGRADE
BMO CapitalOutperform → Market Perform
Jan 6
DOWNGRADE
GuggenheimNeutral
Jan 3
DOWNGRADE
OppenheimerPerform
Dec 22
DOWNGRADE
BMO CapitalOutperform
Jul 11
UPGRADE
Insider Activity
SEC Filings →
0 Buys/6 SellsNet Selling
Tahl CindySee Remarks
$11K
Jan 9
SELL
Valamehr BahramDir
$6K
Jan 9
SELL
Tahl CindySee Remarks
$10K
Aug 4
SELL
Valamehr BahramDir
$15K
Aug 4
SELL
Bressi Jerome Charl…See Remarks
$9K
Jan 10
SELL
Tahl CindySee Remarks
$9K
Jan 10
SELL
Financials

INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP

1
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2
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4.1M
3
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3.4M
4
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC
3.0M
5
UBS Group AG
1.8M
6
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
884K
7
NORTHERN TRUST CORP
812K
8
Monaco Asset Management SAM
810K
News & Activity

FATE News

20 articles · 4h ago

About

fate therapeutics is applying leading expertise in stem cell biology and conventional drug discovery to develop small molecule and biologic drugs that: 1) activate stem cells in the body to stimulate healing and repair or block cancer growth; and 2) create and differentiate "pharmaceutical grade"​ ips cells to enable their use in drug discovery and development, disease modeling, and eventually personalized cell therapies. the company’s approach has broad therapeutic potential in areas such as regenerative medicine, hematological diseases, metastatic cancer, traumatic injury and degenerative diseases.

Industry
Research and Development in Biotechnology (except Nanobiotechnology)
CEO
John Wolchko
Kamal AdawiCFO & Treasurer
Bahram ValamehrPresident, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Tunde BabalolaSenior Vice President of Technical Operations & Quality
PeersHealth Care(7 companies)
Screen sector →
SymbolPriceDay %Mkt CapP/ERev GrwMarginELO
FATE
$1.75-7.63%$205M-5124.3%-205108.3%1500
$66.13-5.07%$13.0B+12626.1%-14525.8%1500
$94.92-3.79%$12.6B+3288.2%-4239.0%1500
$523.69-3.00%$12.1B+43205.3%-3008.0%1500
$227.72-1.30%$11.7B+6554.5%-2868.8%1500
$57.90-0.86%$11.2B50.3+1459.3%147.7%1500
$76.67-3.79%$10.8B+2325815.3%-19.7%1500
Sector avg-3.63%50.3+341117.8%-32803.1%1500